OT: 2025 Coaching Carousel

Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
88,862
86,877
113
People were offering to drive Rossi to the airport when he was here.
2014- Defense was pretty bad 30.9 ppg
2015- Got worse (no data on ESPN) 36.9 ppg
2016--He was gone, Ash error- got even worse
2017- reverted back to 2014

Minnesota
2021- 18.3 ppg solid
2022- 142 ppg--top rated
2023- slipped to 26.7 ppg

MSU:
2024-- 25.5 ppg
2025- not doing very well.


Had a couple of good years at Minnesota.
 

rutgersguy2

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Jul 9, 2025
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Don’t agree with her. We didn’t see much last year iirc so you might expect a rebound this year. I still think we’ll see more patience now than we would have because the numbers are too big and it’s dead money at a time when you’re playing players as well. If the numbers are prohibitive like 20-25M+ I think you’ll see more patience by and large, under that and I think you can see a potential move made.

I think Gundy’s buyout is 15M. They just negotiated it down recently iirc. Pry (7M) and Foster (6.5M) are also lower. Show me multiple “everyday” schools not Texas Texas A&M types paying at least 20-30M in buyouts and then I’ll believe it.

I could see Pittman getting the boot too if he doesn’t do well this year. I don’t think his buyout is prohibitive either.
I'd have to amend this. JF's large buyout makes me think lots of things are possible now that I didn't think were before. Fickell at 27M, Stoops just under 40M etc..
 

MADHAT1

Heisman
Apr 1, 2003
31,534
16,361
113
Doesn't sound like they exchange Christmas Cards.

Don't sound like there's bad blood, nor the type of warmth friends have.
More than likely 2 competitors thrown together doing the same job at the same place that didn't leave as friends, but not enemies either .
I believe if both thought it would help their career Luke would work for Greg and Greg would offer Luke the RU DC position .
But neither would consider the other as a first choice when it comes to working together.
 
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rutgersguy2

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Where have I seen that idea before @Knight Shift ;)

Nice to see this being discussed a lot more in the CFB media finally but won't believe things will change until I actually see it in practice.

Paywall but some excerpts:

But the era of directly sharing revenue with players could finally change the math. At least, they hope.

“For the first time, every dollar in head coach salary is one less dollar that would go to buying you better players,” said one administrator, granted anonymity to discuss the topic candidly.

College coaching contracts really aren’t like anything else in major sports. NFL teams can’t hire sitting head coaches without permission or a trade. In pro sports, in the business world, in most things, a contract is binding.

Joe Moglia, the former Coastal Carolina head coach and CEO of TD Ameritrade, has long railed about the nature of coaching contracts and the damage schools do to themselves.

“(Right now), if you have a great year and somebody wants you, you can leave the next year, and with the portal the way it is, all your best players can come with you,” Moglia said in 2022. “The school you’re leaving is decimated. … If you sign a five-year deal, you’re supposed to be there for five years and nobody can poach you. Nobody should even be allowed to talk to him unless there’s six months left or something. If a guy is doing great and you want to extend him, the guy has to make a real decision. If he thinks he can get a bigger job, he might hold off.

“(But right now), even if the future may be in doubt, they’re encouraged by the agent to extend the contract because of recruiting. That’s bulls—.”

Coaches already get bonuses for championships and various other accomplishments, but they could always dramatically increase that — a bonus for every win past a sixth victory, for example. Another option could be shorter contracts like the NFL.

 
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MADHAT1

Heisman
Apr 1, 2003
31,534
16,361
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The top job here makes me wonder if they know what they are talking about.
It's a good one but Penn State despite the pressure is a coach's dream ,with the type of support the program gets
 
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$677K at James Madison to $11M at Indiana…that’s just impressive… now however he has to beat the poisonous nuts and Michigan consistently, but even if he gets fired eventually he’s already won
 
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MADHAT1

Heisman
Apr 1, 2003
31,534
16,361
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Well in a few years the buyout will be in the Franklin category.
I always wondered why a school couldn't extend the years add mega bucks bit have a time limit before
the extension salary would be used for buyout.
I'd say one year before original contract would expire and if let go before original contract expired the time left on original would be paid in full for the years left , then what years left because of the extension the buyout would be paid half of what salary he made due to the extension.
If canned after original expiration date, full extension salary for the remaining years school would owe .
I'm probably naive to think that way, but when schools pay giant buyouts- the fans complain and schools ( boosters) set themselves up for them anyway just to keep a HC or entice them to come after paying through the nose to get rid of the last one
 

rutgersguy2

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Well in a few years the buyout will be in the Franklin category.
I always wondered why a school couldn't extend the years add mega bucks bit have a time limit before
the extension salary would be used for buyout.
I'd say one year before original contract would expire and if let go before original contract expired the time left on original would be paid in full for the years left , then what years left because of the extension the buyout would be paid half of what salary he made due to the extension.
If canned after original expiration date, full extension salary for the remaining years school would owe .
I'm probably naive to think that way, but when schools pay giant buyouts- the fans complain and schools ( boosters) set themselves up for them anyway just to keep a HC or entice them to come after paying through the nose to get rid of the last one
I don't have a problem with the big salaries when the coach is performing. Pay 12M last year to CC, he deserves it. If he does the same this year, he deserves it. The problem is the salaries and buyout figures when you're not performing and performance can drop for anyone regardless of what may be happening in the present.

I'd do contracts which reward performance and have a reasonable base. Somewhat similar to what @Knight Shift has suggested

5 yr contract 4M/yr
1M bonus for each conference win starting at 5 ( 9 conference games so 5 wins is a good area)
1M bonus for a ranking in the final CFP rankings of the year (ranked teams usually have at least 8-9 wins)
1M bonus for a playoff appearance
1M bonus for each playoff win
1.5M bonus for national championship

2 years automatically added to the deal under the same terms (this metric can be flexible) for any final CFP ranking or playoff appearance if there is less than 4 years on the contract.

No outs for anything except NFL HC

On a very good year, that gets you into the double digits to mid teens in salary. On an average year to good year somewhere in the mid to high singles. Subpar year 4M.

That kind of deal pays for performance, handsomely rewards high performance, can keep a coach around longer and also controls buyouts to 16M or less.

It's fair for everyone. If a coach/agent won't except, keep looking. Plenty of qualified candidates worthy of an opportunity that would. This has to be done when the coach is first hired. Agents will push back anyway but moreso on a currently sitting HC.

Use the money saved on the base salary on assistant pool or athletic department's NIL budget. I just saw an article in the Athletic where an assistant turned down a raise and said put it towards NIL. I've similar with HCs looking to get more money to their assistants.

The years you're performing well, everyone will happily pay the high salary. If you're not, there isn't an albatross around your neck.
 
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MADHAT1

Heisman
Apr 1, 2003
31,534
16,361
113
Yea I heard comments from him that he wants to be there through next year…so not a 1 and done…maybe a 2 and done lol.
or he found a spot that he can recruit at his own pace, not one that SEC schools need to win.
I would say 1 more year ( rest of this one and next year) , because if he has a great season next year after having a good one this year , it will be hard to turn down the type of offers he'll be getting
 
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Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
88,862
86,877
113
or he found a spot that he can recruit at his own pace, not one that SEC schools need to win.
I would say 2 years like you said is the truth , because if he has a great season next year it will be hard to turn down the type of offers he'll be getting
But the B1G recruiting "pace" is fine for him! ;)
 

rutgersguy2

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Napier choked up in press conference after the game and took pics with family on the field after the game which he hasn’t done before.

Most think that was his last game.

I’d wonder about Fickell too with regards to today.

Edit: heard after Oregon, Wisc has an open date so maybe then.

 
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Brian Kelly now rumored to be in trouble at LSU…he’s a New England dude totally out of place in Dixie.

Maybe penn state and lsu can trade…circumvent buyouts...a head coaches transfer portal…save $$
 

Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
88,862
86,877
113


Billy Napier, like Luke Fickell, seemed like such a sure thing:

2018Louisiana7–75–3T–1st (West)L Cure
2019Louisiana11–37–11st (West)W LendingTree
2020Louisiana10–17–11st (West)[29]W First Responder1615
2021Louisiana12–18–01st (West)New Orleans[a]1816
Louisiana:40–1227–5
Florida Gators (Southeastern Conference) (2022–present)
2022Florida6–73–5T–4th (Eastern)L Las Vegas
2023Florida5–73–5T–4th (Eastern)
2024Florida8–54–410thW Gasparilla
2025Florida2–41–2
Florida:21–2311–16
 
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rutgersguy2

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Billy Napier, like Luke Fickell, seemed like such a sure thing:

2018Louisiana7–75–3T–1st (West)L Cure
2019Louisiana11–37–11st (West)W LendingTree
2020Louisiana10–17–11st (West)[29]W First Responder1615
2021Louisiana12–18–01st (West)New Orleans[a]1816
Louisiana:40–1227–5
Florida Gators (Southeastern Conference) (2022–present)
2022Florida6–73–5T–4th (Eastern)L Las Vegas
2023Florida5–73–5T–4th (Eastern)
2024Florida8–54–410thW Gasparilla
2025Florida2–41–2
Florida:21–2311–16

Sounds like he’s a nice guy listening to CFB media and they have talent but he hasn’t been able to put it together. Also his game management is highly questionable, including yesterday’s Miss St game which they very nearly lost because his decisions.

 
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Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
88,862
86,877
113
Sounds like he’s a nice guy listening to CFB media and they have talent but he hasn’t been able to put it together. Also his game management is highly questionable, including yesterday’s Miss St game which they very nearly lost because his decisions.


Easier to get away with in a G5, at lower tier conference games. In P4, particularly in the B1G and SEC, the margin for error is ever so slight. Like last night in Piscataway- Rutgers was one good defensive play from winning that game. And a fieldhouse, and $40 million in NIL money. We had those things, and a coaching change would NEVER be necessary. Ash would win in that scenario! 🤪