OT: Potential Winter Storm on 3/7-8

WhiteBus

Heisman
Oct 4, 2011
39,520
21,922
113
:popcorn:
Is this real??? All rain?
 

RU4Real

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
50,955
30,734
0
I'm out in KOP for the week on business and we're smack in the middle of a massive dry slot, right now. It's gonna cut totals in a big way.
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,362
180,628
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I'm out in KOP for the week on business and we're smack in the middle of a massive dry slot, right now. It's gonna cut totals in a big way.


I am sure Numbers has extra in his snowglobe to help you out
 

Zak57

Heisman
Jul 5, 2011
11,307
11,419
113
All melting snow and rain here in the office at Hopewell. Hotel close by for when it gets bad though.
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,362
180,628
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very late in the model game but GFS and RGEM runs verbatim were just 4-6 for Central Jersey on Kuchera maps...7-10 on the 10-1 maps
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,362
180,628
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There's a few of us in the building at the customer site and there are no customer employees in the building. They all stayed home.


sounds like a safe place to be when the zombie apocolypse begins
 

Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
91,019
89,165
113
"Don't be fooled, worst of the storm yet to come for N.J. - Updates on timing, track"

http://www.nj.com/weather/index.ssf...reaster.html#incart_2box_nj-homepage-featured
The storm is expected to move to about 30 miles off the New Jersey coast, which is why the eastern side of the state is getting more rain than snow, said Sarah Johnson, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly.
Areas near the Shore from Toms River south are likely to end up with just rain. [banana]:fistbump:[banana][banana][banana][banana][banana][banana][banana][banana][banana][banana]
 

Sweet Pea's Corner

All-American
Sep 10, 2001
17,845
5,704
113
News 12 guy says 8-12 for Hillsborough saying" heavy snow 2 inches per hr and doing that for 6 hours.... you do the math"
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,362
180,628
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one thing to remembers.....its March...there are reasons that one foot plus totals are extremely rare. All the players on the weather map must play their roles to perfection
 

CodyRU

Heisman
Nov 28, 2007
112,804
13,181
100
Snowing at a pretty good clip here in swedesboro, still not sticking to parking lot
 

RU848789

Heisman
Jul 27, 2001
65,440
44,455
113
NWS in Philly and NYC just upped snowfall predictions by 1-2" for 95 corridor and near that, plus expanded snowfall a bit towards the coast. They're the pros. Should be here shortly - hearing about heavy snow reports in the southern part of CNJ. Assuming we get 1-2" per hour from noon to 8 pm, thats' your 8-16" - of course some will melt in the beginning of that and ratios will be <10:1, so that's where the NWS has 6-12" on the ground at the end in much of 95 and even 20 miles SE of 95. Storm can still overperform, as many models are indicating, and deliver 12" or more for the 95 corridor (on the ground)



 

Sweet Pea's Corner

All-American
Sep 10, 2001
17,845
5,704
113
Zarrow says that as the core of the storm approaches it will gat colder and the snow will intensify and collect. He says over by midnight.
 

S_Janowski

Heisman
May 24, 2009
14,200
27,240
113
Picked up out of nowhere in Philly. Still think we only get a few inches though, this stuff is wet.
 

Cabana Man

All-Conference
Aug 24, 2006
2,775
1,480
113
A light rain in South Brunswick. Can't see how we get these 6-12+ snows. I just don't see it with the temps and wet grounds. But, time will tell I guess.
 

Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
91,019
89,165
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NWS in Philly and NYC just upped snowfall predictions by 1-2" for 95 corridor and near that, plus expanded snowfall a bit towards the coast. They're the pros. Should be here shortly - hearing about heavy snow reports in the southern part of CNJ. Assuming we get 1-2" per hour from noon to 8 pm, thats' your 8-16" - of course some will melt in the beginning of that and ratios will be <10:1, so that's where the NWS has 6-12" on the ground at the end in much of 95 and even 20 miles SE of 95. Storm can still overperform, as many models are indicating, and deliver 12" or more for the 95 corridor (on the ground)



To summarize from the 4:14 a.m. map change, looks like a crooked line from Medford, Freehold, New Brunswick to Morristown increased by 1-2".
Coastal Ocean/Monmouth Up from 0" to <1". Trenton and Doylestown dropped an inch.

Pouring rain in Wall still.
 

RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
13,695
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Just changes to snow in Hillsborough...still melting

You must be on the other end of Hillsborough from me.... over here in the Neshanic area it's been light snow all morning and total grass coverage (about an inch). Roads and driveway are still black, though.
 
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Rhuarc

All-American
Jul 25, 2001
6,538
7,079
113
Word.
Local districts were scared due to the wind storm last week that knocked out power. They forgot that forecasts for snow are often wrong and can easier bust (or miss the predicted timing).

We are at home currently enjoying our rain day off. Even my office closed!
I always thought that the bigger stuff was starting after 10, so I was not thrilled that everyone called it last night. I think Robbinsvile was the first one in Mercer to call it and everyone just followed suit. Schools are reluctant to call an early dismissal on a whim because of the parent factor and making school lunches. However, they could have just announced an early dismissal at 6 this morning and we would have been good.

Anyway, I brought a crap ton of work home and it's report card time so I'm using the time efficiently even though the kids are here.
 

RU848789

Heisman
Jul 27, 2001
65,440
44,455
113
To summarize from the 4:14 a.m. map change, looks like a crooked line from Medford, Freehold, New Brunswick to Morristown increased by 1-2".
Coastal Ocean/Monmouth Up from 0" to <1". Trenton and Doylestown dropped an inch.

Pouring rain in Wall still.
Yep the 10:51 am map change (was 4:14 am) essentially moved the precip/snow from NW to SE taking a bit away from NW areas and adding it to SE areas, since short range models are showing this. Could be wrong, could also be more at the coast. Two very good forecasters on 33andrain are calling for 12" in west-central Monmouth (Freehold to Holmdel).
 
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NJdirt1

Sophomore
Dec 10, 2005
40,257
196
38
just changed over from rain to snow in Monroe (Middlesex near Spotswood/Helmetta border)
 

RUScrew85

Heisman
Nov 7, 2003
30,054
16,939
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There's a few of us in the building at the customer site and there are no customer employees in the building. They all stayed home.

There's like three people in my building. Me, they guy who drove in with me and oh wait - the third guy just left.
 
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