Well, in the previous post, I indicated that there aren't specific bits of information that I'm waiting for. But you mentioned injuries ... that's an obvious one that has influence ... illnesses, as well (that happened recently), weather (I'll give you a recent example following this) ... scandal ... travel issues ... hell, game plan related info that comes out .. playing time decisions ... you know, anything that could potentially effect the product on the field ... affecting one team, or both.
So, as to weather, there was one that personally effected me, recently. And it was discussed on this board, as well. VT @ BC 2 weeks ago. I was planning to travel with family that weekend, so I was closely monitoring the weather situation for those reasons (would we be able to go at all? would we need to change our flight time or even airport? would we have to change our plans with the dog? would we lose power?) ... but it would obviously have affected the game. Early in the week, there was great uncertainty as to just how bad the Nor'easter would be in various parts of New England. Different tracks were possible ... some made it a rainy, windy situation in interior NE, but manageable .. others made it a pretty big friggin mess ... the timing of the rain and wind was also up in the air.
So, where I would have hypothetically taken VT and given the points (in MA, you can't bet on college games involving MA schools), pretty easily in decent weather, I knew if it was "worst case" or near that, weather-wise, it would be a much lower scoring slog, and there's no way you'd give the points. It looks like at least one boardie took VT early on ... and that was an obvious bad move at the time, due to the uncertainty. And the uncertainty proved to play out to work against that bet. The "funny" part was, as I was travelling out of state, and we were actually able to make our flight on Friday, I was able to make a bet and bet AGAINST VT (taking BC and the points) on Saturday morning, and made some easy money, on a bet that would have flipped the other way (I wouldn't have just avoided the game - I would have actively supported VT minus the points) in better weather.