The more I look at this game it comes down to two areas. Mistakes including turnovers and penalties would be enough to create a loss for either team. The second and likely most important is coaching. Specifically, SP offense versus KM defense. Feel comfortable that we know what KM will and should do and that is to load the box. ML is a master at finding blocking patterns for his team as a game wears on. The tight defense creates short runs and the opportunity for long runs. How many seams will ML and staff find. SP defense should be able to hold KM offense to a reasonable number of points. SP wins if they can find 28 points.