Because the higher you enter the greater the likely hood of you NOT being able to "play" your way out of the first round.
Little from UNC is a perfect example.
He entered college right up there with Zion and RJ but didn't perform nearly as well
Still got drafted in first
If Whitney was playing just average he would be a first round lock.
Shai and Herro played their way in.
IQ has a great opportunity next year as Askew doesn't project to be a "beast" PG that Cunningham may have been.
IQ has a legit shot to win the starting job at PG and that could really impact his stock
Okay, but that is what we refer to as moving goal posts.
We all know Quickly wasn’t on any pre college NBA draft boards, but that has zilch to do with Quickly going pro after this season. You said it yourself, Herro and Shai played themselves into the first round regardless of where they were (or weren’t) prior to coming to UK.
This is UK, there is no other program like UK. Duke is close, but that coaching staff actually tries to retain players. At UK, these kids are groomed for the NBA and the culture we have in place is very NBA farm system-ish. We have lost too many non NBA ready kids to the NBA (short stay), G-League and overseas to sit here in January and say for certain that a very talented SOPHOMORE is definitely going to come back.
The way things go here, you might want to assume players are going to leave and be surprised when they stay.
Vanderbilt is another one. He couldn't even hit a 2' jump ****. I've never seen anything like it, he literally didn’t know how to hold the ball to shoot it, but he left after a half a season.
I bet you can count on one hand how many kids, that were recruited buy Cal, stayed more than 2 years after being a major contributor the first two seasons here.
Richards is one, WCS (injury) is one, Poythress (injury) is another. There just aren't many.