Is that for the Illinois-RU game? Or is it for something else whose differential is very similar?
Its not high based on first game between the teams and the fact Illinois is the number one ranked team in the Big Ten with scoring threats at many positions.We covered everything around 4.5 but nobody called 4.5. Wow that’s high!
The Sports Book at Beau Rivage in Biloxi Mississippi has Illinois -3.5I’m thinking Illinois-3.5
You are computing Kenpom incorrectly. That number is per 100 possessions, but the game is only ~66 so Kenpom would predict roughly Illinois -5So initial line is Illinois -4.5
Bart has Illinois -5.8
Kenpom's AdjEM has Illinois -7.5 (adjusting for his 3.75 home court advantage)
Sagain's Predictor has Illinois -3.9 (adjusting for his 3.0 home court advantage)