SEC tourney scenarios
- Thread starter senonesy
- Start date
You really think it matters, Eddie?
~Clark griswold
~Clark griswold
I have never been less interested in our post season prospects, SECT and NCAAT than this year. It feels a lot like apathy.
I think this season waiting until Saturday night to see the matchups is best bet. It's not gonna matter regardless.
If everything goes as expected this weekend, we’ll play LSU on Wednesday night at 7
Not a bad draw. We've beat those two already and due against Bama.
Figured it out . All we need for the double bye:
We beat Florida
LSU beat A&M
Arkansas beat Missouri
Vandy beat UT
We got this. No problem!
We beat Florida
LSU beat A&M
Arkansas beat Missouri
Vandy beat UT
We got this. No problem!
When Florida beats us on Saturday & if Georgia wins at Mississippi St, we'll be tied with Grorgia at 10-8, the other likely ties at 10-8 could be Vandy, A&M & Missouri which we lost to all of them, in that 5 way tie we're 1-4 which would put us in 9th place & playing on Wednesday.
I know you are being facetious but the four teams with a double bye are locked in
Edit: maybe not if Vandy beats TN
There's so many scenarios is almost to me isn't worth the effort in figuring it out haha. So many teams bunched on 9, 10 and 11 wins lol.
I think we can finish anywhere between like 3rd and 10th haha
I think we can finish anywhere between like 3rd and 10th haha
This was almost predicted from the onset. Many had us pegged for 10/11 wins and it looks like that's exactly where we are at.
While UF was the exception here, things pretty much came out to how it was predicted.
While UF was the exception here, things pretty much came out to how it was predicted.
Here’s the tool
mred's SEC MBB Tournament Seeding Tiebreaker
Southeastern Conference Men's Basketball Tournament Seeding and Tiebreakers
bball.notnothing.net
This is helpful.
Thanks.
At this point I'm just really hoping we can one bye lol. It might not be the worst thing in the world in terms of building a resume for the tournament. That Thursday game should be another winnable game on the schedule.
Because of all-time wins, I'm hoping we beat Florida and get as few byes as possible.
Same. Any noise we make will be welcome but I won’t be crushed if we lose to Dikhead State. I will remember how confident I felt last summer and will likely do it again next season though. Like an idiot
But very tempered optimism right up against pessimism this time.
Gotta deliver.
Being 10th in the SEC after going 6th last year should be a fireable offense at a school like Kentucky.
This is a pretty good site for figuring out all the possible outcomes:
Just plug it the winner of the remaining games and it will calculate the bracket.
JB
mred's SEC MBB Tournament Seeding Tiebreaker
Southeastern Conference Men's Basketball Tournament Seeding and Tiebreakers
bball.notnothing.net
Just plug it the winner of the remaining games and it will calculate the bracket.
JB
I’m concerned about that. Kansas is helping. They lost again. Still stands at gained 2 wins on us this season.
Then we have a legit shot at not having to play until Friday. Those other two gms are at Noon and 2 so UK will know at tip at 4 or shortly after if they have a shot at the double bye.
Interesting.
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That should sadden an UK fan if that actually comes to fruition.
Yeah given that UF is clear cut ahead of everyone else, probably want to avoid the 1 seed as much as possible.
Eh it's not good but the difference between these teams is litterally 1 game.
Where I have some major quetisons regarding our future with Pope anyways, going 10-8 in the SEC vs 11-7 really shouldn't be the deal breaker lol.
Might want to play on Wednesday. Pile up a few wins on the bottom feeders getting warmed up for the better teams.
Neither 6th or 10th should be acceptable for Kentucky. Cal only went lower than 4th once. And the excuses about the SEC being harder don’t fly when Pope probably has had the most expensive roster in the conference both years.
I may be wrong, but I think anything from 4th to 10th is still possible, some much more unlikely than others.
I think for 4th to happen, of course we have to beat Florida, Vandy has to beat UT, Ark beat Missouri, LSU beat TAMU (so for all that to happen is <5% chance, .3*.6*.5*.3=2.7%).
I think for 4th to happen, of course we have to beat Florida, Vandy has to beat UT, Ark beat Missouri, LSU beat TAMU (so for all that to happen is <5% chance, .3*.6*.5*.3=2.7%).
After last night, I can see us going out in the first round of the SEC T. Or winning a couple games. I don't think there is any way in Hell we get to the semis.
I was dumbfounded at our performance last night and as much as I've tried to give Pope a pass on some of these losses, I kinda feel like this team won't be able to go on a run anywhere.
It's so frustrating.
I was dumbfounded at our performance last night and as much as I've tried to give Pope a pass on some of these losses, I kinda feel like this team won't be able to go on a run anywhere.
It's so frustrating.
For a lot of those Cal years, the SEC wasn't nearly what it is now.
As far as the NIL stuff, we don't know what the other schools spent. We don't even know if what was reported that we spent is entirely accurate.
Having a high payroll in sports certainly helps, but it doesn't garanttee anything. Ask the New York Yankees in the last decade or so lol.
Excuses are different than reasons. There are lots of factors that go into what place a team finishes, especially when that finish is partly due to tiebreakers. Obviously how good the team is, is the BIGGEST factor, and honestly we are what we are (probably a 10-8 SEC team). Others include how good the coach is, injuries, how good / evenly matched the league is, what teams you play twice, what teams you play on road vs at home, and when do you play teams (i.e. when they have a key guy out, after a big win, or after a bad loss, before a rivalry game, etc...).
The last of those is way too much to get into, but it is probably the smallest of the factors I listed.
Even Road vs Home is a lot to get into.
How good the coach is, is quite subjective, so not getting into that one.
What teams you play twice is a factor that goes against UK this year (playing Florida, Vandy & UT twice, all 3 top 25 teams). No other SEC can say that.
Injuries is also obviously a strike against us this year, playing most of our SEC schedule without 3 expected key players.
And the league is quite good and evenly matched, we could see 10 of the 16 teams finish 10-8 or better.
All 3 of those games could go either way.