-2 against UK

[o_dawgnabit]

So we open as a 2 point favorite this week….

Also Auburn is a 1 pt favorite against Ole Miss. That’s interesting because I would’ve thought Ole Miss would’ve been at least a 6 point favorite in that.

 

[thatsbaseball]

Glad but a little surprising .

 

[was21]

Already moved down to -1 and Ole Manning and Aubie now pick 'em

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

A pickem? Didn’t expect that.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

I figured UK -3. I’m surprised.

 

[FlotownDawg]

What???? Does Vegas not read SixPack and realize that we are terrible and have an FCS starting quarterback? I was told we would lose to Kentucky 35-10.

 

[was21]

I figured UK -4 and that includes us getting 3 pt home advantage

 

[messageboardsuperhero]

Not surprised at all we opened as a favorite. Vegas is begging people to bet on UK. Public perception is all over UK because of the record and ranking, but the computers say we have a >50% chance to win outright at home. This game is a total toss up IMO.

Looking beyond the record, Kentucky has not been all that impressive this season outside of waxing a checked out LSU team at home.

I’m frankly a little surprised Auburn only opened at -1. I figured they’d be closer to -5 at home coming off a bye, but I don’t know what OM’s injury situation looks like this week.

 

[rynodawg]

Agree, Kentucky has not been that impressive this year, beyond the record. Single score wins against weak Missouri and South Carolina teams, plus they were actually down to Chattanooga in the 4th quarter. They are not going to out-talent us, limit turnovers and we win this one.

 

[thatsbaseball]

Now it's State +1 and Aub -2 1/2

 

[She Mate Me]

Agree, Kentucky has not been that impressive this year, beyond the record. Single score wins against weak Missouri and South Carolina teams, plus they were actually down to Chattanooga in the 4th quarter. They are not going to out-talent us, limit turnovers and we win this one.

They win by being serviceable in the trenches and generally playing smart football. If we do the same we should win this one.

If we throw a pick 6, fumble inside our 40 or commit multitudes of penalties we're likely getting our *** beat. This is a step up game. The opportunity is there. If we play like ****, let the criticisms rain, it'll be deserved.

 

[horshack.sixpack]

given that home field is typically considered good for 7 points, this isn't a ringing endorsement

 

[Felonious Junk]

Home field is typically 3 points, no?

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

Already moved down to -1 and Ole Manning and Aubie now pick 'em

Unless Corrall is gimpy they should win that one.

 

[dorndawg]

given that home field is typically considered good for 7 points, this isn't a ringing endorsement

I'd always heard home field was worth 3. In any event, this website says ours is one of the best at 3.4 https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/home-field-advantage-college-football-betting-2021

 

[dorndawg]

So we open as a 2 point favorite this week….

Also Auburn is a 1 pt favorite against Ole Miss. That’s interesting because I would’ve thought Ole Miss would’ve been at least a 6 point favorite in that.

Real surprised at this one, I saw us as close to a TD underdog. It's almost as if Vegas handicappers are way better at this than me.

 

[horshack.sixpack]

Maybe. My memory makes stuff up. A lot...