So let me get this straight, you quoted my post calling you out for lying and making up stuff, where I provided evidence showing that what you said was wrong, and in response you shared an article that backed up everything I said, proving that you were lying and have no idea what you’re talking about?
You also managed to confirm that I actually do the research and understand the topics I discuss. What a novel approach. Imagine actually backing up what you post with facts. Maybe you should try it? I’ve got to say, this is Trump level 5D chess on your part. You really got me this time.
Here are eight other articles, many of which predate your article, that say the exact same thing:
Senior Policy Director John Erath spoke with BBC News Brasil about the Iran war and the need for diplomacy. The original article is in Portuguese. John Erath, senior director of the American institute Center for Arms Control and Nonproliferation, sees risks in what he describes as “the...
armscontrolcenter.org
Experts assess threat landscape amid war, lapsing treaties, declining faith in U.S. security guarantee
news.harvard.edu
In this Q&A, Brown University political scientist and nuclear security expert Reid Pauly shares insights and context on the expanding conflict in the Middle East.
www.brown.edu
Iran’s is trying to create wedges between Gulf states and the US, but Trump is very comfortable on the ‘escalatory ladder’
www.theguardian.com
America and Israel may have bitten off more than they can chew.
www.foreignaffairs.com
Deterrence theory is over 70 years old at this point. It’s not exactly a secret. It’s not like modern U.S. defense strategy was built around it or anything. Oh, it was? Interesting.
Foundational texts:
The Strategy of Conflict — Thomas Schelling
On Thermonuclear War — Herman Kahn
I thoroughly enjoyed your meltdown last night, and I hope it continues. The mask is coming off. No amount of rage posting or lying changes the reality of the situation, though. Your bias doesn’t allow you to look at this rationally. You’re too emotionally attached to your fantasy.
The Strait is still closed. Even if it opens today, the Pentagon says it could take up to six months to fully clear the mines. (
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/04/22/iran-hormuz-mines/)
Europe and Asia will begin running out of jet fuel within six weeks. They’re not going to sit idly by while Trump destabilizes the global economy. He’ll face increasing pressure, both domestically and internationally, to end the conflict.
While the U.S. is a net exporter of oil, it’s not insulated from supply and demand pricing or the increased logistics costs that come with it. Gas prices, along with the cost of everything else, will continue to rise for the foreseeable future. The American people will continue to be financially harmed by the Trump administration.
Even after the U.S. military has deployed nearly everything in its arsenal short of nuclear weapons or a ground invasion, roughly half of Iran’s missile launchers remain intact and functional.
About half of its drones are still operational, and its cruise missile capability remains largely intact. Around 60 percent of Iran’s navy remains intact, roughly two thirds of its air force is still operational, and its air defense systems are still online.
They inflicted the worst U.S. loss of air assets since the Vietnam War just a couple of weeks ago. And at the end of all of this, the IRGC is still firmly in control and, if anything, has consolidated power, arguably making it more influential in Iran than ever before. (
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-more-capable-than-trump-admin-publicly-acknowledging/)
As I’ve said since the beginning, Iran doesn’t have to “win” this war. It just has to avoid losing.
Every day the Strait remains closed adds more pressure to the global system and increases pressure on Trump to end the conflict. If the U.S. escalates by invading Kharg or destroying Iran’s oil infrastructure, Iran can respond by targeting Gulf allies’ oil infrastructure, further damaging the global economy. There’s no clean win or escalation here.
Do you really think the IRGC doesn’t realize it has the ability to destroy Trump’s presidency if it just holds on a while longer? Of course they do. Trump has completely exposed himself. He can’t control the situation, and each day it continues just adds more fuel to the fire.
You continue to push a narrative built on the lies coming from the President and his cabinet. You’re going to be disappointed with how this ends, because propaganda only carries things so far.
Trump is currently trying to negotiate the JCPOA part 2. He’s going to slap a different name on it and pretend it’s some big win. And you’ll probably eat that up, but you’ll know what really happened.
Reality eventually catches up, and the clock continues to tick.