Predict our ppg for 2026

[Tractorman]

2010 thru 2025 below:
28.5
25.2
29.5
27.7
36.9 (2014)
34.4
30.4
32.0
30.9
27.8
21.4 (2020)
29.2
31.3
21.8
25.8 (Lebby)
30.2 (Lebby)

2026?

I'll go with 34.5.

 

[PBRME]

26. KT can work magic with his legs. He’s going to take a beating if his home run accuracy doesn’t improve.

 

[dawgstudent]

We won’t have the luxury of another OOC game.

I’ll go with 28.4.

 

[BTCMoonBoy]

2010 thru 2025 below:
28.5
25.2
29.5
27.7
36.9 (2014)
34.4
30.4
32.0
30.9
27.8
21.4 (2020)
29.2
31.3
21.8
25.8 (Lebby)
30.2 (Lebby)

2026?

I'll go with 34.5.

19.83

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

We won’t have the luxury of another OOC game.

I’ll go with 28.4.

I think that’s pretty close.

 

[Willow Grove Dawg]

28-29 the additional SEC game will make the comparison the previous years apples vs lobster. 28-29 this year would probably be equivalent to 34-35 in 2025.

 

[POTUS]

31.7 - the improvement continues

 

[HotMop]

2010 thru 2025 below:
28.5
25.2
29.5
27.7
36.9 (2014)
34.4
30.4
32.0
30.9
27.8
21.4 (2020)
29.2
31.3
21.8
25.8 (Lebby)
30.2 (Lebby)

2026?

I'll go with 34.5.

17 or 69

 

[leeinator]

23.5

 

[The Peeper]

17 or 69

I got it....

 

[The Peeper]

Does it really matter? Think about it, our most iconic win was a score of 6-3. Our most iconic loss was a score of 3-2. 14 total points scored combined in our biggest win and loss.

Just win baby.......

 

[champdawg.sixpack]

31

 

[BulldogBlitz]

17 the whole season.

 

[ckDOG]

29

 

[DT4248]

damn yall are really down on Jans.... i think he'll get us bounced back

 

[57stratdawg]

I think it’ll be around the same.

 

[o_Hot Rock]

31.4

 

[Dawg Raid]

4TEE

 

[patdog]

We won’t have the luxury of another OOC game.

I’ll go with 28.4.

28.4 sounds about right to me too.

 

[Ranchdawg]

I'll go with 33.3 as an improvement. I am hearing positive talk about both our receiving and running back rooms. If our defense shows up for the first time in 3 years we will be successful.

 

[dickiedawg]

28-29 the additional SEC game will make the comparison the previous years apples vs lobster. 28-29 this year would probably be equivalent to 34-35 in 2025.

Damn, one SEC game is going to cost us at least 60 points?

 

[Willow Grove Dawg]

Damn, one SEC game is going to cost us at least 60 points?

Maybe 5-6 point swing is too much, but if we replace Alcorn from last year (63 points) with Oklahoma and only score 14-17, it would swing the season 4 points

 

[dickiedawg]

Maybe 5-6 point swing is too much, but if we replace Alcorn from last year (63 points) with Oklahoma and only score 14-17, it would swing the season 4 points

Our non conference average last year was 37.4 points, while SEC average was 25.87.
So taking the average would be 1 ppg over the course of a season.
It’s certainly worth taking into consideration.

 

[golferdog]

I don't think it will be as high with 10 P4 games. Closer to the 28.4 that some have mentioned is what I think. Hope for higher, but it's a tough schedule and KT will have some growing pains and make some mistakes along the way.

 

[patdog]

Damn, one SEC game is going to cost us at least 60 points?

Considering the game it replaces was a Sunbelt team, it could easily cost us at least half that much if not more.

 

[Tractorman]

The extra SEC game vs a non con should equate to 1-2 ppg to help you with prediction. If we played Ark St and put up 44 points, but, now we sub in Florida and only manage 20 points, that equates to 2 less ppg for the season. If we took our foot off the gas and scored 40 on Ark St. and got a garbage TD against Florida, now your down to 1 ppg, almost negligible for this exercise.

 

[horshack.sixpack]

2010 thru 2025 below:
28.5
25.2
29.5
27.7
36.9 (2014)
34.4
30.4
32.0
30.9
27.8
21.4 (2020)
29.2
31.3
21.8
25.8 (Lebby)
30.2 (Lebby)

2026?

I'll go with 34.5.

36

 

[Beretta.sixpack]

tough one.....going to be a marathon of a season.....26.3

 

[Wesson Bulldog]

30

 

[FreshAsHail]

27

 

[lazlow]

31.8

 

[John Deaux VII]

2010 thru 2025 below:
28.5
25.2
29.5
27.7
36.9 (2014)
34.4
30.4
32.0
30.9
27.8
21.4 (2020)
29.2
31.3
21.8
25.8 (Lebby)
30.2 (Lebby)

2026?

I'll go with 34.5.

30.5, just because I think we will be better...but not that much better.

Leach was > 30.0 only once. We've hit 34.5 or better only once in that time span and Dak Prescott was our QB.

 

[Maroon Eagle]

About 13 times this…

 

[Tractorman]

30.5, just because I think we will be better...but not that much better.

Leach was > 30.0 only once. We've hit 34.5 or better only once in that time span and Dak Prescott was our QB.

 

[Lettuce]

This is kind of a trick question. I’ll say 26.

The optimist in me hopes that our defense is much improved and hopefully we try to control the clock and tempo better on offense. Shorter game, less opportunity for points. Which would be great.

 

[Called3rdstrikedawg]

2010 thru 2025 below:
28.5
25.2
29.5
27.7
36.9 (2014)
34.4
30.4
32.0
30.9
27.8
21.4 (2020)
29.2
31.3
21.8
25.8 (Lebby)
30.2 (Lebby)

2026?

I'll go with 34.5.

Welp. In 2022, State went 5-7 while scoring 29.2 per game. In 2025, State went 5-8 while scoring 30.2 per game. In 2026, State has one tougher game and one less patsy, so just to get to 6 wins, I’ll say 34.5! Since State will only win 4 or 5 though, I’ll say 27.8!

 

[85Bears]

Welp. In 2022, State went 5-7 while scoring 29.2 per game. In 2025, State went 5-8 while scoring 30.2 per game. In 2026, State has one tougher game and one less patsy, so just to get to 6 wins, I’ll say 34.5! Since State will only win 4 or 5 though, I’ll say 27.8!

I think you have it wrong, State went 9-4 in 2022, and 5-7 in 2023 with mostly that same team returning and 8 home games.