The most informative graph from MSDH:

[EagleDawg97]

So as of right now it shows our peak was April 6th, but that could change to April 8,9,or 13 as older test results get put in. Am I reading that correctly?

 

[SedLexDuraLex]

It's a 3 day turnaround in most best case situations. There's still a test shortage too.

That is not what I was told yesterday at the MEA on Old Canton Road in Jackson. The nurse practitioners said they and plenty of tests. There may be localized shortages I suppose, but if a little doc in the box joint has plenty I would expect most other places have access to them as well.

 

[johnson86-1]

Through April 23rd: Looks like pretty flat curve going back to March 23 but still probably haven't hit a peak, even temporarily, unless we are just getting test results back so much faster that there won't be nearly as many cases added in the shaded area. Or I guess I should say the current peak isn't likely to be the peak for long. One of the last three of four days could have been a temporary peak for us.

 

[L4Dawg]

Through April 23rd: Looks like pretty flat curve going back to March 23 but still probably haven't hit a peak, even temporarily, unless we are just getting test results back so much faster that there won't be nearly as many cases added in the shaded area. Or I guess I should say the current peak isn't likely to be the peak for long. One of the last three of four days could have been a temporary peak for us.

If the past performance of that graphic is any indication, it's about to get ugly.

 

[Duke Humphrey]

No its not

 

[johnson86-1]

If the past performance of that graphic is any indication, it's about to get ugly.

Not really. Hard to say because the lag in reporting has been going down. But if you look at the third most recent day reported, that's a pretty big number. If it changes like the one on the "through April 20th" graph, it is either going to go up by about , it's not. I am assuming you are looking at the . If you look at how the numbers changed a couple of weeks ago, then it's going to not quite double in number in the next three day, which would put it at 230. That woudl be bad a new peak by a considerable margin, but it's not particularly ugly. And there's a good chance it's not going to almost double based on how quickly they've been processing tests. I also think fewer people are waiting beyond the first or second day of symptoms to get tested, so that might also reduce the numbers added to that column going forward.

 

[00Dawg]

As long as testing is increasing and hospitalizations are flat....

increasing cases shouldn't be a concern. If anything, they would be yet another indicator that we overestimated the severity.

 

[Hubcitydog]

We will have to get herd immunity and we need to do that without overwhelming hospitals. We need people to get it and do well with it. We will need those at low risk to contract it while trying to protect those at risk. We will need to let those at low risk get back to work and get back in the community. So I’m not going to worry too much about case number going forward. I will be keeping an eye on icu numbers and nursing home numbers.

the biggest problem I see right now is the nursing home number. That number is unaffected by current shelter measures. To my knowledge we dont have a statewide protocol there but I could be wrong.