Lets do a little math lesson shall we. Which number is closest to the true value: A) 20k fatalities. B) 2.2 Million fatalities? You can think about that as you are 17'ing yourself.
Attack. How? Just pointed out the obvious.
Funny how the homophobes are taking their word as Gospel. Politics indeed makes strange bedfellows.
The people who publish scholarly research vary - scholarship tends to allow for that -, but they told us 2.2 million was possible without taking any action. We did take action and so far we are at 55K dead within two months. Hopefully we won't go much higher, but without a cure or vaccine more people will die.
You do realize that it's not a matter of "if" they'll die at this point, but "when" they die.
Attack. How? Just pointed out the obvious.
Funny how the homophobes are taking their word as Gospel. Politics indeed makes strange bedfellows.
The people who publish scholarly research vary - scholarship tends to allow for that -, but they told us 2.2 million was possible without taking any action. We did take action and so far we are at 55K dead within two months. Hopefully we won't go much higher, but without a cure or vaccine more people will die.
You do realize that it's not a matter of "if" they'll die at this point, but "when" they die.
I think theses guys made some good points and I don’t necessarily disagree with them, but I think they omitted an important detail which biases their whole case.
650,000 tested in NY State 250,000 tested positive 37,000 have died.
The numbers that he used are from a few days ago but we can still use them.
He said the number is 39% of tested actually 38.4 have the virus which is correct.
250,000 / 650,000 = 38.4%
20,000,000 X 39 % = 7.8 million NY Population tested positive.
My only problem with what he said, is for all his talk about data and extrapolating... he extrapolated the cases but didn’t extrapolate the deaths. If these are the numbers he wants to hang his argument on, then take it all the way out...
Deaths would not be 19,000 if 7.8 million people were positive.
650,000 people tested 19,000 have died that is 19,000/650,000 = 2.9%
7,8000,000 X 2.9% = 226,200 deaths of those who contract the virus.
In the U.S that number would be 320,000,000 X 39% =124,000,000positive
124,000,000 X 2.9% is 3,619,200... deaths nationwide.
I’m sure he is smart enough to have figured these numbers, yet he failed to point it out. Why?
It's a reality-based statement, so of course we have some who don't like that sort of thing. Long-winded posts on covid from orthopedic surgeons are a hoot.
Lets do a little math lesson shall we. Which number is closest to the true value: A) 20k fatalities. B) 2.2 Million fatalities? You can think about that as you are 17'ing yourself.
So what I am taking from this is we have stayed close to the path projected if you take all of the measures. Nothing in his model incorporated antiviral meds or possible antibody testing. My thoughts are we beat the big curve... Let's be smart and make sure we don't spike back up on the second curve... Because in his projection, we are not having baby problems until November... Let's go be Sweden for a while and if ares start to spike up, lock down that area as appropriate. He kept numbers down in the summer because the virus was always going to have a hard time spreading in the summer.
Was this thing misrepresented in the media.. Probably. Misunderstood by politicians... Probably. Maybe I am the idiot, I have been before, but so far all I can see is we have proven him correct. Let's make sure he's wrong come November by just using some common sense until we either reach herd immunity or find a vaccine.
ETA link to original paper.
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/im...-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
See how dumb that is? FWIW I'm totally in favor of measured re-opening and voluntary social-distancing a'la Sweden.
I am with you 100%. All I want is for people to understand A: This was serious. B: It could become serious again. We were forced to over react because of the unknown... Now we have a lot more information.... We even know when the danger zone might happen... If it doesn't, great. If it does let's have a better plan.
I understand all of that. And I’ll admit I was under the impression they always accounted for some measure of mitigation. For some reason I thought Fauci cited that when discussing the models originally. Anyway....
What is ridiculous is that large segments of (uneducated) people are largely against ANY reopening. Scroll through any news article and people are STILL overreacting like they did in the beginning, as if it’s the only reaction to have. People are refusing to see that we can and must ease restrictions in a measured manor.
You got a link to any facts to support this statement?
This statement is false. Why? Because we don't know the ACTUAL death numbers due to Covid. Ever wonder why cancer and all other deaths have gone down since the pandemic?? It's because they are coding all deaths as covid if they die in a hospital. CARES act actually pays 20% more for Medicaid for all all covid deaths. So they aren't gonna waste a test on the dead just codes them as covid
This is a big reason why we have so many deaths. Until we get actual numbers of those that passed due to covid you can not compare
You got a link to any facts to support this statement?
https://www.dailywire.com/news/yes-...oded-patients-even-if-they-havent-been-tested
CDC, an estimated 24,000 Americans have died from the flu this season—down from 80,000 flu deaths in 2018. Hmmm
These are facts the CoronaBros don't want you to know
Orrr.... they are coded as COVID!???https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/past-seasons.html
1) Last season they estimated 34k deaths.
2) The most deaths in the last 9 seasons was 62k
3) It stands to reason that flu deaths are down this year, assuming that is true, BECAUSE WE HAVE ISOLATED FROM EACH OTHER
Orrr.... they are coded as COVID!???
And I referenced 2018 which was a record for flue case deaths not 19-20.
So it stands to reason that since hospitals are getting more money for COVID patients they don't report influenza cases as flue.
But that won't fit narratives
Wow. 50 posts in and not a single mention of commie YouTube taking down this video. God forbid there be any kind of rebuttal to what the WHO and CCP are propagating. Wake up people. 1A rights are being squashed right now & it seems no one is even paying attention or noticing.
I noticed Youtube removed the video. They are all the time removing videos or de-monitizing conservative viewpoints. But whats funny is this shouldn't even be about politics but about statistics. If you differ from the liberal stance people like Dawgg will come tell you that you have no credibility and to 17 off.
You are cherry picking and aren't even cherry picking correctly.
Last season, the death range was 26-53
This season, the death range is estimated to be 24-62.
Here is their chart for hospitalizations:
View attachment 16010
How is this season a flu outlier?
Okay detective. If Covid has a higher reimbursement, you found a motivator. The CDC isn't corroborating lower flu. Now go find out the Billings for cases at hospitals. It should be public for a lot of places. Pretty sure there was linked data in this topic that showed that was bunk as well.
Orrr.... they are coded as COVID!???
And I referenced 2018 which was a record for flue case deaths not 19-20.
So it stands to reason that since hospitals are getting more money for COVID patients they don't report influenza cases as flue.
But that won't fit narratives
Maroon and White Football
"Nothing changes": Mississippi State's LJ Prudhomme and Marcus Williams discuss expectations with bruised team
Maroon and White Football
Shuffled Mississippi State offense puts up yards, but no points in first shutout since 2020
Maroon and White
Everything Mississippi State HC Jeff Lebby said after LSU loss
Maroon and White
Rapid Recap: No. 22 LSU 31-0 No. 16 Mississippi State
Maroon and White
Inside the numbers: Mississippi State-LSU first half stats