European Nato countries are not going to start WW3 with us no matter what we do. They can't even fight off all the muslims that they let into their own coutries, let alone us. But, we're not going to block oil shipments to europe over this either. I trust / hope that trump recoups some costs and i assume that if he does it's going to come from Iran; but that's above my pay grade.I’m conflicted here because … we engaged Iran without our allies (sans Israel) and Im assuming we didn’t consult with them before we did so. I’m also assuming that we under estimated (unsure to what degree) Iran’s capabilities when it came to the Straight….. soooooooo I understand Europe’s hesitance in “helping us out” here. We started it …
buuuuuuuuut I also think the Europeans/NATO have been taking advantage of us … at least since the late 70s- early 80s and certainly since the USSR fell. They LOVE to belittle us for our healthcare system, University costs, and other social programs …. however they were quite content to grow their social programs knowing they could live under the umbrella of safety the US provided and knew we would shoulder the burden of defense costs.
not sure how Iran will play out long term, but I don’t think it’s controversial to think that this open “conflict” will be over by the end of April if not A LOT sooner. What comes after is less clear …. but I think Iran officially surrenders in the next couple of weeks, the Straight is open and clear under US control … soooooo does the US allow oil deliveries to Europe after we control the Straight? Do we levy some kind of tax/tariff for European bound tankers???
If we did either of the above … I could see THAT being the catalyst for WW3
They shoul;d be ponying up some assets because everyone befefits from a neutered, non-nuclear weapons holding Iran, but ok. If you can't follow the leader, then at least stay the hell out of the way and let us do work. That's really the issue. Denying basing and denying overflight and probably port use as well. They have done it many times over the years and I think we now need to stop pretending that they are rock solid allies and stop and accepting the status quo. Time to open our eyes and make sure whatever arrangement we have is truely a net benefit for us.
I can guarantee that if the US gets into a war with China over Taiwan, European NATO isn't going to do **** to help that will move the needle. That's for sure.


