Expectations vs reality

yoshukai

Heisman
Dec 21, 2002
29,651
41,907
102
This often-repeated claim that Kentucky has been in steep decline in recent years is absolute nonsense. Let's look at the facts:

2017 - A last second shot from the Final Four. Many would argue that game was for the Championship, and Kentucky played it with a horrible and biased official actively working against them.

2018 - A bad game at a bad time ended the year after the Cats made the Sweet 16 (some programs celebrate those, but I agree Kentucky shouldn't.)

2019 - An overtime loss away from the Final Four. A frustrating game against a team that happened to get red hot at the right time, crushing Kansas and UNC-Cheats before the Kentucky game. One chance for a free throw away. It happens in college basketball.

2020 - A team that won the SEC outright by three full games and was ranked 8th in both polls didn't get to make a tourney run because of COVID.

2021 - A disastrous year in one of the most unique and atypical years in NCAA history.

So, that's Kentucky's recent past: Two teams that came a bounce of the ball from the Final Four, another conference champion that didn't get a chance to make a patented Calipari run in five years. That's not a program that has fallen off the cliff.
“A bounce of a ball” could be said about practically every season Tubby Smith had after his first. But I get it , excuses make everything acceptable. lol . And are we just going to overlook the the 2016 sweet sixteen loss to Indiana ?
 
Last edited:

Gromcat_rivals

Heisman
Jun 28, 2021
10,292
27,496
0
I used to get a kick out of Kansas posters on their scout board always talking about the tournament being a "crapshoot" and the ball just not bouncing their way. This place is like reading a Kansas board 2010-2015 or so.

But we won the SEC ... err .. Big 12!
I Think it all the time. And MD55 was one of the worlds best at nailing them on that ****. Now he’s one of them.

I know some of you are Reds fans so don’t take it the wrong way. Just trying to apply some context. He once ignored a poster for asking why he goes on 10 page diatribes about the Reds from the 1800’s while skipping over to a Kansas thread and blasting them for “old sht that doesn’t matter”.

He would blast Kansas for excuses as to why they can’t get to the final four, only to now be a complete hand job for our coach when he’s on droughts.

Anyone who has watched his posting for years knows he has absolutely no credibility. It’s actually sad seeing it. I hate Kansas more than anyone but I’m consistent.
 

Backer cutter

Heisman
Jul 8, 2019
7,707
20,355
0
This^^^^.

Cal is burnt-out and it is pretty obvious.

It is NOT from coaching basketball. Csl is limited to how much time he actually spends coaching his teams.

Cal has burned himself out trying to be "Swaggy Cal" and the mist important man in the college basketball world.

Cal considers himself to be the "rock star" that has to be seen at every major AAU tournament and every high profile HS basketball game in order to successfully recruit these top 5 players that he is consistently missing on now since his ugly divorce with Nike, WWW, Drake, and all that elitist crowd who control today's young stars.

No way he has the energy at 60 to keep this pace up. And it's showing on Cal, on his recruiting, and on his team's performance.

The trend is going down.
Cal determined what his legacy was going to be day one here. To his credit, he hasn’t veered. Credit where it’s due yadayada...
 
Dec 30, 2002
10,641
20,618
0
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: podgejeff_

Gromcat_rivals

Heisman
Jun 28, 2021
10,292
27,496
0
Oh, this topic again... hmmm... what a relief! It's been like 2 or 3 days since we talked about it and everyone's opinions have all changed, so we need to talk about it again. And these conversations always change someone's mind. Let's do it.

Ive actually changed a few minds. I won’t name the posters, but I’ve had two different private messages from long time posters telling me I’ve been right and they now see it differently. Not a big deal, but yea people’s minds are changed. And one of those was from a well known po Cal guy that suddenly changed about a year ago. Maybe someone can guess it. He would come at me pretty hard and now just fully agrees. Lol. Pretty wild.

Now if someone is dead set to defend Cal over program, then no. But most people are UK first, they’ve just gone off the rails a little bit because he is a dynamite salesman with swag.
 
Dec 30, 2002
10,641
20,618
0
This sums it up well...in the hunt the majority of the time. Ball didnt bounce our way as often as it did in the earlier years. Winning is HARD, winning in the NCAA tournament is even harder. 100 plus years of hoops and 17 final 4s, and 8 championships.....and I know you dont want to hear it, but really only 4 in the more modern area of basketball.

look at these droughts:
58 to 78
78 to 96/98
98 to 2012
You left one out.
2012-202????
 

Cawood86_rivals

Heisman
Feb 20, 2005
36,711
64,715
0
This often-repeated claim that Kentucky has been in steep decline in recent years is absolute nonsense. Let's look at the facts:

2017 - A last second shot from the Final Four. Many would argue that game was for the Championship, and Kentucky played it with a horrible and biased official actively working against them.

2018 - A bad game at a bad time ended the year after the Cats made the Sweet 16 (some programs celebrate those, but I agree Kentucky shouldn't.)

2019 - An overtime loss away from the Final Four. A frustrating game against a team that happened to get red hot at the right time, crushing Kansas and UNC-Cheats before the Kentucky game. One chance for a free throw away. It happens in college basketball.

2020 - A team that won the SEC outright by three full games and was ranked 8th in both polls didn't get to make a tourney run because of COVID.

2021 - A disastrous year in one of the most unique and atypical years in NCAA history.

So, that's Kentucky's recent past: Two teams that came a bounce of the ball from the Final Four, another conference champion that didn't get a chance to make a patented Calipari run in five years. That's not a program that has fallen off the cliff.
The recruiting has fallen off. Beating ranked opponents has fallen off. The Ol' iffin game doesn't change that.
 

Cawood86_rivals

Heisman
Feb 20, 2005
36,711
64,715
0
If I left off 2016 then you left off 2015 - (38-1) and 2014 - (Final Game).

Looking at the last five years, as I did, is an objective take. People generally look at things in five-year increments.

Choosing to start at an odd number like 6 is simply trying to reinforce a biased point of view. Either look at the whole story back to 2010, or if trying (and failing) to make the point that the recent past has been bad, go back five years, as I did.
If you go back to when Cal first came and compare it to now, which player on this team could start on those early Cal teams? Oscar and Washington maybe?
 
  • Like
Reactions: kywildcat41086

yoshukai

Heisman
Dec 21, 2002
29,651
41,907
102
1. You left off 2016 which was a second round exit with only 2 great guards and zilch inside
2. 2017....last great Cal team with Monk/Fox and Bam....but again, we put ourselves to being seeded at #2 in UNC bracket by losing too many games earlier.
3. 2018 was a pretty bad year. And we had a lucky bracket that was busted to pieces...and we proceeded to choke vs. a "meh" Kansas St team
4. 2019....You call Auburn loss in elite 8 as red hot...but fail to mention their best player got ACL tear in game before...so it was basically 2 Auburn guards with no interior presence...and we chocked it away
5. 2020...we'll never know but that was not an elite team. We lost at home to Tenn and got a miracle comeback vs. FLorida along with Hagans falling apart personally down the stretch. I never felt like that team was going to do a final 4
6. 2021 worst year in UK history...you can't argue that as the stats back that up all the way.

Again as has been mentioned...no final fours and no 1 seeds. That is clearly trending the wrong direction.
Come on now , you know those facts don’t fit his agenda.
 
  • Like
Reactions: TortElvisII

Backer cutter

Heisman
Jul 8, 2019
7,707
20,355
0
I really think us humans are the real aliens.

We have never figured out how to coexist on earth. We must be aliens.
Co-exists is a weird and overrated thing. Too Peloshi-germanated . Squabbling is meant to be. I don’t want to live all touchy-feels. Gives me the willy’s. That’s just me, I respect other opinions 🤨
 

Cawood86_rivals

Heisman
Feb 20, 2005
36,711
64,715
0
Agreed was looking at 1 coach, but the program had No Final 4s after 98 until 2012

Career final 4s

Rupp = 6 (41 years)
Hall = 3 (13 years)
Pitino = 3 (8 years)
Smith = 1 (10 years)
Cal = 4 (12 years)

Cals years are as close to Pitinos 8 that I have seen, granted I am only 51 and wasn't around for Rupps 41 years. Very similar in my humble opinion
UK wasn't eligible for the post season in Pitino's first 2 years. There was not NCAA tourney in Rupp's first 9 seasons.

Rupp = 6 (32 years) 1 every 5.3 years
Hall = 3 (13 years) 1 every 4.3 years
Pitino = 3 (6 years) 1every 2 years
Smith = 1 (10 years) 1 every 10 years
Cal = 3 (12 years) 1 every 4 years

Cal is basically doing the same as Joe B Hall and people wanted him gone.
 

CB3UK

Hall of Famer
Apr 15, 2012
63,709
105,677
78
Give me the willy’s.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Backer cutter
May 4, 2015
10,514
13,584
86
I expected a couple titles.
If I left off 2016 then you left off 2015 - (38-1) and 2014 - (Final Game).

Looking at the last five years, as I did, is an objective take. People generally look at things in five-year increments.

Choosing to start at an odd number like 6 is simply trying to reinforce a biased point of view. Either look at the whole story back to 2010, or if trying (and failing) to make the point that the recent past has been bad, go back five years, as I did.
But there is a clear cut off point between 2015 and 2016. Cal’s success post-2015 took a big drop off (sans 2017.)
 

Cawood86_rivals

Heisman
Feb 20, 2005
36,711
64,715
0
Oh, this topic again... hmmm... what a relief! It's been like 2 or 3 days since we talked about it and everyone's opinions have all changed, so we need to talk about it again. And these conversations always change someone's mind. Let's do it.
Delete it if you want....in the future all we can discuss is next year's class and how Higgins screwed UK. Thanks for the heads up.

Oh, and when the insiders tell us what's up? Those always pan out.
 
  • Like
Reactions: KFuqua
May 4, 2015
10,514
13,584
86
30 wins in '19

25 wins before the SEC tournament in '20
The word to describe the 2020 team was upredictable. They could beat top 10 teams of Louisville and Michigan State, or lose to the Utahs and Evansvilles. We’ll never know if the could have made an UCLA type run. It’s best to not assume either way and judge them on the games they played.
 

Cawood86_rivals

Heisman
Feb 20, 2005
36,711
64,715
0
Well, you've got me there. That's a pretty horrible fall in recruiting for 2022 -- No. 1 by a wide margin, as documented in the link below. And once Wagner joins Sheppard and others, 2023 will be the same...
So you think Cal is still getting the top kids? Ahh yes, as I predicted, the wait til next year's class gets here post. So predictable.


 

yoshukai

Heisman
Dec 21, 2002
29,651
41,907
102
Yeah, I'm the one with the agenda because I list facts that support the irrefutable case that John Calipari has been one of the most successful -- probably THE most successful -- college coach of the past decade.

I guess all these outside people who rate Cal as No. 1, or at least ahead of people like Self and K and his other rivals. they have agendas too...


You think those people would put him on top in modern history, like since 2015 ? Lol . Let’s look at our NCAA wins since (evidently) Wisconsin took Cal’s soul .
2016 -Beat Stoneybrook
2017- Beat Northern Ky , Wichita St., UCLA (good win)
2018- Beat Davidson , Buffalo
2019-Beat Albene Christian, Wolford, Houston

So basically, except for 2017 we’ve lost to the first good team we’ve played in the NCAA tournament.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: Cowtown Cat

HagginHall1999

Heisman
Oct 19, 2018
16,009
28,482
113
The word to describe the 2020 team was upredictable. They could beat top 10 teams of Louisville and Michigan State, or lose to the Utahs and Evansvilles. We’ll never know if the could have made an UCLA type run. It’s best to not assume either way and judge them on the games they played.

I get it...but again, I think a 30 win season and another '20 where we would very likely win 29-30 games minimum is a good season.

There aren't bad 30 win seasons...they don't exist.
 

KYFOSSIL

Heisman
Jan 13, 2005
7,744
10,332
62
????????????? this guy is making excuses about cal losing to ****ing k-state and AUBURN in the tournament.
I agree about K state but poor free throw shooting is the only reason Aurburn one lus it’s very difficult to beat a fellow conference team 3 times in a year.
 

BBUK_anon

Hall of Famer
May 26, 2005
52,358
124,843
0
Good thread with good discussion. I would like to focus on the past
3 years because the state of the game has changed during that time
The transfer portal lessened the impact of OAD,I think Cal has adapted
to the change fairly well.

Two years ago we had a pretty good team but we will never know how good.
Last year the team was historically bad and I think we are still "shell shocked"
(including Cal) from that experience. It is December 8 and we have no idea
what kind of team we have right now. They are fun to watch (which is an
improvement over the last couple of seasons.

For the record I don't believe Cal will ever return to the level we saw in
his first 5 seasons. Cal has become Tubby 2.5

"Cover your ears Darling..."
 

MegaBlue05

Heisman
Mar 8, 2014
10,791
21,227
66
He’s slightly underperformed my expectations. I thought we’d win 2 titles if he was here a decade plus. Most other things have met expectations. Missing the tournament twice and having a losing season are not things I dreamed to be possible.

I’m not a “expects to win the title every year regardless of roster makeup or national landscape” kind of fan. I expect to be in contention for a title every year. In my opinion Cal achieved this in 2010, 2011, 2012, 2014* (team didn’t seem like a contender but got hot at just the right time), 2015, 2017, 2019, 2020. The 2013 team was bad, but lost its best player to injury. 2016 and 2018 were tournament teams, but never a serious threat. Last year was an embarrassment to the game of basketball and our tradition.

Cal needs to get back to the FF soon or the pressure will be unbearable. This fanbase isn’t known for its patience.
 

MdWIldcat55

Heisman
Dec 9, 2007
21,288
84,939
113
You think those people would put him on top in modern history, like since 2015 ? Lol
I'm going to respond one more time in case some of you are sincere in your belief that the 2016-2021 window of FIVE seasons in which Calipari only went as far as the Elite Eight twice is some irrefutable evidence that he is washed up.

I invite you to look at the career of Mike K. at Duke. You know how many times he advanced as far as the Elite Eight in the eight seasons between 2002 and 2009? Once. Even after that he had seasons where he lost to 15 seeds (LeHigh) and 14 seeds (Mercer.) And yet I'd bet you wouldn't argue he was washed up because of the 2002 to 2009 stretch, or the horrible NCAA losses in 2012 and 2014.

You want every season at Kentucky to be 2012 or 1996. It doesn't happen. For any program. Calipari has sustained his success as much as anyone out there. And there are positive signs that Kentucky is on an upswing with a rebuilt staff and strong recruiting classes already on the way the next couple years.

That's it for me on this thread. I have no illusions I can convince people who have developed some emotional distaste for Cal that overrides their ability to see the truth.
 
Last edited:

UKWildcats1987

Heisman
Sep 9, 2021
19,691
34,346
113
You think those people would put him on top in modern history, like since 2015 ? Lol . Let’s look at our NCAA wins since (evidently) Wisconsin took Cal’s soul .
2016 -Beat Stoneybrook
2017- Beat Northern Ky , Wichita St., UCLA (good win)
2018- Beat Davidson , Buffalo
2019-Beat Albene Christian, Wolford, Houston

So basically, except for 2017 we’ve lost to the first good team we’ve played in the NCAA tournament.

Indiana and auburn and kstate weren't even that good.

On cal I figured 1 title and a few final fours and then on to nba. Maybe he should have left after 2015.

Uk coaches suck at winning national titles so not surprised he hasn't won a 2nd. Other than Rupp all our coaches have been choke artist extraordinaires in winning a 2nd title.
 

yoshukai

Heisman
Dec 21, 2002
29,651
41,907
102
I'm going to respond one more time in case some of you are sincere in your belief that the 2016-2021 window of FIVE seasons in which Calipari only went as far as the Elite Eight twice is some irrefutable evidence that he is washed up.

I invite you to look at the career of Mike K. at Duke. You know how many times he advanced as far as the Elite Eight in the eight seasons between 2002 and 2009? Once. Even after that he had seasons where he lost to 15 seeds (LeHigh) and 14 seeds (Mercer.) And yet I'd bet you wouldn't argue he was washed up because of the 2002 to 2009 stretch, or the horrible NCAA losses in 2012 and 2014.

You want every season at Kentucky to be 2012 or 1996. It doesn't happen. For any program. Calipari has sustained his success as much as anyone out there. And there are positive signs that Kentucky is on an upswing with a rebuilt staff and strong recruiting classes already on the way the4 next couple years.

That's it for me on this thread. I have no illusions I can convince people who have developed some emotional distaste for Cal that overrides their ability to see the truth.
Coach K has shown the ability to change. I haven’t seen that from our coach. Anyway , nothing personal with you brother . We just don’t see things the same . It will play out one way or the other.
 

kybassfan

Heisman
Jul 1, 2005
20,032
16,368
113
By any objective measure, he has exceeded expectations. The only knock against him has come from Haters and the what have you done for me lately crowd. Both of these groups are clearly incapable of objectively assessing coaching performance. They depend only on single stat assessments and strategies attributable to PlayStation experience alone. Utter comedy.
 
  • Like
Reactions: lexwildcat859
Dec 30, 2002
10,641
20,618
0
Co-exists is a weird and overrated thing. Too Peloshi-germanated . Squabbling is meant to be. I don’t want to live all touchy-feels. Gives me the willy’s. That’s just me, I respect other opinions 🤨
Squabbling is ok. All this killing.......now that's another issue.

Cain whacked his brother and we've been doing each other ever since.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Backer cutter

yoshukai

Heisman
Dec 21, 2002
29,651
41,907
102
By any objective measure, he has exceeded expectations. The only knock against him has come from Haters and the what have you done for me lately crowd. Both of these groups are clearly incapable of objectively assessing coaching performance. They depend only on single stat assessments and strategies attributable to PlayStation experience alone. Utter comedy.
You‘re using the same material you used to defend your tubby god till the bitter end. Did you use it to defend Billy Clyde too ?