Cats with an A plus game may win.
As a hog fan, I honestly think you all could win with a B+ effort.
Focus pooints on the game for me as an Arkansas fan:
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Entry pass for Kentucky: One of the main ways Arkansas has attempted to thwart the size disparity is by fronting the big and hedging with an off defender. In gerneal, Arkansas has done a good job of quickly establishing this front position on the bigs, even thought there is a massive height disparity. If Kentucky, can get 10 good entry passes in the game, that will be huge. A) Because there would quickly be a pseudo if not hard double team on the big creating easy offensive rebound opportunities and B) It will get our very limited lineup in foul trouble
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Defensive Rebounding for Arkansas: Honestly, with Kentucky playing two 6'9"+ guys on the court at all times, and the penetration ability of their guards, I'm very surprised by the offensive rebounding numbers for Kentucky (86th in the country). LSU won the Arkansas game, without a doubt, on the offensive board. If Kentucky can even remotely replicate that, it will be an issue
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Can Jones and Joe create separation: When Arkansas offense is clicking, it is because our two scoring guards - Jones and Joe - are creating space in some form or another. How well can Kentucky's 3 young guards play defense on these two without picking up fouls.
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Free throw shooting: In the last three games, Arkansas has allowed opponents to go to the free throw line 25 times a game. Against a good shooting team from the free throw line, that is a trend that will need to stop in order to win.
Hope for fun game. Should be a fun environment.