Travis Branham crystal ball Kentucky

Threedognight

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May 26, 2026
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Yea it’s just someone I’m sure his agents and family are really familiar and comfortable with. UCLA is a horrible place for him but money solves that.
Can’t wait to laugh at him while UCLA is awful this year and the funniest part is helll have to spend a 2nd probably worse year after
 
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Padsfs07

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Jan 19, 2013
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Can’t wait to laugh at him while UCLA is awful this year and the funniest part is helll have to spend a 2nd probably worse year after

Why would UCLA be awful? They were a 7 seed, same as us last year. They are bringing back three starters and have a couple solid guards transferring in. I don't think they will be great, but they aren't far off from our 'national' expectations.
 

Threedognight

Senior
May 26, 2026
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Why would UCLA be awful? They were a 7 seed, same as us last year. They are bringing back three starters and have a couple solid guards transferring in. I don't think they will be great, but they aren't far off from our 'national' expectations.
I mean they can bring in as many solid gaurd and starters from last year as they want and Kentucky will still be ranked higher.
If Kusturica goes to ucla I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s the number 1 scorer
 

Catlogic1552

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Also, I’ve let it go for too long. The stupid 63% career argument. I never really took the time to deal with it because I honestly thought it was so underwhelming no one would take it seriously. Well, I was wrong — I saw someone on KSBoard parrot that the other day and i couldn’t believe it. People think it’s convincing.

I’m going to make a separate post absolutely shredding that lazy monstrosity so we can get back to debating honestly and faithfully. Anyone interested, keep an eye out on it. It’ll be long winded and it’ll be well-reasoned.
You can shred it all you want, but it's a fact with a “monstrous “ sample size and will follow us into 2026-27.
 

Major_Tom

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Apr 16, 2010
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Selling a young European on the glitz and glamour of Los Angeles probably isn't too hard. EU people visiting the US tend to go to one of three places pretty consistently - LA, NY, Miami. They're probably selling him on getting looks from the Lakers or rubbing elbows with them. My guess is he's too naive to know that UCLA hasn't been a factor in the media or CBB in forever.
Exactly. I live in SoCal and I lived in Europe. When Europeans think of the USA, they think NYC, LA, Las Vegas, Miami. Selling a basketball player from Europe on Kentucky is much different than a player from the states.
 

MdWIldcat55

Heisman
Dec 9, 2007
21,512
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Exactly. I live in SoCal and I lived in Europe. When Europeans think of the USA, they think NYC, LA, Las Vegas, Miami. Selling a basketball player from Europe on Kentucky is much different than a player from the states.
They aren't coming on vacation. They are coming to make money, and prepare themselves for the NBA. Young European basketball professionals are a lot more sophisticated about American basketball, including the college game, than you seem to think. If Lexington Kentucky offers this guy his best chance to make money now and prepare for the NBA draft, he's not going to turn that down to hang out on South Beach or the Malibu pier.

I'm not saying that Kentucky does offer Kustirica that, but if so, he'll come to Lexington. He's not some hick from Novi Sad hoping to see the Statue of Liberty or the Hollywood sign...
 

Padsfs07

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They aren't coming on vacation. They are coming to make money, and prepare themselves for the NBA. Young European basketball professionals are a lot more sophisticated about American basketball, including the college game, than you seem to think. If Lexington Kentucky offers this guy his best chance to make money now and prepare for the NBA draft, he's not going to turn that down to hang out on South Beach or the Malibu pier.

I'm not saying that Kentucky does offer Kustirica that, but if so, he'll come to Lexington. He's not some hick from Novi Sad hoping to see the Statue of Liberty or the Hollywood sign...

Well said. He’s playing for Barcelona now too and he’s from Serbia so he’s seen some cool places already and wouldn’t be as impressed with LA as you’d think.
 

UKWildcats1987

Heisman
Sep 9, 2021
20,125
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I mean they can bring in as many solid gaurd and starters from last year as they want and Kentucky will still be ranked higher.
If Kusturica goes to ucla I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s the number 1 scorer

Neither is winning anything that matters so not sure what u are beating your chest about.
 

UKCowboys

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Oct 14, 2019
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I agree, but Pope's recruiting tactics have been terrible up until Hampton's commitment. Going all-in on Stokes was one of the most embarrassing things I've ever seen as far as Kentucky recruiting is concerned.

Caleb Holt was the guy we should have added. We had the money. It's going to bite us big time this year. He'd be perfect in Pope's system.
Not going all in for Holt when we had a legit shot was an epic failure. I do think he has learned from it
 
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Also, I’ve let it go for too long. The stupid 63% career argument. I never really took the time to deal with it because I honestly thought it was so underwhelming no one would take it seriously. Well, I was wrong — I saw someone on KSBoard parrot that the other day and i couldn’t believe it. People think it’s convincing.

I’m going to make a separate post absolutely shredding that lazy monstrosity so we can get back to debating honestly and faithfully. Anyone interested, keep an eye out on it. It’ll be long winded and it’ll be well-reasoned.
I have previously gone to extreme lengths on this topic. I certainly welcome someone else taking a crack at it and look forward to seeing what you offer up on the topic.
 

Im The Village Idiot

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I have previously gone to extreme lengths on this topic. I certainly welcome someone else taking a crack at it and look forward to seeing what you offer up on the topic.
I’m looking forward to it. Unfortunately, it’s probably going to be this weekend. There’s a reason I haven’t posted much today. I’m now having to even work at home because of some customer breakdowns at work. I’ll send you a draft of what I have so far if you want to peer review it. I have an outline for where I’m going next with it. Again, shouldn’t even need to be said. This stuff is basic common sense. There is no magic argument, because it doesn’t need one. Simply requires good-faith effort and honest analysis.
 
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It's a "monstrosity" and yet you haven't been able to refute it for at least a year? It's taken you at least this long to cook up something? If it's so stupid why have you sat at your thinking desk for a year and done nothing in terms of shredding it? The argument that you didn't think that it would be taken seriously is also comical considering it's been one of the main talking points on this message board for at least a year. There's no way you were oblivious to that since you've even used it as evidence against Pope. And all it took for you to categorize it as worthy of combating was somebody posting about it on the ksboard? So it went from an illegitimate argument not worthy of confronting to a legitimate argument worth shredding based on one post?

Perhaps a year from now you will write a new post supporting it again? I guess it will all come down to how we feel in the springtime, eh?

Let's see if you can cook up something without using Dan Hurley or any of the other rare top 1% exceptions as your case points.
I posted on this extensively before and I can only assume you are playing dumb on this topic. I'll copy and paste from my older posts.

Tom Izzo 33-28 54.1% after 2 seasons at MSU

Dean Smith 23-15 60.5% after 2 seasons at UNCheat

Billy Donovan 27-32 45.8% after 2 seasons at UF

Coach K 27-30 47.4% after 2 seasons at Puke

Nolan Richardson 31-30 50.8% after 2 at Arkansas

Danny Hurley 35-29 54.7% after 2 seasons at UConn

Todd Golden 40-29 58% after 2 seasons at UF

Scott Drew 17-40 30% after 2 seasons at Baylor

Tony Bennett 31-31 50% after 2 seasons at Virginia

Jay Wright 34-29 54% after 2 seasons at Villanova

Jim Calhoun 29-33 46.8% after 2 seasons at UConn

Gary Williams 35-26 57.4% after 2 seasons at Maryland

Lute Olson 31-27 53.4% after 2 seasons at Arizona

That's a few National Championship coaches (13 of 22) since 1991 (accounting for 21 titles) with a worse record their first 2 seasons at the schools that they won it at than Pope's first 2 seasons at UK.

Someone then asked about the jobs previous to the one's where they won a title. This was then provided.


Smith and Izzo held no previous job.

Donovan 63.6% at Marshall

Hurley 63.2% at Wagner
57.9% at RI

Coach K 55.3% at Army

Todd Golden 61.3% at SF

Drew 64.5% at Valpo

Tony Bennett 67.6% Wash St

Jay Wright 58.9% at Hofstra

Jim Calhoun 64.4% Northeastern

Nolan Richardson 76.3% Tulsa

Gary Williams 63.2% American, 62.8% BC, 59% Ohio St
 
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*Fox2Monk*

Heisman
Jun 10, 2009
46,735
85,392
113
Exactly. I live in SoCal and I lived in Europe. When Europeans think of the USA, they think NYC, LA, Las Vegas, Miami. Selling a basketball player from Europe on Kentucky is much different than a player from the states.
Yeah and nobody in SoCal gives two craps about UCLA in anything unless they are playing for a championship. Otherwise it’s pro sports all day long.
 

*Fox2Monk*

Heisman
Jun 10, 2009
46,735
85,392
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Yep, LA is an NBA then MLB town. No one cares about UCLA anything except maybe alumni that stuck around town. When I lived in SoCal for 10 years in the 2000s, my personalized plates were "UK CATS1" - literally no one knew what that meant, and I had several people over that time ask "what kind of cat is unique to the UK?" - this even happened at the NCAA tournament in Anaheim I attended (UK vs Marquette), and the arena was stark empty!
Don’t forget about the NFL now. Highly successful team in the most popular U.S. sport too.
 

Son_Of_Saul

Hall of Famer
Dec 7, 2007
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I posted on this extensively before and I can only assume you are playing dumb on this topic. I'll copy and paste from my older posts.


Dean Smith 23-15 60.5% after 2 seasons at UNCheat

Billy Donovan 27-32 45.8% after 2 seasons at UF

Coach K 27-30 47.4% after 2 seasons at Puke

Nolan Richardson 31-30 50.8% after 2 at Arkansas

Danny Hurley 35-29 54.7% after 2 seasons at UConn

Todd Golden 40-29 58% after 2 seasons at UF

Scott Drew 17-40 30% after 2 seasons at Baylor

Tony Bennett 31-31 50% after 2 seasons at Virginia

Jay Wright 34-29 54% after 2 seasons at Villanova

Jim Calhoun 29-33 46.8% after 2 seasons at UConn

Gary Williams 35-26 57.4% after 2 seasons at Maryland

Lute Olson 31-27 53.4% after 2 seasons at Arizona

That's a few National Championship coaches (13 of 22) since 1991 (accounting for 21 titles) with a worse record their first 2 season at the schools that they won it at than Pope's first 2 seasons at UK.

Someone then asked about the jobs previous to the one's where they won a title. This was then provided.


Smith and Izzo held no previous job.

Donovan 63.6% at Marshall

Hurley 63.2% at Wagner
57.9% at RI

Coach K 55.3% at Army

Todd Golden 61.3% at SF

Drew 64.5% at Valpo

Tony Bennett 67.6% Wash St

Jay Wright 58.9% at Hofstra

Jim Calhoun 64.4% Northeastern

Nolan Richardson 76.3% Tulsa

Gary Williams 63.2% American, 62.8% BC, 59% Ohio St
Thanks for the research. Seriously, I appreciate actual numbers.

How many of them were at established blue bloods? That last question is significant. This isn't UConn or Virginia or Baylor (or even Arizona, which had never won conference title before Olson arrived and they were coming off a 4 win season the year before), where the sun rises and sets with the coaches who ended up winning titles there. There was no standard before those coaches arrived, so they had time.

I'm not going to act like your stats don't matter, because they do, but you're also making a case for giving Mark Pope an indefinite leash. How long is your leash? How many more years do you think Pope should get? Does he get a pass for three or four years because he might turn into Billy Donovan or Jim Calhoun? Where is the cut off in your mind?

The bigger question I have is this: what has he demonstrated to you that has convinced you he deserves that longer leash (beyond three years)?

What standards and milestones does he need to reach in order for you to feel like Pope's had enough time?

Here's the list of the first eleven years of each coach below. Again, how long does Pope get. Does UK give him the leash Coach K was given at Duke?


RankCoachRecordWin %
1Nolan Richardson260–92.739
2Dean Smith217–82.726
3Tom Izzo255–109.701
4Tony Bennet257–116.689
5Todd Golden*160–77.675
6Billy Donovan228–112.671
7Lute Olson202–110.647
8Mark Pope233–134.635
9Gary Williams207–128.618
10Mike Krzyzewski195–127.606
11Jim Calhoun173–118.595
12Jay Wright198–139.588
13Danny Hurley201–142.586
14Scott Drew200–149



*Golden has only coached 7 seasons thus far.
 

Son_Of_Saul

Hall of Famer
Dec 7, 2007
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I posted on this extensively before and I can only assume you are playing dumb on this topic. I'll copy and paste from my older posts.


Dean Smith 23-15 60.5% after 2 seasons at UNCheat

Billy Donovan 27-32 45.8% after 2 seasons at UF

Coach K 27-30 47.4% after 2 seasons at Puke

Nolan Richardson 31-30 50.8% after 2 at Arkansas

Danny Hurley 35-29 54.7% after 2 seasons at UConn

Todd Golden 40-29 58% after 2 seasons at UF

Scott Drew 17-40 30% after 2 seasons at Baylor

Tony Bennett 31-31 50% after 2 seasons at Virginia

Jay Wright 34-29 54% after 2 seasons at Villanova

Jim Calhoun 29-33 46.8% after 2 seasons at UConn

Gary Williams 35-26 57.4% after 2 seasons at Maryland

Lute Olson 31-27 53.4% after 2 seasons at Arizona

That's a few National Championship coaches (13 of 22) since 1991 (accounting for 21 titles) with a worse record their first 2 seasons at the schools that they won it at than Pope's first 2 seasons at UK.

Someone then asked about the jobs previous to the one's where they won a title. This was then provided.


Smith and Izzo held no previous job.

Donovan 63.6% at Marshall

Hurley 63.2% at Wagner
57.9% at RI

Coach K 55.3% at Army

Todd Golden 61.3% at SF

Drew 64.5% at Valpo

Tony Bennett 67.6% Wash St

Jay Wright 58.9% at Hofstra

Jim Calhoun 64.4% Northeastern

Nolan Richardson 76.3% Tulsa

Gary Williams 63.2% American, 62.8% BC, 59% Ohio St
Here's some other numbers. Let's keep in mind that Pope is approaching his mid-50s. Does he have 10 years to figure this thing out like some of the other guys on the list? I mean, sir, seriously. This is Kentucky. Do you give guys five year auditions?

1Tommy Lloyd136–20.872
2Mark Few771–154.834
3Jon Scheyer89–20.817
4Bill Self856–263.765
5John Calipari903–285.760
6Rick Pitino915–317.743
7Bruce Pearl* (no longer coaching)731–273.728
8Hubert Davis* (no longer coaching)106–40.726
9Sean Miller520–196.726
10Nate Oats353–133.726
11Tom Izzo764–309.712
12Mick Cronin547–228.706
13Todd Golden160–77.675
14Rick Barnes858–425.669
15Danny Hurley350–180.660
16Mark Pope230–134.632
17T. J. Otzelberger254–163.609
 

UKCowboys

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Oct 14, 2019
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Well said. He’s playing for Barcelona now too and he’s from Serbia so he’s seen some cool places already and wouldn’t be as impressed with LA as you’d think.
Wouldn't be impressed with L.A. but would be with Lexington LMAO? I can't imagine anyone wanting to okay for UCLA over UK in Hoops, but city vs city for a foreigner, Brother please
 
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Aug 23, 2024
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Thanks for the research. Seriously, I appreciate actual numbers.

How many of them were at established blue bloods? That last question is significant. This isn't UConn or Virginia or Baylor (or even Arizona, which had never won conference title before Olson arrived and they were coming off a 4 win season the year before), where the sun rises and sets with the coaches who ended up winning titles there. There was no standard before those coaches arrived, so they had time.

I'm not going to act like your stats don't matter, because they do, but you're also making a case for giving Mark Pope an indefinite leash. How long is your leash? How many more years do you think Pope should get? Does he get a pass for three or four years because he might turn into Billy Donovan or Jim Calhoun? Where is the cut off in your mind?

The bigger question I have is this: what has he demonstrated to you that has convinced you he deserves that longer leash (beyond three years)?

What standards and milestones does he need to reach in order for you to feel like Pope's had enough time?

Here's the list of the first eleven years of each coach below. Again, how long does Pope get. Does UK give him the leash Coach K was given at Duke?


RankCoachRecordWin %
1Nolan Richardson260–92.739
2Dean Smith217–82.726
3Tom Izzo255–109.701
4Tony Bennet257–116.689
5Todd Golden*160–77.675
6Billy Donovan228–112.671
7Lute Olson202–110.647
8Mark Pope233–134.635
9Gary Williams207–128.618
10Mike Krzyzewski195–127.606
11Jim Calhoun173–118.595
12Jay Wright198–139.588
13Danny Hurley201–142.586
14Scott Drew200–149



*Golden has only coached 7 seasons thus far.
I absolutely in no way have advocated for an indefinite leash. I don't know that he gets the same leash K did at Duke but it obviously would have been a horrendous mistake to have pulled the plug on him prior to year 6. I don't necessarily want to try set a hard timeline or specific numbers but we definitely need to see progress and return to seriously challenging for final fours and championships in the not too distant future. I think nuance and realistic factors should be considered and ultimately it will be up to the A.D. if and when a change must be made.
 
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Here's some other numbers. Let's keep in mind that Pope is approaching his mid-50s. Does he have 10 years to figure this thing out like some of the other guys on the list? I mean, sir, seriously. This is Kentucky. Do you give guys five year auditions?

1Tommy Lloyd136–20.872
2Mark Few771–154.834
3Jon Scheyer89–20.817
4Bill Self856–263.765
5John Calipari903–285.760
6Rick Pitino915–317.743
7Bruce Pearl* (no longer coaching)731–273.728
8Hubert Davis* (no longer coaching)106–40.726
9Sean Miller520–196.726
10Nate Oats353–133.726
11Tom Izzo764–309.712
12Mick Cronin547–228.706
13Todd Golden160–77.675
14Rick Barnes858–425.669
15Danny Hurley350–180.660
16Mark Pope230–134.632
17T. J. Otzelberger254–163.609
This is an apples to oranges type comparison in a lot of ways. What was the basis for the coaches you've selected here other than it puts Pope next to last in the comparison? I specified my list was pulled from National Championship coaches since 1991.

I never suggested a 5 year audition but I would like to see at least one year not crippled by injuries.
 
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Aug 23, 2024
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Thanks for the research. Seriously, I appreciate actual numbers.

How many of them were at established blue bloods? That last question is significant. This isn't UConn or Virginia or Baylor (or even Arizona, which had never won conference title before Olson arrived and they were coming off a 4 win season the year before), where the sun rises and sets with the coaches who ended up winning titles there. There was no standard before those coaches arrived, so they had time.

I'm not going to act like your stats don't matter, because they do, but you're also making a case for giving Mark Pope an indefinite leash. How long is your leash? How many more years do you think Pope should get? Does he get a pass for three or four years because he might turn into Billy Donovan or Jim Calhoun? Where is the cut off in your mind?

The bigger question I have is this: what has he demonstrated to you that has convinced you he deserves that longer leash (beyond three years)?

What standards and milestones does he need to reach in order for you to feel like Pope's had enough time?

Here's the list of the first eleven years of each coach below. Again, how long does Pope get. Does UK give him the leash Coach K was given at Duke?


RankCoachRecordWin %
1Nolan Richardson260–92.739
2Dean Smith217–82.726
3Tom Izzo255–109.701
4Tony Bennet257–116.689
5Todd Golden*160–77.675
6Billy Donovan228–112.671
7Lute Olson202–110.647
8Mark Pope233–134.635
9Gary Williams207–128.618
10Mike Krzyzewski195–127.606
11Jim Calhoun173–118.595
12Jay Wright198–139.588
13Danny Hurley201–142.586
14Scott Drew200–149



*Golden has only coached 7 seasons thus far.
This is of course largely affected by how long they were at what school.

Utah Valley did not start a Basketball team until the '04-'05 season. BYU has a historical winning percentage of 63%.

In the 6 years prior to Smith getting the job Frank McGuire had gone 126-27 82.4% with a National Championship in '57. UNC had gone 19-4 the season before Smith's debut.

Jud Heathcote had gone 126-56 69.2% while making the tourney 5 times in the six years before Izzo. Heathcote had gone 22-6 in his final season. This also was not an example of a struggling downtrodden program.

After struggling his first 3 seasons Bill Foster was 73-24 75.3% with 3 tournament appearances, a championship game appearance, and an elite eight in his final 3 years including a 24-9 record the year before K took over.

Uconn had won four National Championships while making the Final Four 5 times in the 20 years prior to Hurley's arrival.

None of this proves Pope will reach the heights of these coaches by any means but it does provide precedent for coaches having great success after slow starts at solid programs.
 
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kyhankypanky

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This is an apples to oranges type comparison in a lot of ways. What was the basis for the coaches you've selected here other than it puts Pope next to last in the comparison? I specified my list was pulled from National Championship coaches since 1991.

I never suggested a 5 year audition but I would like to see at least one year not crippled by injuries.
Pope has perhaps the biggest budget in the NIL era. That changes the game completely. And renders these old comparisons obsolete imo. The guys you listed may have been in rebuilds or just needed more time to turn things around with their HS recruiting. With the biggest budget and the impact of the portal, Pope is in a completely different situation where results are expected immediately.
 

Son_Of_Saul

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This is an apples to oranges type comparison in a lot of ways. What was the basis for the coaches you've selected here other than it puts Pope next to last in the comparison? I specified my list was pulled from National Championship coaches since 1991.

I never suggested a 5 year audition but I would like to see at least one year not crippled by injuries.
The basis was overall career winning %. We keep leaving out the part that Mark Pope is about to turn 54 years old. He's not some young up and comer who just needs a shot at a legit program. He's done nothing virtually everywhere he's been, and now he's at Kentucky hoping he can turn into Danny Hurley as he approaches his mid 50s. That's needle in a haystack level thinking, and it's entirely more likely he becomes Matt Doherty or Mike White than he does Dean Smith or Billy Donovan.
 
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True. But that may not be important to him. The millions of beautiful women and palm trees may be though.
Once you see one palm tree you've seen them all and its not hard to find beautiful women on most college campus's. I'd rather not pay California taxes and compete with those women with tech and crypto bros.
 
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Just throwing numbers against the wall here. But lets say this kid is offered $7 million dollars. He's going to pay almost $1 million in taxes in California vs $300,000 in Kentucky. Now add cost of living and this kid is going to lose millions and have to play for Cronin. Oh to to be young and be able to make these mistakes.
 

AJBlue

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Dec 16, 2015
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We got the guys we need for a FF run. This guy would just be a bonus. Im not worried one way or the other on him.
This has been my take from the beginning even when it looked like we had him wrapped up. I got all excited about the news then watche the tape and I feel like I'm missing something. My immediate reaction was kind of deflating. I know he's young, is skilled and has a lot of upside, but just didnt see all the all world, next big thing in him after watching film. Kid is going to have to grow a lot to handle the physical nature of the game going forward IMO