I agree, every president has wanted to do this, but relented from what I've read because of the advice and ramifications that it would do to region
Previous US administrations have avoided invading Iran due to the immense strategic, financial, and human costs, the likelihood of a prolonged, unstable insurgency, and the severe risk of regional destabilization. Iran’s mountainous terrain, significant military capability, and regional proxy networks pose daunting challenges compared to previous interventions in Iraq or Afghanistan.
- Risk of Regional War: An invasion could trigger a wide Middle East conflict, threatening allies, disrupting 20% of global oil exports via the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering attacks on US bases.
- Failed Military Experience: Memories of difficult, long-term engagements in Iraq and Afghanistan caused hesitation, as military analysts doubted a quick victory was possible.
- Lack of Ally Support: Regional partners, including Gulf nations (Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain), were reluctant to support a war that could invite Iranian retaliation on their soil.
- Geographical and Military Challenges: Iran’s size, population, and topography, combined with its specialized defenses, make a successful ground invasion extremely difficult and costly.
- Lack of Domestic Support: The American public has shown little appetite for another large-scale conflict.
- Strategic Alternatives: Presidents preferred containment, economic sanctions, and diplomatic negotiations (like the JCPOA) to manage Iran's influence and nuclear ambitions, rather than direct invasion.
Historically, while Iran was considered a state sponsor of terrorism, these risks outweighed the perceived benefits of a full-scale invasion