Iowa has zero chance at CFP even winning out.

gojojo

All-Conference
Jan 1, 2023
585
1,718
93
There’s no guarantee we get 3 teams this year. The conference is way down.

Parity in the SEC: Look at the amazing depth in this juggernaut of a conference

Parity in the B1G: The conference is way down this year.

Just because tOSU, Michigan and Penn State aren’t winning as much as usual doesn’t mean the other teams stink.

I’d agree it’s not as great as recent years but that committee does have B1G representation. The B1G brings in big money to the NCAA and I don’t see any way they only have 2 teams in the playoff unless there are only 2 teams with less than 3 losses.

Just win
 

HawksRule73

All-Conference
Jun 26, 2025
941
2,331
93
I think it's hard to lose to this year's Ohio State and Minnesota, and expect a ranking high enough to get in.

They might get in, with some help.

Strange things could happen in November, and even in the conference championship games that could reshuffle the rankings.
Most teams with multiple losses have lost to teams they shouldn’t have. Iowa is not unique in this regard. Heck, UGA lost at home to a bad Auburn team.
 

ClarindaA’s

All-Conference
Jun 30, 2025
1,298
1,776
113
I think it's hard to lose to this year's Ohio State and Minnesota, and expect a ranking high enough to get in.

They might get in, with some help.

Strange things could happen in November, and even in the conference championship games that could reshuffle the rankings.
Except the team that beat Iowa isn’t the one that lost to USC and Oregon
 

RuggieC

All-Conference
Mar 30, 2014
631
1,256
93
No way they fall that far. They won’t fall lower than 15. Granted, they aren’t the same team without someone to get the ball to Smith, but the head-to-head with us still matters. And we won’t go up more than one spot.
They fell that far on Coach’s poll. I think the other factor for BCS is they know OSU is not getting their QB back.
 

83Hawk

All-Conference
Jan 1, 2023
1,895
4,220
113
Iowa could be #11 in the CFP and not make the playoffs: Notre Dame at #12 and the G5’s automatic bid would leave them out.

Or Iowa at #12 with Notre Dame ranked higher, and a G5 team’s automatic bid.
 
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HawksRule73

All-Conference
Jun 26, 2025
941
2,331
93
Iowa could be #11 in the CFP and not make the playoffs: Notre Dame at #12 and the G5’s automatic bid would leave them out.

Or Iowa at #12 with Notre Dame ranked higher, and a G5 team’s automatic bid.
ND won’t end up 12, so we just need to get to 11. We’re at 15 in coaches right now…we can move up 4 spots in 3 weeks, especially with cannibalizing happening ahead of us.
 

Passing Is For COMMIES

All-Conference
Oct 30, 2023
612
1,144
93
No way they fall that far. They won’t fall lower than 15. Granted, they aren’t the same team without someone to get the ball to Smith, but the head-to-head with us still matters. And we won’t go up more than one spot.
In the coaches poll they just dropped from 10 to 20. AP releases in 10 minutes, we’ll probably see something similar. OSU will be in the 20s on Tuesday. They’re a 3 loss team, 20 is the highest they deserve.

EDIT: They dropped from 11 to 21 in the AP.
 
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The_Joker13_rivals

All-Conference
Oct 9, 2013
781
1,998
92
I’d bet the farm if Iowa wins out, they’re in. Other teams ahead of us will stumble, it’s nearly a guarantee. We are just as likely to stumble as well, but if we don’t we going to the CFP BABAY!!!!
 
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hahkize

Senior
Feb 7, 2007
359
545
93
....If they sweep them would committtee put in 2 3 loss SEC teams with LSU and Texas?

MN game kick in the nuts but optics wise their loss at IU least says they aren’t a complete garbage team.
Agreed. Plus they won vs Washington in Seattle, beat a Michigan team that Iowa almost lost to, played IU into OT, and hung w/ UCLA until late in the 4th and 2 75-yd bombs. The homecoming trophy rivalry game after just getting embarrassed at PU had them extra-motivated.
 
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83Hawk

All-Conference
Jan 1, 2023
1,895
4,220
113
ND won’t end up 12, so we just need to get to 11. We’re at 15 in coaches right now…we can move up 4 spots in 3 weeks, especially with cannibalizing happening ahead of us.
I know. I just used that as an example.
 
Mar 8, 2010
9,497
18,155
113
I don't bet on games, but I don't see anyway in Hell that happens. Michigan has only gotten worse since we played them, and Whittingham said after the game he had NO answers for what happened yesterday. I think the Ducks roll M.
Michigan has a good enough defense to keep them in the game. Depends if offense shows up. Could see it.
 
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eyesofhawk

All-Conference
Apr 17, 2011
3,904
3,638
113
Well, I was in row 38 at the Minnesota game, so, ya.
I'm not sure what you mean by "in a phone booth".

But if you were at the game, then certainly you noticed Iowa only had the tailback rush on consecutive downs 4 times in the game.

3 of those times were for 2 rushes in a row. And 1 time was for 3 rushes in a row.

Hard to say the game was in a phone booth, when Iowa was dropping back to pass that frequently
 

iahawkeyes17

All-Conference
Apr 22, 2014
923
2,333
83
Need Illinois to pull off a big one against UCLA.
Here is another question. If ucla lost 2 of their last 3 would we jump them? At Michigan and usc. I could see it happening. Speaking of usc with IU and ucla they are one team behind us who would bypass us if they won out.
 

Hurricane88

Senior
Mar 13, 2024
340
479
63
GFed, the internet character that likes to trespass into stadiums and see how long he can stay has created this list. Just enjoy the year, they won't be able to keep us out next year.


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