New Polling is ugly for DJT

dpic73

Heisman
Jul 27, 2005
31,959
26,384
113

You wouldn't know a fact if it crawled up your *** and died and Hunter Eagleman wouldn't either because he doesn't care about facts, he just wants to propagandize you, because he knows you'll spread his slop. Because you're not sane

🕒 The latest on Trump’s approval rating
Updated May 6, 2026

Last week, Donald Trump’s net approval rating fell to a second term low of -18.8 after a tidal wave of new polling data was added to the average. This week has been comparatively slow, but still, pretty much every new poll is bad for Trump:

RMG Research: -15 net approval

Reuters/Ipsos: -30

Navigator Research: -18

The Economist/YouGov: -22

Even the -5 net approval result from InsiderAdvantage — a great result for Trump in a vacuum — looks less good given InsiderAdvantage’s strong Republican house effect. For context, their previous two polls showed Trump above water. All of this means that Trump’s net approval rating in the Silver Bulletin average works out to -18.4.

His numbers on the cost of living are even worse, at net -41.5. I’ve had to extend the y-axis of our issue approval chart multiple times over the past few months because the inflation number has been dropping so quickly. -EMD, 5/1/26

1778121400028.png
 

TigerRagRob

Heisman
Sep 23, 2001
23,271
14,424
113
You wouldn't know a fact if it crawled up your *** and died and Hunter Eagleman wouldn't either because he doesn't care about facts, he just wants to propagandize you, because he knows you'll spread his slop. Because you're not sane

🕒 The latest on Trump’s approval rating
Updated May 6, 2026

Last week, Donald Trump’s net approval rating fell to a second term low of -18.8 after a tidal wave of new polling data was added to the average. This week has been comparatively slow, but still, pretty much every new poll is bad for Trump:

RMG Research: -15 net approval

Reuters/Ipsos: -30

Navigator Research: -18

The Economist/YouGov: -22

Even the -5 net approval result from InsiderAdvantage — a great result for Trump in a vacuum — looks less good given InsiderAdvantage’s strong Republican house effect. For context, their previous two polls showed Trump above water. All of this means that Trump’s net approval rating in the Silver Bulletin average works out to -18.4.

His numbers on the cost of living are even worse, at net -41.5. I’ve had to extend the y-axis of our issue approval chart multiple times over the past few months because the inflation number has been dropping so quickly. -EMD, 5/1/26

View attachment 1283916
Irony always escapes you...Ill take voting results over flawed sham polls everyday. The fact you keep citing polls that have failed you over and over is insanely funny.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Fac

baltimorened

All-American
May 29, 2001
7,041
5,205
113

is it me or do all these poll numbers vary by the day? Realistically based on historic norms of previous presidents poll numbers (and I would guess they vary based on specific points of his administration) I'm kind of surprised his aren't lower = if we're using 38.7%
 

dpic73

Heisman
Jul 27, 2005
31,959
26,384
113
is it me or do all these poll numbers vary by the day? Realistically based on historic norms of previous presidents poll numbers (and I would guess they vary based on specific points of his administration) I'm kind of surprised his aren't lower = if we're using 38.7%
It's an average of ten recent polls with a couple at 34% approval. I'm seeing some talking heads talking about a new poll that shows 29% approval but I haven't seen it yet.

1778785763894.png
 

Torbee

Heisman
Sep 13, 2002
12,962
58,890
113
is it me or do all these poll numbers vary by the day? Realistically based on historic norms of previous presidents poll numbers (and I would guess they vary based on specific points of his administration) I'm kind of surprised his aren't lower = if we're using 38.7%
The full cult is about 30% of voters. They are the ones where Trump could sexually assault their daughter and they’d find a way to justify it. They will never be moved. So his true floor is probably 30% (hence the 30% Dead Ender Club moniker - they’re on the ride until the boat sinks.

There appear to be between 5-10 percent or hardcore GOP and a few independents somehow clinging to the hope things turn around. But as we’ve seen; that number slightly falls with each subsequent poll.
 

RagnarLothbrok

Heisman
Jun 11, 2025
5,417
14,873
113
Highly rated pollster


The Iran War could prove to be the albatross around Team Trump’s neck. Polls ebb and flow and it always seems in the end Democrats find a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. The longer this war goes on, though, and the worse the economy gets for average people, the less certain it will be for Team Trump candidates to win in November where there is a possibility of losing.

Tbh, the 2024 election should have been a landslide victory for Republicans given the unpopularity of Sleepy Joe Biden and the three major issues going into the election—economy/inflation, border security, and keeping chix with dix out of girls sports. All three of those heavily favored Republicans plus the obvious lie Democrats fed the media about Biden’s mental acuity being just fine did not sit well with a lot of voters either.

What happened was anything but landslide victories. Trump won pretty much all key battleground states but not by an impressive margin. IIRC, Trump didn’t even win 50% of the popular vote. Given all that was working against Democrats, Trump should have won the EC by something comparable to Reagan/Mondale 1984 if he were actually a decent candidate.

Republican victories in the US House and Senate were also pretty unimpressive. They gained four seats in the Senate by winning in Montana, Ohio, West Virginia and Pennsylvania—not exactly traditional Team Blue states. When you factor in 19 seats held by Democrats were up for reelection in 2024 compared to 11 for Republicans, the net gain is even less impressive. Republicans already had control of the House and lost a net of one seat to maintain control.

Again, Team Trump should have won in landslides in 2024 if they were so popular. They weren’t. They were deemed just slightly less terrible than Kamala for reasons that had more to do with misogyny in some of Team Blue’s usual voting demographics (Black, Muslim, and Latino men) than anything else.

I have no idea how 2026 will go, although I highly doubt it’s going to be the massive Team Blue victory many on the left are talking about. If anything, it will probably confirm what we already know—the country is deeply divided with no one firmly entrenched on the right or left changing their minds and nonpartisan voters swinging against the party least popular come November.

BAU
 
  • Like
Reactions: Torbee

tarheelbybirth1

Heisman
Jul 4, 2025
4,687
14,087
113
You legit don’t think Trump cares about his poll numbers?

Must be your first day.
He cares in the abstract but not in any practical sense. He’s not going to change anything to bring his numbers up. As far as he’s concerned, the people who don’t like him are just dumb.

BTW, did you know “dumb” has a “b” on the end? Not many people know that.
 

dpic73

Heisman
Jul 27, 2005
31,959
26,384
113
Whoa! 😲



Trump Overall Job Disapproval at 66%
Trump Disapproval on Handling the Economy at 70%


A total of 30% of Americans say they approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president and 66% say they disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job according to the latest survey from the American Research Group. In May, 31% of Americans approved of the way Trump was handling his job and 64% disapproved.