The "don't worry be happy" and "trust Ash" theme of your post does not inspire confidence. You can blame Kyle in year 1 and year 2. Year 3 is where the rubber meets the road, and Ash owns this. With three recruiting classes in, the majority of players on the team are his.
Kyle could have done a lot of things better, but he did leave a base of talent, which should have been enough to not be putrid. We won 8 games with many of these players in 2014. While we only won 4 games in 2015, we were at least competitive in some others:
- falling 37-34 to WSU
- falling 31-24 to MSU
- falling 46-41 to Maryland
We have struggled the past two years largely due to inadequate qb play and a scheme that didn't fit the players in year 1. That falls squarely on Chris Ashes shoulders.
In order for me to feel comfortable with where things are headed, I need to see signs of progress. These are the concerns:
- Recruiting worsened from 2017 to 2018
- Ash recruited fewer than half the number of NJ HS players in 2018 than he did in 2017
- To make up for the lack of NJ recruiting productivity, Ash recruited 6 players from NY, where the quality of HS football isn't as good, and players will likely need more development
- Even during the Kyle Flood era, NJ's best recruits, like Jarrett Guarantano, would at least unofficially visit Rutgers. That doesn't seem to be happening, with the same frequency, this year
- The only high ranked 2019 NJ recruit Todd Hunt sees Rutgers landing is NJ #9 Nyquee Hawkins
http://www.nj.com/rutgersfootball/index.ssf/2018/03/post_64.html
Answer: I'd probably go as high as Nyquee Hawkins, who I have No. 9 in my NJ.com Top 50, although I feel more comfortable with Rahmir Johnson at No. 13. Hawkins has been bullish on Rutgers recently, even suggesting that Rutgers recruiting assistant Matt Hewitt is the best recruiter in the region. But, ultimately, will that materialize into a pledge for such a highly-regarded national recruit? Johnson is likely a safer bet, although with 14 offers, he could easily end up elsewhere, as well. But one would think his ties to his former head coach Nunzio Campanile could help.
St. Joseph (Met.) offensive lineman John Olmstead, N.J.'s top recruit, has kept Rutgers in the mix, but is unlikely to stay home in the end with Minnesota and Notre Dame coming on strong. And I've got Colonia's Antonio Alfano at No. 2, though I think he has the highest ceiling of anyone in the state. If his family decides he'd be better off staying close to home following a a high school career in which he's struggled off the field, that would at least give Rutgers a shot.
None of this is explained by what Julie or Barchi did or didn't do. The purse strings were unloosened for Ash and donors stepped up. Consequently, he has better facilities than his predecessors including:
- outdoor practice facility
- new weight room equipment
- improved Hale Center Lobby
In spite of these upgrades, Ash's message simply isn't resonating with many of the best NJ recruits. Gregs recruiting got better as time went on, so there was a comfort level with his strategy. Our recruiting took a step back from last year to this year, hence the apprehension.
I think our best chance to move forward is for one of the QBs to step up, so that we see significant improvement, giving him a chance to sell tangible results.