It’s really bad. There is really nothing to indicate foul play. It can’t be ruled out, but the overwhelmingly likely situation is a tragic drowning. Now, not only do the kids have to deal with losing their friend and also likely some guilt from not making sure one of the drivers of the other boats knew he was taking him (really would have been Nolan’s responsibility anyway before declining a ride, but would have been better practice to know first hand one of the other boat captains knew he was with them), but they also have to deal with a bunch of low IQ people on the internet calling them murderers and wishing death threats on them just because they’re white.
There is one group of friends in our neighborhood that don’t overlap in age with any of ours where there is one black kid in a group of white kids. Great parents everybody likes and respects and Id think they wouldn’t sit by and be quiet while a bunch of people callled their kid’s lifelong friends racist murderers if tragedy happened. But obviously nobody would have expected that of the parents of Nolan wells or they wouldn’t have let yet their kids be friends with him to begin with. Just risk that I don’t think anybody was really considering before. Really unlikely risk, but just risk no loss should have to face.