#1 seed

Aike

Heisman
Mar 17, 2002
75,406
46,213
90
Leaving it in the hands of NCAA seeding is always a disaster for us. Hopefully we win out and claim the Lou 1 seed, though I'm not sure even us finishing the best we could is a forgone Lou conclusion. DC is just as good right? *sigh*

We probably won’t get Louisville. Just keeping it real. It could happen, but there are way too many ways for it to not happen.

Even if we’re a one, we will have to be in front of at least one of the ACC teams and the Big 10 champ to get Louisville.
 
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minjo

Senior
Jan 7, 2006
6,107
909
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Except we almost always get a bad draw no matter what our seed is, I’ll believe it when I see it in regards to getting paired with the lowest one seed.

Our historical success is in a way a curse, which the NCAA and the selection committee always has resented, and tries their best to put us in the toughest region in hopes of stopping our advancement.
The only way for us to advance is to be loaded with the best recruits, and the best coaches.

By the way, My wife and I were gone to the Bahama cruise on Belgian Bliss for the whole week, and we missed the games, since they don't show college basketball. It just sucks. They don't even give the scores.
 
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Aike

Heisman
Mar 17, 2002
75,406
46,213
90
Going to be awfully tough to get a #1 seed this year. Tennessee, Michigan State, Duke, Virginia, Michigan, Gonzaga and Kansas are all in the mix.

Yes I know we beat Kansas but we also won at home.

If the committee keys in on the pure numbers of quad 1 wins than we are way behind a lot of these teams still.

We will have a number of chances to get quad 1 wins on the road but those are the toughest to get.

Figure that 1 of Michigan State/Michigan will get a 1 seed unless they both struggle down the stretch.
Figure 1 of Duke/Virginia will get a 1 seed and possibly both if they just both keep on winning.
Really we would have to beat out Tennessee and with them having 1 loss and us 3 we would almost need to sweep them which I don't think is likely.

I think our ceiling is #2 seed this year which is still great especially if we knock off Tennessee at home and they drop the the last #1 seed go out West and leave us the Louisville region as the #2 seed. Only downside that might be Duke as the #1 seed the one team I think we have almost no shot in beating.

Long ways to go let's start by winning at Vanderbilt because I think that game is going to be awfully tough to get and will come down to the wire.

How do you figure that we’re way behind in quad 1 wins? Only three of those teams you listed have more quad 1 wins than us.

So does “way behind a lot of those teams” mean we are 3 behind 2 teams and 1 behind 1 team?
 

Wildcatclone24

Sophomore
Apr 20, 2009
217
158
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5 losses total I’d feel pretty good about a 1 seed. 6 losses is a stretch... but we’ll get shafted on seeds. Just want to be playing our best basketball at the right time.
 
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Dezyvol

Heisman
Aug 3, 2008
45,629
12,484
113
I’m curious, would y’all rather have a 2 seed in the South with Duke as the 1, or be a one seed in another region (with say KU or Michigan as a 2)?

I think Gonzaga will be the 1 out west. They likely won’t lose anymore game due to schedule, and UVA/Duke - UT/UK - Mich/MSU are going to knock each other off, in some cases multiple times, and still have difficult in conference matchups and conference tournaments. At least two of those teams are going to have 3 more losses, which will drop them below Gonzaga.

The other 1 seed wills go to 3 of those 6 teams.

My guesses are Duke completes, the sweep of UVA. MSU tops Michigan, they just look better, and UK-UT split.

In this scenario, if we assume these teams don’t drop multiple games (one would be okay) to other competition, my guess would be:

South: Duke (1) and UK (2)
West: Gonzaga (1) and Michigan (2)
East: Michigan St (1) and UVA (2)
Midwest: UT (1) and whoever the other 2 seed.
 

Dezyvol

Heisman
Aug 3, 2008
45,629
12,484
113
Gonzaga should not get a 1 seed. I’m not saying they won’t. I’m saying they shouldn’t considering their schedule.
I would agree.

That being said, I’m guessing they probably do. Their record will be at the top, and the win over Duke will help them. I’d make them a 2, but I’m guessing the committee sees it as an easy way to figure out which 1 seed to put in the West.
 
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jpbky2

Senior
Nov 17, 2002
1,941
768
81
We just beat three ranked teams and you are talking about a #1 seed and I'm nervous about playing in two places this week (Nashville and Gainesville) that give us fits. I agree if we keep playing well there is a chance, but there is so much basketball left to play. If Nevada and Gonzaga don't lose the rest of the way, they could be right at the top of the polls if the other schools knock each other off.
 
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BourbonBalz

All-American
Mar 5, 2005
11,430
9,235
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I would agree.

That being said, I’m guessing they probably do. Their record will be at the top, and the win over Duke will help them. I’d make them a 2, but I’m guessing the committee sees it as an easy way to figure out which 1 seed to put in the West.
I agree. The selection committee always takes the easy way out when they can, even when it’s the wrong decision. I do think one loss the rest of the way could knock them from the one seed line and it certainly should.
 

BourbonBalz

All-American
Mar 5, 2005
11,430
9,235
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We just beat three ranked teams and you are talking about a #1 seed and I'm nervous about playing in two places this week (Nashville and Gainesville) that give us fits. I agree if we keep playing well there is a chance, but there is so much basketball left to play. If Nevada and Gonzaga don't lose the rest of the way, they could be right at the top of the polls if the other schools knock each other off.

LOL. Give me the 2 seed in Gonzaga or Nevada’s region (assuming they were the 1 seeds) and I’d be very happy!
 

HenryMuto

Heisman
Mar 31, 2012
20,603
13,906
113
The more I thought about this last night the more I think we have several more losses coming that the other teams in the 1 consideration won't have which will knock us out. Just trying to hold onto a 2 seed might be more difficult than you guys think.

You do realize how tough our schedule is right ? Especially on the road. Also we seem to never play well and win those 9 PM road start times during the weekday games and we have several of those left.

Also another concerning thing as far as seeding will go is 2 of our last 3 games are tough road games at Mississippi and at Tennessee. While the committee is not supposed to take into account of when games are played if we lose both games we will finish regular season losing 2 of our last 3 which will put a negative light on us no matter what we have done to that point.

Games at Tennessee, Mississippi, Mississippi State are strong potential losses.

Also games at Vanderbilt, Florida and Missouri are not going to be any picnic either. Missouri just had LSU beat and choked it away.

Home game vs Tennessee is going to be tough as hell to win.

Home game vs LSU won't be no picnic either.

This league is so tough especially to win on the road while we have all the chances in the world to move up to a #1 seed we also could drop to a #3 or #4 seed easily by piling up several loses.

Those 6 road games are daunting especially the big 3.

To be honest I am very worried just about beating Vanderbilt on Tuesday and the dreaded 9 PM road start time.
 

HenryMuto

Heisman
Mar 31, 2012
20,603
13,906
113
1 or 2 seed makes no difference to me

Might make a big difference. #1 seed might get you Louisville and Columbus while #2 might get you DeMoines and Anaheim. Also #1 means your likely not in Duke's bracket since they are likely a #1 as well. #2 means a good chance you might be in Duke's bracket.

So while the #1 and #2 don't mean as much the location and who is in your bracket.
 

brianmark

Redshirt
Mar 27, 2006
145
40
0
Way too early. Duke, Gonzaga, and Mich State will end up with a one seed. 6-8 teams will fight it out for the last one.
I don’t see a chance. Here is why.
Duke is a lock
UVA is a lock
Michigan St 60% chance
Gonzaga will not lose again this year 80% chance
Michigan 50% chance
Tennessee even if we split the series 80% chance

We have to beat out these 4 teams so I give us 1% chance
 
May 27, 2007
31,899
24,996
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I don’t see a chance. Here is why.
Duke is a lock
UVA is a lock
Michigan St 60% chance
Gonzaga will not lose again this year 80% chance
Michigan 50% chance
Tennessee even if we split the series 80% chance

We have to beat out these 4 teams so I give us 1% chance

Duke and UVA are not looks.
Michigan St is getting taken to the woodshed right now against Purdue.

Gonzaga right now is a consensus 2 seed and they don't have anyone else on their schedule to improve their chances.
 
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Bungalow Bill

All-Conference
Apr 8, 2007
1,994
3,674
113
If the only loss we have left is @ UT we should be a 1 seed. Anything more than that would make us more dependent on what other teams do. 27-4, 16-2 in the SEC beating all of the ranked teams it would take to get that record in the SEC would get it done IMO.
 
Oct 9, 2015
13,862
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We’re about to win out in SEC play. I smell it coming. Am I wearing blue tinted glasses, hell yeah I am. It’s my job. Let’s go. Win SEC regular season, win SEC tourney. 1 seed. Final Four. I would say rematch with Duke in championship game, but I predicted earlier that we would go farther than Duke in tourney, so I’m sticking with that. Maybe Michigan, maybe UVA, maybe Gonzaga? Who cares. This is our path; it’s a path of destiny. Couldn’t be scripted any better.
 

bucsrule8872

Heisman
May 30, 2005
24,397
29,352
0
I don’t see a chance. Here is why.
Duke is a lock
UVA is a lock
Michigan St 60% chance
Gonzaga will not lose again this year 80% chance
Michigan 50% chance
Tennessee even if we split the series 80% chance

We have to beat out these 4 teams so I give us 1% chance

Michigan St. is trying to pull a Rick Barnes at Purdue today. They are taking their names out of consideration for a 1 seed. :joy:
 
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MiamiWolv

Heisman
Nov 2, 2006
12,597
22,557
113
time to seriously talk about a 1 seed

You’d have to beat out Tennessee. No shot two SEC teams are one seeds.

Duke/UVA is getting one seed.

Michigan or MSU is a one seed.

Tennessee would be a 1 seed.

Then you have the ACC number two, the B1G number two and Gonzaga.

Best for Kentucky if Duke wins the ACC and it’s conpeting with UVA. Hard to see Kentucky getting a one seed if it’s competing with Duke
 

Jakarii

All-Conference
Jan 29, 2016
4,640
3,048
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Kind of. Nevada has such a easy schedule that they have the lead for a top seed over UK. If UK can get super hot and win every game then theywpupd jump Nevada even if they win every game. As I type MSU is losing to Purdue so that helps UK case. It’s not likely Virgina or Duke will drop from the one line if they only lose to each other (Virgina could of they lose to Duke again).

UK fans should be cheering for UNC and NC state to take out Duke and Virgina at least once. Looking at UK schedule i think a good rest of the season would be two more losses. Probably once at Miss and once at Tenn.

We control our own path to a one. No reason to ignore it.
 

bucsrule8872

Heisman
May 30, 2005
24,397
29,352
0
East
1. Duke
2. Michigan St.

South
1. UT
2. UVA

Midwest
1. Michigan
2. UK

West
1. Zaga
2. Nevada
 

Jakarii

All-Conference
Jan 29, 2016
4,640
3,048
0
Gonzaga has had a weak schedule year in and year out and still get a number one seed when they lose two or sometimes three games so why exactly do you think they won’t get a number one seed? Especially since they have a better win this year than they have in previous years

Duke and UVA are not looks.
Michigan St is getting taken to the woodshed right now against Purdue.

Gonzaga right now is a consensus 2 seed and they don't have anyone else on their schedule to improve their chances.
 

Aike

Heisman
Mar 17, 2002
75,406
46,213
90
Kind of. Nevada has such a easy schedule that they have the lead for a top seed over UK. If UK can get super hot and win every game then theywpupd jump Nevada even if they win every game. As I type MSU is losing to Purdue so that helps UK case. It’s not likely Virgina or Duke will drop from the one line if they only lose to each other (Virgina could of they lose to Duke again).

UK fans should be cheering for UNC and NC state to take out Duke and Virgina at least once. Looking at UK schedule i think a good rest of the season would be two more losses. Probably once at Miss and once at Tenn.

I don’t think Nevada has any shot at a 1 seed. They are 18 in the NET with only 1 quad 1 win.

They are a really good team though. Someone is going to be sorry they drew them.

I only meant that Kentucky controls their own destiny in that if we win every game, we are a virtual lock for a 1. But the odds of us doing that are slim.
 

volsfan1186

Heisman
Dec 22, 2011
5,211
11,531
113
Nope. VA has inside track. If I had to predict it will be Duke, Gonzaga, MSU, and VA
I think Gonzaga needs a lot of help. They were 1-2 in their marquee out of conference games. If they could’ve gone 2-1 in those, they’d pretty much be a lock in my opinion. I think they’ll need some teams with 5 losses to really get into the conversation.
 
May 27, 2007
31,899
24,996
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Gonzaga has had a weak schedule year in and year out and still get a number one seed when they lose two or sometimes three games so why exactly do you think they won’t get a number one seed? Especially since they have a better win this year than they have in previous years

Gonzaga has gotten the 1 seed two times under Few. It's not as if they continue to get 1 seeds despite the schedule.

And they could very well get a 1 seed.

But I'm not putting it at a high chance and certainly not putting it at 80% or whatever that poster had it as.
 
A

anon_013cn8yrfncx2

Guest
Why does everyone assume Duke, Mich. State, Virginia, or any other team already has a 1 seed wrapped up? They clearly don’t. Any of those teams could lose 2-5 games the rest of the way. Conference games are tough. Games will be lost. The only team that probably could go undefeated the rest of the season is Gonzaga, but that’s because they play no one.

So any of those teams could lose several games but the Cats can't?

Don't see UVA losing 2 games unless Duke beats them again, which I don't foresee. Obviously the Michigan schools will lose some at least to each other.

Cats will have to at worst lose only at UT the rest of the way to have a shot.