Too many good interior D lineman, O lineman, and edge rushers to risk a first round on someone whose production fell off considerably once DK was out and he was the go to guy. If he falls to second, sure, but he's not sure fire enough for a first and not the game changer other positions could be.
I know scouts love him, but when I see him, I see a possession receiver who struggles to get open against tight man defense. Lodge and Metcalf took the top off of defenses and made Brown look a lot better in the middle of the field, but he looked a lot more ordinary when Metcalf got hurt and Lodge was limited a little by injury.
If I were an NFL exec and needed a WR, I'd be looking at Lodge before Brown. I think he has the biggest pro upside. I think Metcalf will have a better pro career too.
AJ Brown will be an Alshon Jeffry type. Great hands, good size, but struggles getting open against aggressive, man defense .