Quick Guess the Illinois Line Contest

rubigtimenow

All-Conference
Mar 4, 2015
2,257
2,915
0
Illinois - somewhere between 2.5 and 3.5 highly likely. Everybody and their mother talking about Rutgers right now and the power of the RAC. Based on that and that nobody else has said it yet I’ll go with 2.5!
 

fluoxetine

Heisman
Nov 11, 2012
23,529
16,898
0
So initial line is Illinois -4.5

Bart has Illinois -5.8
Kenpom's AdjEM has Illinois -7.5 (adjusting for his 3.75 home court advantage)
Sagain's Predictor has Illinois -3.9 (adjusting for his 3.0 home court advantage)
You are computing Kenpom incorrectly. That number is per 100 possessions, but the game is only ~66 so Kenpom would predict roughly Illinois -5