Iowa has zero chance at CFP even winning out.

[BlIIlken2]

Oregon or OSU with 3 losses get in ahead of Iowa. Not to mention they’re going to waste a spot with a one or two 3 loss SEC team(s).

All the forecasts showing Oregon and OSU already ranked ahead of Iowa.

 

[NorthernHawkeye]

Oregon or OSU with 3 losses get in ahead of Iowa. Not to mention they’re going to waste a spot with a one or two 3 loss SEC team(s).

All the forecasts showing Oregon and OSU already ranked ahead of Iowa.

Disagree.

If Iowa wins out, they are in.

 

[BlIIlken2]

Disagree.

If Iowa wins out, they are in.

You realize it’s based on rankings, right? They don’t select who they want. They rank them. Oregon and OSU (maybe) will be ranked ahead of Iowa this week. As well as 3 loss SEC teams. How are the hawks going to jump them if nothing changes?

 

[Grayhair1981]

It is pretty hard to predict who is going to end up where three weeks from now. Oregon is hot and has an easy end to their schedule. OSU might lose at least one more. Indiana, UCLA, USC have some tough tests.

 

[NorthernHawkeye]

You realize it’s based on rankings, right? They don’t select who they want. They rank them. Oregon and OSU (maybe) will be ranked ahead of Iowa this week. As well as 3 loss SEC teams. How are the hawks going to jump them if nothing changes?

OSU and Oregon will not be ranked ahead of Iowa.

Which 3 SEC teams? Ole Miss just got curb stomped.

 

[WeBeHerkin]

Oregon or OSU with 3 losses get in ahead of Iowa. Not to mention they’re going to waste a spot with a one or two 3 loss SEC team(s).

All the forecasts showing Oregon and OSU already ranked ahead of Iowa.

Ohio state will be like 20.

 

[hawkdave007]

I think it's hard to lose to this year's Ohio State and Minnesota, and expect a ranking high enough to get in.

They might get in, with some help.

Strange things could happen in November, and even in the conference championship games that could reshuffle the rankings.

 

[iahawkeyes17]

Oregon or OSU with 3 losses get in ahead of Iowa. Not to mention they’re going to waste a spot with a one or two 3 loss SEC team(s).

All the forecasts showing Oregon and OSU already ranked ahead of Iowa.

I think Tuesday is all that matters not some prediction forecast models. Iowa and Oregon each have 2 games left against a team the other has played. One in 2 weeks for iowa is at Illinois a team that Oregon lost to playing a backup.

Another thing to not forget is the infamous undefeated FSU snub when their qb Travis got hurt in regular season finale and committee said it mattered. With sayin hurt it doesn’t bode well for OSU. Honestly wouldn’t be surprised if Chiles plays this week that NW upsets them.

 

[Rambler Hawk]

I think it's hard to lose to this year's Ohio State and Minnesota, and expect a ranking high enough to get in.

They might get in, with some help.

Strange things could happen in November, and even in the conference championship games that could reshuffle the rankings.

Unfortunately our win against Michigan (while awesome) is also not aging well....

 

[iahawkeyes17]

I think it's hard to lose to this year's Ohio State and Minnesota, and expect a ranking high enough to get in.

They might get in, with some help.

Strange things could happen in November, and even in the conference championship games that could reshuffle the rankings.

Committee with first ranking set it up for 2 teams to get in with 3 losses. Bama and Texas. Looking at schedule bama probably isn’t losing. Texas plays LSU and at A & M (remember last year Texas upset playoff a & m in Austin) Guarantee if Texas loses they will point out how they beat a full strength OSU which with us is team we lost to lot different than one last 2 weeks so helps us out. 3rd team I’m curious with 3 losses would be LSU who still plays 2 loss Texas and Tennessee. If they sweep them would committtee put in 2 3 loss SEC teams with LSU and Texas?

MN game kick in the nuts but optics wise their loss at IU least says they aren’t a complete garbage team.

 

[Iron Doc]

STILL fried that the Idiots in charge didn't go with a 24 bracket THIS year!

 

[uihawk82]

Oregon or OSU with 3 losses get in ahead of Iowa. Not to mention they’re going to waste a spot with a one or two 3 loss SEC team(s).

All the forecasts showing Oregon and OSU already ranked ahead of Iowa.

That will suck big time. These last two games I guess Kirk should have beat Wisky 44-0 and jNW 38-3. That would have looked so much better because the voters dont look and stats, they dont see all these teams cant run against Iowa and not pass very well against Iowa let alone hardly score against Iowa.

 

[HawksRule25]

 

[Anon1751800595]

Ohio State will lose to either Nebraska or Michigan. Likely at Nebraska.

Oregon has an easier schedule to finish, but I could see Michigan beating them.

 

[QChawks]

Knowing Iowa they’ll probably lose to Purdue next week, so none of it will matter

 

[HawksRule25]

Knowing Iowa they’ll probably lose to Purdue next week, so none of it will matter

 

[Anon1751800595]

Knowing Iowa they’ll probably lose to Purdue next week, so none of it will matter

Sadly, I had that same thought. But the game at Illinois legit scares me the most.

 

[MeetTheFerentzes]

I agree that it is at least questionable that Iowa would make the CFP at 10-2, having a rather poor SOS and their best win being Wisconsin.

The good news is that Iowa has a decent chance of making the BTCG if they win out. There are three main rooting interests:
1) USC needs to beat Indiana (or Indiana has to suffer a major upset to Washington or Purdue)
2) Ohio St has to lose one more (they look to be in disarray, so is certainly possible)
3) Wisconsin also needs to win out (will be decent favorites in all their remaining games)

A tiebreaker among 7-2 2nd place teams IN, OR, IA, WI and USC would go to IA based on 1-0 record against tied teams. Every other team would be 1-1 or 0-1. IA wins this tiebreaker even if USC or OR lose another game.

I'd love a shot at UCLA in the BTCG for an auto-bid and even possible bye straight to the Rose Bowl.

(edited to add needing an OSU loss; I kinda assumed that everyone knew that was necessary, but I shouldn't have)

 

[Hawk48]

Disagree.

If Iowa wins out, they are in.

Maybe, but I think Iowa will drop one of the last three games, because that is Iowa football. JMO

 

[JerseyCityHawk]

You realize it’s based on rankings, right? They don’t select who they want. They rank them. Oregon and OSU (maybe) will be ranked ahead of Iowa this week. As well as 3 loss SEC teams. How are the hawks going to jump them if nothing changes?

How? Simply WIN… things will take course

 

[BlIIlken2]

How? Simply WIN… things will take course

In not arguing that. My point is they’re going to have 3 loss teams ahead of us. Winning out probably won’t be enough.

 

[MFinn]

Ohio state will be like 20.

No way they fall that far. They won’t fall lower than 15. Granted, they aren’t the same team without someone to get the ball to Smith, but the head-to-head with us still matters. And we won’t go up more than one spot.

 

[Rambler Hawk]

Ohio State will lose to either Nebraska or Michigan. Likely at Nebraska.

Oregon has an easier schedule to finish, but I could see Michigan beating them.

I think Nebbie is in a death spiral and will lose out.

 

[uihawk82]

In not arguing that. My point is they’re going to have 3 loss teams ahead of us. Winning out probably won’t be enough.

Iowa at 10-2 can get in if there are not several 3 loss SEC teams. No 3 loss team from Big 12 or ACC or anywhere else should get in ahead of a 10-2 Iowa team. So we need some cannibalization in the SEC.

 

[HawksRule25]

Iowa at 10-2 can get in if there are not several 3 loss SEC teams. No 3 loss team from Big 12 or ACC or anywhere else should get in ahead of a 10-2 Iowa team. So we need some cannibalization in the SEC.

 

[MAKhawks]

No way they fall that far. They won’t fall lower than 15. Granted, they aren’t the same team without someone to get the ball to Smith, but the head-to-head with us still matters. And we won’t go up more than one spot.

Perfect solution: Nebraska beats OSU.

Saves Rhule’s job and ends any discussion for OSU.

*I think OSU is already eliminated with back to back L’s

 

[IowaCityLit]

Look at Oregon’s schedule. They will definitely win out. And if they do they likely will be ahead of Iowa in the rankings. And probably should be. Wins over Boise State, USC, Ohio State. 2 pt loss to undefeated UCLA. Their resume will be better

 

[EvilMonkeyInTheCloset]

Oregon or OSU with 3 losses get in ahead of Iowa. Not to mention they’re going to waste a spot with a one or two 3 loss SEC team(s).

All the forecasts showing Oregon and OSU already ranked ahead of Iowa.

What happened to Mr. Positivity sh***ing on everyone being negative last night?.....................

 

[7and5baby]

Knowing Iowa they’ll probably lose to Purdue next week, so none of it will matter

we are usually good for 2 'stinkers' a year. So far we have just one.

 

[Outbackbowl2017]

Iowa is screwed by a terrible loss to Minny and not running up the score last night vs NW.

These are the teams to worry about and bias….

Utah and BYU in the B12
Miami and ND (semi affiliation) in the ACC
Bama, GA, TX, Kentucky, TN, LSU, and Ole Miss
Boise State G5
UCLA, Indy, Oregon (love them some Oregon), USC, then Iowa

Iowa will be lucky to climb to 15 by the committee. No love for KF’s style of playing all three phases with a play not to lose offense. Just the way it is. Next year is the year to be able to get in with 24 team field.

 

[Rambler Hawk]

Look at Oregon’s schedule. They will definitely win out. And if they do they likely will be ahead of Iowa in the rankings. And probably should be. Wins over Boise State, USC, Ohio State. 2 pt loss to undefeated UCLA. Their resume will be better

Unfortunately I think you are right…I am actually very concerned about us beating IL now…they have (another) pretty good QB and the Purdue loss was a wake up call for them…

 

[The Big Z]

Ohio State will lose to either Nebraska or Michigan. Likely at Nebraska.

Oregon has an easier schedule to finish, but I could see Michigan beating them.

Michigan just lost to a winless conference team and you think they’re beating Oregon?

 

[uihawk82]

we are usually good for 2 'stinkers' a year. So far we have just one.

REally, you have to go there, I would say your statement is false, 1 stinker and 1 head scratcher where a head scratcher is maybe some unmitigating circumstance against a good team, for instance

A few years ago at Purdue, two phantom holding penalties on Iowa keep them from running out the clock with the lead, we punt, they kick a last second FG. I think Moss was a frosh who was forced into action that game before he was all big 10

And a whole bunch of other games where Hawks played pretty well but made some goofy late game mistakes, etc oh like the '22 Nebby game iirc where DeJean got knocked out of the game that Iowa was winning even after our starting QB got knocked out of the game. But Dejean's replacement got torched twice for long scores , game set match

 

[Rambler Hawk]

REally, you have to go there, I would say your statement is false, 1 stinker and 1 head scratcher where a head scratcher is maybe some unmitigating circumstance against a good team, for instance

A few years ago at Purdue, two phantom holding penalties on Iowa keep them from running out the clock with the lead, we punt, they kick a last second FG. I think Moss was a frosh who was forced into action that game before he was all big 10

And a whole bunch of other games where Hawks played pretty well but made some goofy late game mistakes, etc oh like the '22 Nebby game iirc where DeJean got knocked out of the game that Iowa was winning even after our starting QB got knocked out of the game. But Dejean's replacement got torched twice for long scores , game set match

And the ‘fair catch’ game…

 

[F6n6]

Iowa is in easy... guarantee it.

 

[Anon1751457816]

Iowa made its bed with it decided to play in a phone booth against OSU and MN. Thems the breaks

 

[gojojo]

The B1G is getting at least 3 teams.

Indiana and UCLA are likely locks at this point unless the wheels completely fall off.

USC has two very difficult games left at Indy and UCLA, doubt they win both.

Despite the win yesterday, Oregon already has 3 losses, one of them an embarrassing showing at Illinois.

tOSU has the name but they look like they quit yesterday. I could see them dropping another.

That leaves your University of Iowa Hawkeyes at 7-2 with the easiest schedule amongst the teams in contention. I don’t see Iowa losing at home in November. Illini will be a tough matchup in Champaign.

 

[The Big Z]

The B1G is getting at least 3 teams.

Indiana and UCLA are likely locks at this point unless the wheels completely fall off.

USC has two very difficult games left at Indy and UCLA, doubt they win both.

Despite the win yesterday, Oregon already has 3 losses, one of them an embarrassing showing at Illinois.

tOSU has the name but they look like they quit yesterday. I could see them dropping another.

That leaves your University of Iowa Hawkeyes at 7-2 with the easiest schedule amongst the teams in contention. I don’t see Iowa losing at home in November. Illini will be a tough matchup in Champaign.

There’s no guarantee we get 3 teams this year. The conference is way down.

 

[RuggieC]

OSU and Oregon will not be ranked ahead of Iowa.

Which 3 SEC teams? Ole Miss just got curb stomped.

OSU just fell to 20 on the coach’s poll. I understand the bcs is different but they won’t be ahead of Iowa. Oregon will be closer but not ahead of Iowa.

 

[RuggieC]

Unfortunately our win against Michigan (while awesome) is also not aging well....

Unless Meatchicken can beat Oregon at home.