Big 10

RU Husky

All-Conference
Sep 26, 2011
4,890
2,161
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Which team goes the furthest?

I don’t think any make it to to the Sweet 16. Wisconsin probably has easiest road.
 
Feb 5, 2003
10,968
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If Davis his healthy, Wisconsin makes it to the Sweet 16.

Purdue
Illinois
Iowa
Rutgers (Calling it!l)

Haven't looked enough yet for picking any of them past that.
 
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jakeknight

Senior
Jan 29, 2009
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967
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Right now Iowa is playing the best, Illinois has a shot if their point guard gets himself under control, hard to imagine that happens for multiple games, Purdue if Ivey shows up, and Stefanovic can consistently knock down threes at a 35+ percent rate. Just don't think Wisco has enough inside.
 

RUDead

All-Conference
Sep 20, 2017
3,655
3,840
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Keegan Murray is playing awesome right now and is a tough matchup for anyone. and if you double him, you leave open a lot of shooters. If they keep playing hard on D they will be tough to beat.
 

Mr. Magoo1

Heisman
Nov 15, 2001
15,449
16,281
113
Right now Iowa is playing the best, Illinois has a shot if their point guard gets himself under control, hard to imagine that happens for multiple games, Purdue if Ivey shows up, and Stefanovic can consistently knock down threes at a 35+ percent rate. Just don't think Wisco has enough inside.
Zero confidence in Illinois. Clark Kellogg even suggested that Chattanooga would give them a fight. I’ve seen Chattanooga and I don’t believe that. However, Illinois is playing badly. They have become a mammoth center and a bunch of 3 point chuckers. Curbelo is a human turnover. Doubt they go far.
 

knight82

All-American
Nov 4, 2002
8,477
9,077
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Zero confidence in Illinois. Clark Kellogg even suggested that Chattanooga would give them a fight. I’ve seen Chattanooga and I don’t believe that. However, Illinois is playing badly. They have become a mammoth center and a bunch of 3 point chuckers. Curbelo is a human turnover. Doubt they go far.
Why any coach would want Curbelo on his team is a mystery to me. He might be the most selfish and out of control player I have ever seen. And he's not that good
 

RU Husky

All-Conference
Sep 26, 2011
4,890
2,161
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Iowa is obviously the hottest team right now.
Obviously! Iowa hasn’t made it pass the second round in something like 20 years. Big 10 beating it’s chest about being best conference. Love those 12 v 5 matchups but I would have gone against Iowa regardless of its seed.
 

The RUT

Heisman
Oct 30, 2011
35,706
19,765
61
Maybe it’s time we admit the B1G is overrated simply due to the quality of fan bases in combination with the style of play in-conference.
 

RUBlackout

All-American
Mar 11, 2008
10,863
6,890
113
BIG beats each other up in regular season and in their tourney...they look bad in NCAA each year it seems. Need a few of these teams to step up this year to prove we truly are the best conference out there
 

fluoxetine

Heisman
Nov 11, 2012
23,529
16,898
0
Maybe it’s time we admit the B1G is overrated simply due to the quality of fan bases in combination with the style of play in-conference.
If there actually is a systemic reason behind Big Ten tournament underperformance (and to be clear, I don’t think there is nearly enough sample to conclude this) it’s likely the 20 game marathon schedule.

The Big Ten is consistently rated highly by computers. They aren’t biased by the fanbases; the Big Ten is performing very well in the early season OOC period.
 
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ColonelRutgers

All-American
Dec 15, 2003
7,095
9,247
113
Maybe it’s time we admit the B1G is overrated simply due to the quality of fan bases in combination with the style of play in-conference.
Why? Because we lost in OT and Iowa lost? All of these teams are good and capable of winning or they wouldn’t be in the tournament. The difference in styles of these mid majors is probably a shock to the system after 3 months of Big Ten conference basketball.
 
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The RUT

Heisman
Oct 30, 2011
35,706
19,765
61
If there actually is a systemic reason behind Big Ten tournament underperformance (and to be clear, I don’t think there is nearly enough sample to conclude this) it’s likely the 20 game marathon schedule.

The Big Ten is consistently rated highly by computers. They aren’t biased by the fanbases; the Big Ten is performing very well in the early season OOC period.
Why? Because we lost in OT and Iowa lost? All of these teams are good and capable of winning or they wouldn’t be in the tournament. The difference in styles of these mid majors is probably a shock to the system after 3 months of Big Ten conference basketball.
Because results matter and between last season and the start of this year the B1G has underperformed.

We can talk about what the issue is, but the losses are still losses no matter the circumstance.

The RU loss is whatever, that was a competitive game against two quality P6 teams.

The Iowa loss is bad.

Perhaps my post is a bit premature, we’ll have to see what happens.
 

fluoxetine

Heisman
Nov 11, 2012
23,529
16,898
0
Because results matter and between last season and the start of this year the B1G has underperformed.

We can talk about what the issue is, but the losses are still losses no matter the circumstance.

The RU loss is whatever, that was a competitive game against two quality P6 teams.

The Iowa loss is bad.

Perhaps my post is a bit premature, we’ll have to see what happens.
Sometimes the better team just loses. That doesn’t make them overrated unless you can establish a pattern. And 1 tournament plus 1/3 of the first round of a second one doesn’t come anywhere close to establishing a significant pattern.
 

The RUT

Heisman
Oct 30, 2011
35,706
19,765
61
Sometimes the better team just loses. That doesn’t make them overrated unless you can establish a pattern. And 1 tournament plus 1/3 of the first round of a second one doesn’t come anywhere close to establishing a significant pattern.
You’re spot on, which is why I said perhaps my post is premature. I’m a bit emotional this week 😂

But would two straight years be a baseline? Like where do you draw that line?

I’m concerned because perception matters and if the B1G underperforms again this year, B1G bubble teams won’t get the benefit of the doubt next year IMO
 

Mr. Magoo1

Heisman
Nov 15, 2001
15,449
16,281
113
Big10 is slow.
Yup…and based too much in tradition. Old style
coaches who recruit old style methodical players and mammoth centers (with some exceptions like Ivy and Ayo last season). Then they insist on 20 league games so the teams beat the hell out of each other and routinely seem shocked when the game “opens up” or teams spread the floor (ND and Richmond) in the NCAA tournament.
 
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fluoxetine

Heisman
Nov 11, 2012
23,529
16,898
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You’re spot on, which is why I said perhaps my post is premature. I’m a bit emotional this week 😂

But would two straight years be a baseline? Like where do you draw that line?

I’m concerned because perception matters and if the B1G underperforms again this year, B1G bubble teams won’t get the benefit of the doubt next year IMO
I doubt two straight years would mean too much, but maybe if literally everyone went out in the first round or something. If it’s just slightly below expectations then no way. I don’t really think it’s likely to affect selection either way. It’s not like the PAC got a bunch of benefit of the doubt after having an unexpectedly good tournament last year.

also last year was weird for the abbreviated schedules, so there was much less data to compare to each other. The Big Ten probably DID overperform to some degree in the OOC last year, but that’s not the same as being systematically overrated. They weren’t even considered the best conference this year and are only a couple of years removed from a 13-5 conference team not making the tournament. I think the previous couple years have distorted people’s perceptions of what the Big Ten is normally considered, which is a strong conference but probably not the best on average. Those honors would probably go to the Big 12 or the Big East back in the day.

This became a very long post.
 
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ColonelRutgers

All-American
Dec 15, 2003
7,095
9,247
113
If the favorites always win then no one would be watching this tournament. The Big Ten sucked last year in the NCAAs but everything last year was bizarre. All of them were stuck in a bubble in Indianapolis from Big Ten Tournament through the NCAAs which took its toll by all accounts. Plus every year is different. Just look at the history.

We also have a lot of Big East media cheerleaders around here like Adam Zagoria waiting in the weeds to pounce on any Big Ten team failure. Tweets immediately about Big Ten failures when Iowa gets upset by a 12 (there are 5-12 upsets ever my year) but doesn’t mention 11 seed Michigan beating a 6 seed or the fact that Big East Marquette is getting taken to the woodshed by 30 points and counting by an average North Carolina team. If a Hurley got a Big Ten job I’m sure those snarky Big Ten tweets would cease.
 
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Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
88,584
86,604
113
There is more disinformation and jumping to conclusions in this thread than there is on the CE board. 🤷‍♂️