UK is a Final Four team people. Final Four teams will go 3-0 with gusto.
Take the goggles off for a second...
- Thread starter kevcat
- Start date
T-Rank (Bart Torvik's rating system, similar to KenPom) gives us:
- 55% chance of winning @ Miss St
- 79% chance of winning vs. LSU
- 60% chance of winning vs. Tenn.
If you believe those chances, we have a 26% chance of going 3-0.
However (puts blue goggles back on, sorry Kev), I don't see any way we lose to LSU and would give us more like a 65% chance of winning @ Miss St. The Tenn. numbers seem about right to me.
I think we go 3-0 personally.
- 55% chance of winning @ Miss St
- 79% chance of winning vs. LSU
- 60% chance of winning vs. Tenn.
If you believe those chances, we have a 26% chance of going 3-0.
However (puts blue goggles back on, sorry Kev), I don't see any way we lose to LSU and would give us more like a 65% chance of winning @ Miss St. The Tenn. numbers seem about right to me.
I think we go 3-0 personally.
If we want any shot at a #1 seed or the top #2 seed we better go 3-0. The only way 2-1 would be acceptable is if that loss is to Tennessee in a barn burner but I think TN is going to run into a buzzsaw in Rupp next weekend, especially if they walk in there with that #1 ranking.
If you've seen my posts over the year, I'm as realistic as they come--and often accused of being one of the negative ones. That said, I think 3-0.
I legit think we are better than Tennessee. Does that mean we will win? I have no idea. But I would rather play Tennessee than us right now.
There is really only one game that matters. The next one.
I am hoping for 1 - 0.
I am hoping for 1 - 0.
Tennessee gets a dose of reality on the 16th. Their fraudulent SEC slate so far has not prepared them for what’s to come on that night........
The Miss St game is far away the hardest road game to date. AU was a great win but they only shot 3;s and you can't do that to beat us.
Interesting.
I’m not convinced we’re better than Tennessee, but I think we’re about equal with them. Therefore I think we’ll split home and home.
It seems not many people realize how weak their schedule has been since they beat the mighty Zags and Memphis back on Dec. 9 and 15. Toughest game since then was at UF back on Jan. 12. They almost lost to Alabama at home and should have lost to Vandy on the road.
There's something to be said for winning games you should win, but I do think they are a bit overvalued (and perhaps unprepared for a big game) at the moment.
3-0 until I see otherwise.
Power of positive thought
(2-1 w a win over UT at home is very acceptable though and keeps all of our goals on the table)
Power of positive thought
(2-1 w a win over UT at home is very acceptable though and keeps all of our goals on the table)
It’s a play on his Herro’s nickname.
(Hogan’s Heroes) Yeah, I might be old, but at least I’m immature.
Can you show your math on how you got to 26% ....forgot how to do percentages...been so long,
Pound Miss St?
Uh, I’m not sure that’s going to happen. I’ll be happy if we win by half a point.
Gut says 2-1 but I'm holding out hope for 3-0. 3-0 shouldn't even be that difficult, but every year we tend to lose a game or 2 we shouldn't have later in the year. Alabama and Seton Hall were that early on, but I think we have at least 1 or 2 more losses in us outside of a loss at UT. Just a gut feeling. Hope I'm wrong, but my gut's pretty big so I gotta assume it's right.
Tennessee is tough but you’d be crazy if you don’t think UK won’t be up for that one.
3-0. Dammit.
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