Line moves from +2.5 to +3 Iowa

85Bears

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Possibly more money was bet on UW or news has leaked out Iowas starting qb is injured. Total of 41.5 looks a little low to me. i think we have to score 20-24 points to win
 

85Bears

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i Think Jedd Fisch play calling vs Phil is a mismatch favoring Iowa, I like us in this game unless our o turns the ball over and craps the bed Or UW just plays out of its mind.
 
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eyesofhawk

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Even some 3.5 out there.

The early movement is almost certainly sharp money.

And with the computers and low total all suggesting Iowa is in play here, that makes it more likely that the early movement is just steam.

The movements will define the situation over the next few days
 

85Bears

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Even some 3.5 out there.

The early movement is almost certainly sharp money.

And with the computers and low total all suggesting Iowa is in play here, that makes it more likely that the early movement is just steam.

The movements will define the situation over the next few days
Unless you are an Iowa fan, hearing qb1 goes down with ac sprain in throwing shoulder is going to move the line.

i feel just as comfortable, maybe more with Heck starting
 

eyesofhawk

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He's not saying Heck is starting. He's saying he would be just as comfortable with Heck starting as he would be with Brown.
Perhaps.

But he's saying the point spread could be an indication of who's at QB. Which would only be the case if Brown out were official
 

85Bears

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Perhaps.

But he's saying the point spread could be an indication of who's at QB. Which would only be the case if Brown out were official
I think public knowledge of injury to qb1 throwing shoulder could move the line

I could certainly be wrong but I’d be surprised if Hank started and played the whole game
 

eyesofhawk

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I think public knowledge of injury to qb1 throwing shoulder could move the line

I could certainly be wrong but I’d be surprised if Hank started and played the whole game
Vegas didn't reset the line due to the potential injury, but due to early action on Washington.

Vegas doesn't value college football injuries enough to cause line movement without the injury being official.

Not many public bets come in this early in the week. And the ones that do are smaller bets.

The big money that moved the line this early in the week is sharp money. And knowing that public money won't be enough to move the line for a couple days, there's no reason for sharps to rush getting involved before information becomes more concrete.

So the sharps either like Washington, independent of qb news. Or they're steaming the line up over 3 to come back and bet Iowa. Depending on what the line does the rest of the week, that may become more clear
 

85Bears

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Vegas didn't reset the line due to the potential injury, but due to early action on Washington.

Vegas doesn't value college football injuries enough to cause line movement without the injury being official.

Not many public bets come in this early in the week. And the ones that do are smaller bets.

The big money that moved the line this early in the week is sharp money. And knowing that public money won't be enough to move the line for a couple days, there's no reason for sharps to rush getting involved before information becomes more concrete.

So the sharps either like Washington, independent of qb news. Or they're steaming the line up over 3 to come back and bet Iowa. Depending on what the line does the rest of the week, that may become more clear
I will be surprised if Hank plays. If that’s the case it will affect the line. I doubt Captain Kirk discloses that until he has to.
 

7and5baby

Redshirt
Sep 22, 2018
30
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Possibly more money was bet on UW or news has leaked out Iowas starting qb is injured. Total of 41.5 looks a little low to me. i think we have to score 20-24 points to win
Wait, if Iowa's qb (Brown) was hurt/out, wouldn't that number drop :sneaky:
 

BigDelHawk

Freshman
Jan 9, 2004
59
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Possibly more money was bet on UW or news has leaked out Iowas starting qb is injured. Total of 41.5 looks a little low to me. i think we have to score 20-24 points to win
A minor sprain of a collarbone is a dislocated shoulder. Min of 2 to 3 weeks to throw without pain. Heck is likely going to start.
 
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eyesofhawk

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I will be surprised if Hank plays. If that’s the case it will affect the line. I doubt Captain Kirk discloses that until he has to.
Correct. KF will keep it in house as long as possible.

It would have been more clearly stated by me to say Vegas usually won't move a college football spread by more than .5 point, in terms of their true projection.

To move more than that involves Washington action and/or projected Washington action. And that action doesn't become large enough from the public until a player is officially listed out.

It's possible heavier sharp action could have come in on Washington, at this point, due to the potential of a qb injury. But that potentiality alone, wouldn't have moved the line at this point. There are reasons independent of the possible injury that have moved the line
 
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IowaCityLit

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Aug 30, 2025
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Correct. KF will keep it in house as long as possible.

It would have been more clearly stated by me to say Vegas usually won't move a college football spread by more than .5 point, in terms of their true projection.

To move more than that involves Washington action and/or projected Washington action. And that action doesn't become large enough from the public until a player is officially listed out.

It's possible heavier sharp action could have come in on Washington, at this point, due to the potential of a qb injury. But that potentiality alone, wouldn't have moved the line at this point. There are reasons independent of the possible injury that have moved the line
Kirk playing chess others playing checkers.

Or…not.
 
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