Yeah, blackdog. Hey Brian. Would you tell us how you came up with that considering WRH out gained JK by one hundred yrds. Game could have easily gone the other way. Game went down to the end before it was decided.
This is from the site.
I calculate the spread for each game by taking the power ratings of the two
teams and adding in two points for the home team. If the margin of victory
exceeds 42 points, take the difference between the forecast spread and 42 and
divide by 2 to get my projected spread, due to the new NC mercy rule(running
clock once spread hits 35 in the second half). For example, 60 points would
become 51; 50 points would become 46, etc. The predictions will become more
accurate as the season progresses.
Looks like the overall power ratings plays a big part. With that said, when it comes to rivalry games like this, you can throw the numbers out the window in most cases.