What evidence is there that going from 34 to 36 is easier than 51 to 54?
Given that we don't shoot alot of threes.......it's logical to say that we only shoot them when we are open. If we attempt more threes, there's more reason in my opinion to believe our % would go DOWN not UP.
Really the amount of threes that should be taken is simple. It should be based on the personell you have on the team and whether you have 3 point shooters. We didn't last season. It didn't make any sense to shoot a ton of threes. Whether we have this season remains to be seen.
Last year Villanova had like 4 guys that shot above 40%. They had a couple of guys just under 40%. So they had a TON of shooters.
Teams that take a large % of their shots from are tend to be not good. They are shooting a ton of 3s for a reason.
Also 2s are more consistant than 3s.
If you wanna rely on the 3 point shot for six games in March that's fine but I'm not sure I want to.
How many spot-up 3 pointers does UK EVER take? I'm talking pure catch and shoot, not what happened with Monk and Murray, where they often ran patterns around the floor before briefly popping open.
Cal would rather have his guys drive into the teeth of the defense and then crash the boards than design stuff where a catch and shoot 3 is a desired outcome, and I'm just not sure that works any more.
Nearly every player, no matter their shooting ability, is better when they're taking perimeter shots off a pass, feet set and ready to fire. I think that's why Wenyen Gabriel, who to my eyes had mediocre touch (with the 62.5% FT shooting to attest to that) could hit nearly 40%- he almost exclusively took those types of shots. Those are the type of shots that NBA teams have been working to get for years now, and 3 pt % continues to rise despite the fact that attempts are skyrocketing.
That's why I think it's easier to go from 34 to 36% on threes than it is to go from 51% to 54% on 2's. You said it yourself- 2's are more consistent. And I think being bottom 50 in 3 point attempts while still not generating all that many open looks is not a viable long-term philosophy any more.