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illinimike

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Jun 15, 2001
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You are incredibly evasive in your criticism of my post. Do you have a specific position here?
I’m having a hard time believing that you guys are buying that he was killed with a .30-06. The story as given makes no sense. But people bought the wet market crap as the origin of Covid for a year, so I guess we aren’t there yet.

Anyhow, I digressed, Marco using that and Butler (which the lack of curiosity there is interesting) for political talking points is just what you would expect
 

ILisBest

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Jun 16, 2007
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I’m having a hard time believing that you guys are buying that he was killed with a .30-06. The story as given makes no sense. But people bought the wet market crap as the origin of Covid for a year, so I guess we aren’t there yet.

Anyhow, I digressed, Marco using that and Butler (which the lack of curiosity there is interesting) for political talking points is just what you would expect
So you think they have the wrong guy in Utah and Butler?
 

illinimike

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Jun 15, 2001
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So you think they have the wrong guy in Utah and Butler?
I didn’t say that. I said he was not shot with.a .30-06. I don’t claim to know what happened, but it wasn’t that. I suspect it’s more than a simple “you’ve got the wrong guy” thing, but I don’t know. A plausible story would have been nice. Will it get to trial is the question.
 

ILisBest

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I didn’t say that. I said he was not shot with.a .30-06. I don’t claim to know what happened, but it wasn’t that. I suspect it’s more than a simple “you’ve got the wrong guy” thing, but I don’t know. A plausible story would have been nice. Will it get to trial is the question.
The defense is correctly noting the inconclusive bullet fragment result and using it to argue for more scrutiny or to plant doubt. However, treating that single inconclusive finding as proof the bullet “didn’t match” the rifle—or as a major hole in the case—misrepresents how ballistics forensics works. Damaged bullet fragments frequently yield inconclusive results without ruling out the weapon, especially when the cartridge case does match and the rest of the evidence (DNA, confessions, recovery of the rifle, etc.) aligns.This is a standard defense approach in high-stakes cases: emphasize weaknesses in one area of forensics while the totality of evidence remains strong. The inconclusive bullet result is explainable by the physics of the wound and ammunition type; it does not contradict the positive casing match or other links to the rifle and suspect.

Some background here:

Why the Bullet Fragment Was Damaged and InconclusiveKirk was shot in the neck with what appears to have been a soft-point hunting round (e.g., .30-06 Remington Core-Lokt type, consistent with the rifle and recovered fragments). These bullets are designed to expand and transfer energy inside the target rather than pass through cleanly. When they strike dense structures like bone or vertebrae:
  • They deform, mushroom, and fragment.
  • Fine microscopic striations on the jacket are destroyed or obscured.
  • Only a deformed jacket fragment and lead pieces were recovered from the autopsy (lead fragments were unsuitable for comparison).
This is a well-known limitation in ballistics. A neck shot increasing the chance of bone impact makes an inconclusive bullet result scientifically expected, not suspicious.

The bullet fragment comparison is only one narrow piece of forensic evidence. The overall case against Robinson includes:
  • DNA consistent with Robinson on the rifle trigger, other rifle parts, the fired cartridge casing, unfired cartridges, and the towel it was wrapped in.
  • Confessions: Texts to his roommate/partner admitting “I am” the shooter and citing motive (“I had enough of his hatred”); a note left under a keyboard stating he took the opportunity to kill Kirk.
  • Physical/recovered evidence: The rifle (grandfather’s Mauser 98 .30-06) found nearby, engraved casings with memes (“Hey fascist! Catch!”, etc.) linked to a Dremel tool associated with Robinson, test-fired casings matching the rifle, surveillance/video placing a person consistent with Robinson on the rooftop.
  • Other: Class characteristics of the bullet fragments consistent with the rifle; the rifle was operable and test-fired.

You may want to stay away from online conspiracies. This kid did it and will be guilty either through plea or conviction. It was his leftwing disagreements with Charlie Kirk that motivated him. You were duped. It happens 🤷‍♂️
 
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illinimike

All-Conference
Jun 15, 2001
2,377
2,007
88
The defense is correctly noting the inconclusive bullet fragment result and using it to argue for more scrutiny or to plant doubt. However, treating that single inconclusive finding as proof the bullet “didn’t match” the rifle—or as a major hole in the case—misrepresents how ballistics forensics works. Damaged bullet fragments frequently yield inconclusive results without ruling out the weapon, especially when the cartridge case does match and the rest of the evidence (DNA, confessions, recovery of the rifle, etc.) aligns.This is a standard defense approach in high-stakes cases: emphasize weaknesses in one area of forensics while the totality of evidence remains strong. The inconclusive bullet result is explainable by the physics of the wound and ammunition type; it does not contradict the positive casing match or other links to the rifle and suspect.

Some background here:

Why the Bullet Fragment Was Damaged and InconclusiveKirk was shot in the neck with what appears to have been a soft-point hunting round (e.g., .30-06 Remington Core-Lokt type, consistent with the rifle and recovered fragments). These bullets are designed to expand and transfer energy inside the target rather than pass through cleanly. When they strike dense structures like bone or vertebrae:
  • They deform, mushroom, and fragment.
  • Fine microscopic striations on the jacket are destroyed or obscured.
  • Only a deformed jacket fragment and lead pieces were recovered from the autopsy (lead fragments were unsuitable for comparison).
This is a well-known limitation in ballistics. A neck shot increasing the chance of bone impact makes an inconclusive bullet result scientifically expected, not suspicious.

The bullet fragment comparison is only one narrow piece of forensic evidence. The overall case against Robinson includes:
  • DNA consistent with Robinson on the rifle trigger, other rifle parts, the fired cartridge casing, unfired cartridges, and the towel it was wrapped in.
  • Confessions: Texts to his roommate/partner admitting “I am” the shooter and citing motive (“I had enough of his hatred”); a note left under a keyboard stating he took the opportunity to kill Kirk.
  • Physical/recovered evidence: The rifle (grandfather’s Mauser 98 .30-06) found nearby, engraved casings with memes (“Hey fascist! Catch!”, etc.) linked to a Dremel tool associated with Robinson, test-fired casings matching the rifle, surveillance/video placing a person consistent with Robinson on the rooftop.
  • Other: Class characteristics of the bullet fragments consistent with the rifle; the rifle was operable and test-fired.

You may want to stay away from online conspiracies. This kid did it and will be guilty either through plea or conviction. It was his leftwing disagreements with Charlie Kirk that motivated him. You were duped. It happens 🤷‍♂️
That's not it at all. It's what a .30-06 would do, not the fragments. His neck wouldn't stop a .30-06.

I do agree there are crazy conspiracies out there on it, most of which I'm sure I'm not even aware of. But I'm not even talking about that. I'm just using basic common sense (I've bled more cutting myself shaving), basic physics (this isn't a 9mm), with a sprinkler of cynicism (why would anybody be cynical!).