I don't know what today's arguments are, but here's my following takes:
1. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz might be viable long term, but I don't know that it's the quick fix Trump wants. He needs to put some ground forces in the places Iran is utilizing to choke up the Strait/Kharg. There will be casualties, but the US has massive conventional military advantage. This is the way to send the "not f$$$ing around" message.
2. Terrible week for Vance, who campaigned for Viktor Orban a few days before he was annihilated in the Hungarian election and then went to Pakistan to look like a fool. A serious political party would never, ever nominate this loser in 2028, he has every downside of Trump without the real upside of Trump's fame and insult comic schtick.
3. It's going to be an awful year for "world populism." Orban was absolutely wrecked yesterday, and the Tisza 2/3s majority means many of his illiberal changes are headed straight into the Hungarian trash. The 2026 midterms are trending worse and worse for the newly populist GOP.
4. Some of the criticisms of Orban were unfair. He wasn't a dictator, he conceded defeat like a man (not all do, we've seen the alternative here). But what he became was a Russian asset against the EU/NATO and his steering of Hungarian government funds to his cronies stifled economic growth. Poland has a populist party that has been in and out of power without doing either of these things, and they've governed just fine (Poland is on an incredible trajectory towards becoming a real European power).
5. Big win for Ukraine. The "Russia will inevitably win this war" has looked laughably wrong for awhile, Ukraine has basically stopped Russian advances entirely and is winning the drone battles, and now Ukraine is going to get a $100B loan that will likely be forgiven (don't worry Trumpers, that's not American money but much of it will be spent on weapons built right here). Putin can give Trump a win by freezing the lines now, and if he doesn't, the outcome will end up worse for Putin.