You usually do better, that's a solid logic miss and your post even details why. The best go to Australia so you would not be there because, as you accurately point out, you certainly aren't one of the best. If ten go, as you say, you aren't one of the ten. Those ten, plus 1, are the teams in the NY6 bowls (excluding Houston as the access rep). There are 67 P5 teams, wvu is somewhere between 30-35, not just this year, but historically and going forward.