***CC22 and the Fever mega thread***

Hawk48

All-Conference
Jun 10, 2005
1,100
1,732
113
Agree, but my point here is that we still have 4 games left before they vote on MVP. Just saying that the writers and broadcasters will be looking at the players' entire "Body of work."
I have zero confidence she has a true shot given the wnba woke politics and haters, JMO
 
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AFM22

Heisman
Oct 31, 2022
20,590
39,457
113
This is idiotic. You’re violating your own critical. It’s a full year and shes more than made up for it. And her slow start is measured on the CC standard. Totality of the year and what she’s accomplished even with a “slow start” is even more impressive. MVP.
We weren’t talking about MVP. We were talking about POWER RANKINGS after her first 30 days where I quoted she was a top 5-10 player.

You guys are just making things up to be mad about.
 

SoonerBeAHawk

Senior
Nov 27, 2005
442
912
93
If Clark continues bau AND has a game like tonight in one of the games against the Lynx, I think she could make a pretty compelling argument.
Or how about if Caitlin's teammates break from character and convert a good percentage of Caitlin's dimes and Caitlin has 20+ assists?

I'm guessing we're all thinking for Caitlin and the team it's due.
 

Herky T Hawk

Senior
Feb 5, 2003
315
757
93
But an injury and restricted minutes doesn’t cause a player to go from the top one or two in the league to 11th. The biggest thing that hurts Clark are unrealistic expectations by her fans and her haters. She’s doing things no other player in the history or the league has done and people shrug their shoulders and talk about her turnovers or she’s not shooting a high enough percentage.
This is the thing that is insane. Her bar is so much higher than any other player in league history.

This week she literally did a thing that no player in the history of the league had ever done. 30+pts and 10+ assists in the same game had never been accomplished more than once by a player other than her. She did it twice in the same week. And it isn’t like last week when they had 4 games, they only had 2 games this week. But all some people can talk about is some turnovers and missed shots. People rave about Aja Wilson, who is great. But, her FG% is less than 7% better than Clark’s this season. And that is as a post player compared to a guard. Many post players in the league are shooting better than her including Boston, Cardoso, Hamby, Shepard, and Howard who all average more than 10 shots per game. Yet, I don’t hear anyone complaining about Aja’s shooting or the fact that she takes more shots than anyone else in the league.

We’ll see where that puts her on the player of the week convo. Reese set the single game rebounding record on Monday this week, which would normally give her the award. But how do you argue with someone that averaged 35.5 points, 11 assists, 4 rebounds, and 2 steals per game in a week?

Another thing to consider. Her turnovers have gone down each of the past three seasons. And she’s going to set career highs for FG% and 3pt%. Aside from the complaining about the refs, those are the two biggest complaints about her. And she’s getting better at them. Give her a couple more healthy seasons, and off seasons, of development and watch out. If her FG% was at 50% she’d be averaging about 24 points this season, even keeping the minutes restrictions she had for much of the season.
 

Kceasthawk@77

All-American
Feb 2, 2005
3,585
6,490
113
This is the thing that is insane. Her bar is so much higher than any other player in league history.

This week she literally did a thing that no player in the history of the league had ever done. 30+pts and 10+ assists in the same game had never been accomplished more than once by a player other than her. She did it twice in the same week. And it isn’t like last week when they had 4 games, they only had 2 games this week. But all some people can talk about is some turnovers and missed shots. People rave about Aja Wilson, who is great. But, her FG% is less than 7% better than Clark’s this season. And that is as a post player compared to a guard. Many post players in the league are shooting better than her including Boston, Cardoso, Hamby, Shepard, and Howard who all average more than 10 shots per game. Yet, I don’t hear anyone complaining about Aja’s shooting or the fact that she takes more shots than anyone else in the league.

We’ll see where that puts her on the player of the week convo. Reese set the single game rebounding record on Monday this week, which would normally give her the award. But how do you argue with someone that averaged 35.5 points, 11 assists, 4 rebounds, and 2 steals per game in a week?

Another thing to consider. Her turnovers have gone down each of the past three seasons. And she’s going to set career highs for FG% and 3pt%. Aside from the complaining about the refs, those are the two biggest complaints about her. And she’s getting better at them. Give her a couple more healthy seasons, and off seasons, of development and watch out. If her FG% was at 50% she’d be averaging about 24 points this season, even keeping the minutes restrictions she had for much of the season.
Yep. Clarks SIXTH 30+ point , 10+assist game in less then 2 1/2 seasons worth of games. The rest of the ENTIRE WNBA has done that FOUR times in thirty years.
 

TJ8869

All-American
Dec 16, 2022
2,606
5,064
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Yep. Clarks SIXTH 30+ point , 10+assist game in less then 2 1/2 seasons worth of games. The rest of the ENTIRE WNBA has done that FOUR times in thirty years.
Yeah but it doesn’t count because it was against a bad team that was missing a couple of starters.

It’s absolutely criminal how for 30 years the WNBA has forced every team except the 2024-2026 Indiana Fever to play all of their games against really good teams.
 
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SoonerBeAHawk

Senior
Nov 27, 2005
442
912
93
Ima gonna go ahead and say that not only is the quantity of Caitlin's 30+/10+ games greater than any other player (obviously) BUT the quality on average is better too.

In Caitlin's six games she has averaged slightly more than 35 points and slightly less than 11 assists.

The average of the league's other 4 games of 30+/10+ is 31.5 points and 11 assists exactly. Significantly more points and almost the same, but slightly less, assists per game for Caitlin.

Obviously Caitlin's 45 point (30+/10+) game is singular in WNBA history. Next closest is 33 points by Skylar Diggins.
 

Tom Paris

Heisman
Oct 1, 2001
144,152
19,710
113
Imagine thinking at any point in time that CC isn't a top 10 player in this league. I laugh
I’m getting to the point where it’s top 5.
Good thing MVP isn't based on 1-on-1 matchups.

I think everyone's vote should be strictly based on the following... If you were building your WNBA championship team THIS year, who would you pick first? Not who would win 1-on-1, not the best player on the best team, not who you'd build your franchise around for the next decade...

Not saying that makes Caitlin a LOCK over Aja, but it's gotta be one of those two.

KM is playing really well and the two of them are really clicking, but would anyone pick KM #1 to build that championship team?
If the entire league opened up for a draft, Caitlin would be one of the first 3 players taken. IMO.
 
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Tom Paris

Heisman
Oct 1, 2001
144,152
19,710
113
It is something to see "the show " in person. My wife and I spent a few days in Indy last year to catch a Fever game, and were fortunate to be there right after her first "injury break". She was great, and that was the "brawl" game with the Sun, with Clark and Sophie vs Mabry and Sheldon. Pretty rowdy crowd, especially after all that.
My wife and I were there. She was as pissed as if one of our own kids got assaulted. 🤣
 
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Tom Paris

Heisman
Oct 1, 2001
144,152
19,710
113
Ya she’s having a great season now. Not in the first 30 days.

Come on, people.
If Wemby sprained his ankle in the preseason, and works through that injury, his numbers are down, during the first 30 games, are you saying he would NOT be a top 5 player in the league?? SGA?

I ask as someone who would give the MVP to Aja. I just think your injury argument is kind of silly
 

AFM22

Heisman
Oct 31, 2022
20,590
39,457
113
If Wemby sprained his ankle in the preseason, and works through that injury, his numbers are down, during the first 30 games, are you saying he would NOT be a top 5 player in the league?? SGA?

I ask as someone who would give the MVP to Aja. I just think your injury argument is kind of silly
Spraining his ankle is different than coming off a season ending injury. She was also shooting 35%. We didn’t know if she would return to the same player she was at the end of 2024.

I pulled a quote from May 30 where I said she was top 5-10 player in the league at the time. Apparently that’s not good enough for some of you.

Not knowing what we know now, it was a justifiable ranking.
 

Tom Paris

Heisman
Oct 1, 2001
144,152
19,710
113
Spraining his ankle is different than coming off a season ending injury. She was also shooting 35%. We didn’t know if she would return to the same player she was at the end of 2024.

I pulled a quote from May 30 where I said she was top 5-10 player in the league at the time. Apparently that’s not good enough for some of you.

Not knowing what we know now, it was a justifiable ranking.
Ok…Wemby coming off a season ending injury…
 

Tom Paris

Heisman
Oct 1, 2001
144,152
19,710
113
Spraining his ankle is different than coming off a season ending injury. She was also shooting 35%. We didn’t know if she would return to the same player she was at the end of 2024.

I pulled a quote from May 30 where I said she was top 5-10 player in the league at the time. Apparently that’s not good enough for some of you.

Not knowing what we know now, it was a justifiable ranking.
I didn’t see your quote, for the record.
 
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AFM22

Heisman
Oct 31, 2022
20,590
39,457
113
I didn’t see your quote, for the record.
All this started was bc BroD said I didn’t think she was to 10 earlier in the season. It was a power ranking. I thought she was 5-10, and to be fair there were 5-10 players that started much better than Clark. She didn’t really get back into her current form for another 2 weeks.

currently my opinion is she’s top 2 or 3 depending on the night.
 
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Herky T Hawk

Senior
Feb 5, 2003
315
757
93
I’m getting to the point where it’s top 5.

If the entire league opened up for a draft, Caitlin would be one of the first 3 players taken. IMO.
That's an interesting question about a redraft. It depends upon what the redraft is for. A single season to try to win a championship? Or is it an expansion-style draft where you're building the future of your franchise?

The Clark naysayers say that Aja is easily #1 in a redraft. And I agree if you're drafting for a single season. But if you're drafting for the next 10 years is that the case? Aja is 30 years old and playing in her 9th season. We've seen the peak of her and at some point she will come back down to earth. It is likely that she declines from being annual MVP-caliber within the next 3-4 years. Probably still all-star until 35 though. So you're looking at a half-decade of high performance barring injury.

Clark is 24 and in her 3rd season. She's got 2-4 years of getting better athletically before women typically peak at around 26-28. From there she will need to slow the athletic decline while improving her skills and court savvy. Barring injuries you're looking at all-star to MVP caliber play for a decade.

So, who do you take? A player with a few more years as an MVP candidate, and an additional few more years as an all-star? Or a player with around a decade ahead of her as an MVP candidate?

It would be like saying do you take Jordan in 1995? Or do you take Shaq? You can't really go wrong with either player. Both brought multiple titles to their teams after that year.
 

Tom Paris

Heisman
Oct 1, 2001
144,152
19,710
113
That's an interesting question about a redraft. It depends upon what the redraft is for. A single season to try to win a championship? Or is it an expansion-style draft where you're building the future of your franchise?

The Clark naysayers say that Aja is easily #1 in a redraft. And I agree if you're drafting for a single season. But if you're drafting for the next 10 years is that the case? Aja is 30 years old and playing in her 9th season. We've seen the peak of her and at some point she will come back down to earth. It is likely that she declines from being annual MVP-caliber within the next 3-4 years. Probably still all-star until 35 though. So you're looking at a half-decade of high performance barring injury.

Clark is 24 and in her 3rd season. She's got 2-4 years of getting better athletically before women typically peak at around 26-28. From there she will need to slow the athletic decline while improving her skills and court savvy. Barring injuries you're looking at all-star to MVP caliber play for a decade.

So, who do you take? A player with a few more years as an MVP candidate, and an additional few more years as an all-star? Or a player with around a decade ahead of her as an MVP candidate?

It would be like saying do you take Jordan in 1995? Or do you take Shaq? You can't really go wrong with either player. Both brought multiple titles to their teams after that year.
I meant to restart the league. I should have clarified.
 

o_AMAYS

All-Conference
Jan 4, 2023
779
1,439
93
I'd also be very surprised if AJa doesn't win it. Not saying she's not worthy of winning it, and I do think Mitchell and Clark are going to take votes from each other.

Agree on Aja winning MVP. Curious to see how Mitchell and Clark fare in the voting. I've been a skeptic of value stats like Win Shares, Player Efficiency Rating etc., and wonder if they under value the assist and over weight the turnover. Still, based on recent history, value stats would indicate that Mitchell is a serious MVP candidate along with Aja, while Clark is a pretender (likely due to her rough start transitioning back from injury):

MVPs
Season
WS rank
PER rank
PER*Min rank
Maya Moore
2014​
1​
1​
1​
Elena Delle Donne
2015​
1​
1​
1​
Nneka Ogwumike
2016​
1​
1​
1​
Sylvia Fowles
2017​
1​
1​
1​
Breanna Stewart
2018​
1​
2​
1​
Elena Delle Donne
2019​
1​
1​
1​
A'ja Wilson
2020​
1 or 2​
3​
1​
Jonquel Jones
2021​
1​
2​
4​
A'ja Wilson
2022​
2​
2​
1​
Breanna Stewart
2023​
1 or 2​
2​
2​
A'ja Wilson
2024​
1​
1​
1​
A'ja Wilson
2025​
1​
1​
1​
thru 8/28
Aja Wilson
2026​
1​
1​
1​
Kelsey Mitchell
2026​
2​
3​
2​
Caitlin Clark
2026​
14​
7​
9​

WS--Win Shares - estimate of wins player produced
(sometimes HerHoopStats and Sports Reference disagree)
PER--Player Efficiency Rating - per minute estimate of player value
PER*Minutes - estimate of total player value using PER
 
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