Year 3

Dec 17, 2008
45,214
16,774
0
It’s funny cause when I was writing I was thinking that’s what may do Ash in. Swapping offensive schemes every year. I think that’s the one part of his tenure that the criticism is 100% justified.

We’ll never know but I think if you replaced Mehringer with another (i.e. better & more experience) spread guy you’d be further along in the rebuilding v going with Kill last year.
I tend to agree with that and not too thrilled about the switch either. I do think we'll see improvement on offense though, just how much who knows. I wasn't enthused about Mehringer nor Kill. To me a spread is the best avenue for a school like us but we've never had somebody competent in running it as coordinator.
 
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G- RUnit

All-American
Sep 13, 2004
14,371
7,973
113
Sign up for 4 wins ? You’re kidding right . Can you set the bar any lower?
If only beating Powehouses Texas St., Buffalo, Kansas, and Illinois makes you feel good about the state of our Program I don’t what to tell you.

Therein lies the problem. RU does deserve much more. Realistically we should be getting six and a bowl bid. If not what’s the point? Maryland, Indy, NW, all winnable.
 

63valiant

Freshman
Dec 21, 2008
126
57
0
His first year I am not even considering due to the fact of having very little time to recruit, Put together a coaching staff etc. Ash will turn this program around and it is a much bigger project than previous coaches due to the fact we are in arguably the toughest conference. Flood had some great kids to work with due to Schianos recruiting so you cant consider his 3rd year.
 

Retired711

Heisman
Nov 20, 2001
19,971
10,149
58
According to this poll, which 125 members of this board responded to, 42% think Ash does have to win a certain amount of games to avoid being fired. So they're all "completely out of touch" or "trolls," according to you and your great wisdom?

https://rutgers.forums.rivals.com/t...ash-need-to-keep-his-job.143755/#post-3274394

Yes, they're all of touch. That's clear from Rutgers having extended Ash's contract. That's why, as you recall, I suggested to you that your poll be in terms of what posters wanted instead of what posters wrongly imagined might happen.
 

DJ Spanky

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
48,161
59,056
113
His first year I am not even considering due to the fact of having very little time to recruit, Put together a coaching staff etc. Ash will turn this program around and it is a much bigger project than previous coaches due to the fact we are in arguably the toughest conference.
I disagree: I think Schiano had it much harder, not because of the conference, but just the complete lack of infrastructure, facilities, support staff, etc. And also the general malaise that surrounded athletics at Rutgers.
 

jason21psu

Junior
Jan 9, 2015
608
399
0
I feel like I’ve posted this before but the surest way to stay a bottom dweller of the conference is to fire head coaches every 3 years. Someone (SB Nation maybe?) did an article with the research and data to back this up. If I have time later I’ll look for it.

Basically though firing a head coach usually results in the new coach being the opposite of the previous coach. Spread v Pro Style or Offensive minded v Defensive minded. Which leads to the new coach needing time to get his players in to fit his new scheme. New coach doesn’t win fast enough and the cycle repeats.

If Ash is changing the culture and doing everything else positive you’re far better keeping him than changing coaches again. Look at Dabo and Dantonio as guys that were given the time to be successful.

I don't remember if this is the article I saw before but it summarizes the study, also has the links to the whole study if you want to read that.

http://freakonomics.com/2012/12/21/is-changing-the-coach-really-the-answer/

EDIT: I'm not sure we can trust this article though since is was released on the date the world was supposed to end (according to the Mayan calendar) :grimace:
 

ZMR512

Freshman
Mar 23, 2018
173
90
0
For any RU fans suggesting to potentially fire Ash after this season, I ask just one question: Who are you hiring to replace him?
 
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JCKnight

Senior
Aug 27, 2017
938
489
0
It’s funny cause when I was writing I was thinking that’s what may do Ash in. Swapping offensive schemes every year. I think that’s the one part of his tenure that the criticism is 100% justified.

We’ll never know but I think if you replaced Mehringer with another (i.e. better & more experience) spread guy you’d be further along in the rebuilding v going with Kill last year.
Im in the minority here but my biggest gripe with Ash has been his inability to hire really good assistant coaches particularly an OC that will run the spread and we stick to it, as much as I like McNulty as a person from an offensive scheme perspective it makes no sense because I don’t think we can recruit well enough to win with a pro style offense right now...recruiting athletes to run the spread is much easier than true football players for the pro style...
Also, why do some people act like the EMU loss is like this unprecedented event? Do they really have that poor of a sense of context regarding our own history? Did Buffanova not happen in their parallel universe? Do they not realize that in 2002 Buffalo beat us for their ONLY win of the year, destroying us AT Rutgers 34-11, and they had won something like 5 games combined in the 4 seasons prior to that? Did a putrid Tulane team not beat us on Homeconing in 2010 in their version of reality? Did we not lose to a lousy 3-9 UConn team that was as actively losing BCS/P5 status by double-digits in 2013 in their version of time? Why do they act like Ash invented and patented ‘that game’ here at Rutgers?


Joe P.
I don’t want to give this a “like” because I feel awkward doing so...but I agree with your sentiment
For any RU fans suggesting to potentially fire Ash after this season, I ask just one question: Who are you hiring to replace him?
Paul Johnson, so we can run the Triple Option and even the playing field if we aren’t going to recruit B1G caliber lineman yet we seem to be able to recruit athletes...
 

ZMR512

Freshman
Mar 23, 2018
173
90
0
Paul Johnson, so we can run the Triple Option and even the playing field if we aren’t going to recruit B1G caliber lineman yet we seem to be able to recruit athletes...

So a cash-strapped AD is going to buy out Ash and his assistants, buy out the remainder of Johnson's contract at Georgia Tech, and then pay Johnson $1 million to $2 million more per season than Ash?

Doubtful.

And that's not even touching on implementing that system, which has produced a grand total of two 10-win seasons in the ACC, in the B1G.

Or accounting for whether Johnson, who is from the South and has coaching roots going back decades in Georgia, would even make the move.

Next....
 
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JCKnight

Senior
Aug 27, 2017
938
489
0
So a cash-strapped AD is going to buy out Ash and his assistants, buy out the remainder of Johnson's contract at Georgia Tech, and then pay Johnson $1 million to $2 million more per season than Ash?

Doubtful.

And that's not even touching on implementing that system, which has produced a grand total of two 10-win seasons in the ACC, in the B1G.

Or accounting for whether Johnson, who was born in North Carolina and has coaching roots going back decades in Georgia, would even want to come to Rutgers.

Next....
Not at all...I guess you haven’t read the thread...I’m in the group that says Ash isn’t going anywhere no matter what these next few years short of a scandal...but you asked for a new coach and I gave you one that would provide us a competitive advantage...ok if not PJ then maybe one of the academy coaches?
 

ZMR512

Freshman
Mar 23, 2018
173
90
0
Not at all...I guess you haven’t read the thread...I’m in the group that says Ash isn’t going anywhere no matter what these next few years short of a scandal...but you asked for a new coach and I gave you one that would provide us a competitive advantage...ok if not PJ then maybe one of the academy coaches?

Fair enough. I agree with you that Ash should be safe for 2-3 more years, barring off-the-field issues. My point to those who disagree would be, there isn't an obvious candidate out there that RU can afford/attract that would make starting over worth it.
 

RUJMM78

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
26,195
12,455
113
It's not going to happen but it's basically making the point that he's not getting fired this year no matter what barring off the field issues.

As far as earning the privilege, that's neither here nor there. There's only 1 guy making the decision and that's Hobbs and I tend to think he's going to give a lot of rope and have plenty of patience for his own hire.
I think some big donors impact the decision making on coaching decisions.
 

JCKnight

Senior
Aug 27, 2017
938
489
0
Fair enough. I agree with you that Ash should be safe for 2-3 more years, barring off-the-field issues. My point to those who disagree would be, there isn't an obvious candidate out there that RU can afford/attract that would make starting over worth it.
Fair...would you agree that finding an OC to run something other than a Pro Style concept might help us even the playing field when it comes to average to below average recruiting? Or at least that changing OCs that run different offensive schemes has really set us back?
 

63valiant

Freshman
Dec 21, 2008
126
57
0
I disagree: I think Schiano had it much harder, not because of the conference, but just the complete lack of infrastructure, facilities, support staff, etc. And also the general malaise that surrounded athletics at Rutgers.
You are right Spank no doubt Schiano had it harder he practically started with what would have been a decent High school team
 

Pils86

All-Conference
Sep 21, 2008
1,783
1,332
113
I think Ash's agent got the better of Hobbs by getting the extra two years for menial sanctions. We committed 7 years and $15 million for a first time HC. Based on this I think Ash gets 5 years regardless of results. Can't see RU eating 3 years and $6+ million. Ash needs to start out strong this year or recruiting will stagnate and a downward spiral is likely. Really need 5 wins and only one blowout loss to sell continuous improvement.

For those asking who could we get to replace Ash, in three years if things are bad, lets hope the Buffalo coach is available.
 

RU848789

Heisman
Jul 27, 2001
65,192
44,274
113
People didn’t accuse you of being a troll for wanting better results or even being critical of Ash; it was because you were posting in an antagonistic pattern where you appeared to willfully ignore anything that didn’t support your point of view while sensationalizing the points that did. If you would have just initially posted what you did above without all the exaggerated ‘Ash is just like Shea!!’ claims I don’t think anyone would have a real problem with it outside of standard discussion.


Joe P.
Well said. I expect 5 wins and will be disappointed with less, but I won't call for his head if we have 4 wins and lots of close losses. If we have 2-3 wins and a lot of blowout losses, then he'll clearly be on the hot seat and it probably will be time to at least discuss a new coach.
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,821
9,225
113
I agree there are reasons why Ash could survive a 3 win season, continuity, Ash being Hobb's first hire, the money involved in paying a fired coach, plus the money in hiring an improvement, and who is that improvement?

So Ash could be back for year 4 despite a 3 win or less season. But I think at that point the 4th year would only be a formality. I'd have no confidence in a strong year 4 after a bad year 3.

All that I said, I expect an improvement over last year.
 

Upstream

Heisman
Jul 31, 2001
35,284
10,251
113
If we have 2-3 wins and a lot of blowout losses, then he'll clearly be on the hot seat and it probably will be time to at least discuss a new coach.
If we have 2 or fewer wins and a lot of blowout losses, then there is more going on than Ash just not having enough time to get his players. That other stuff might lead to a coaching change.
 

RUSK97

All-American
Dec 28, 2007
10,460
6,551
0
Also, why do some people act like the EMU loss is like this unprecedented event? Do they really have that poor of a sense of context regarding our own history? Did Buffanova not happen in their parallel universe? Do they not realize that in 2002 Buffalo beat us for their ONLY win of the year, destroying us AT Rutgers 34-11, and they had won something like 5 games combined in the 4 seasons prior to that? Did a putrid Tulane team not beat us on Homeconing in 2010 in their version of reality? Did we not lose to a lousy 3-9 UConn team that was as actively losing BCS/P5 status by double-digits in 2013 in their version of time? Why do they act like Ash invented and patented ‘that game’ here at Rutgers?


Joe P.
You suck. Your post is absolutely correct, but you suck for bringing it up.
 
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RUbacker

Heisman
Dec 5, 2014
15,930
22,483
108
You do realize that saying this could result in some people hoping we don't make a bowl game, don't you?
We have the usual haters , it was Schiano and now it’s ash. These people suck and drag our program down. They are so draining. Get behind RU!
 

FELONIOUSMONK

All-American
Apr 1, 2012
11,909
5,090
0
We has our golden periods in the mid to late 70's and the Rice Leonard Sanu Britt Mcourty Schiano years . Out of 148 years that is not much of a resume. If he can get to 500 by year 5 with our best and brightest going out by of state and no Florida pipeline that would be a delight. Is what it is.
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,821
9,225
113
Also, why do some people act like the EMU loss is like this unprecedented event? Do they really have that poor of a sense of context regarding our own history? Did Buffanova not happen in their parallel universe? Do they not realize that in 2002 Buffalo beat us for their ONLY win of the year, destroying us AT Rutgers 34-11, and they had won something like 5 games combined in the 4 seasons prior to that? Did a putrid Tulane team not beat us on Homeconing in 2010 in their version of reality? Did we not lose to a lousy 3-9 UConn team that was as actively losing BCS/P5 status by double-digits in 2013 in their version of time? Why do they act like Ash invented and patented ‘that game’ here at Rutgers?


Joe P.
I don't know if bad losses under previous regime's is a good reason to write off a bad loss under the current regime.
 

Chags

Redshirt
Jul 31, 2001
670
11
0
A better question is,

If Ash wins a bowl game with a top 25 D this year do we pay him a legit B1G salary to keep him?

Pondering a 3 or 4 win season is a loser’s mindset. Don’t get sucked in.
 
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RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,821
9,225
113
A better question is,

If Ash wins a bowl game with a top 25 D this year do we pay him a legit B1G salary to keep him?

Pondering a 3 or 4 win season is a loser’s mindset. Don’t get sucked in.
A top 25 D? With our schedule? Ya, totally cool with a big raise.

I think the QB play factors into the Ash discussion in a big way. If Sitkowki, or Lewis, (or to a lesser extent Flacco) show real promise, then I'd forgive a disappointing W-L record. But if we are not seeing any real progress at that position, 4 or less wins looks bad moving fwd.
 
Apr 1, 2018
488
256
0
Interesting how the "you're a troll! you're a troll!" posters aren't bringing any facts of their own to the table. And how they conveniently ignore that I closed my original post by saying "I hope Coach Ash gets the job done. He seems like a decent, likable person who wants to win."
 

JoeRU0304

Heisman
Nov 9, 2005
106,442
17,901
103
I don't know if bad losses under previous regime's is a good reason to write off a bad loss under the current regime.

Totally not the point. I just want to know why Ash gets killed for it while everyone else doesn’t.


Joe P.
 

JCKnight

Senior
Aug 27, 2017
938
489
0
Interesting how the "you're a troll! you're a troll!" posters aren't bringing any facts of their own to the table. And how they conveniently ignore that I closed my original post by saying "I hope Coach Ash gets the job done. He seems like a decent, likable person who wants to win."
If you aren’t a troll, which I’m not saying you are, them just ignore the troll comments...it probably doesn’t help that you continually start new threads and have a tendency to end up with more of the negative posts than anyone else in the conversation...how about trying to start a thread that has a positive spin that you can make an arguement that is favorable?