Returning core scoring

RUBigFrank

All-Conference
Jun 9, 2003
2,861
1,779
113
Can Mulcahey Cliff Caleb (assuming a return) and Hyatt average 10 plus points apiece?

I would say yes- with Hyatt and Cliff leading the way.
 

NewJerseyHawk

Heisman
Jan 11, 2007
24,448
38,738
113
Hammond (12 to 13 PPG) or another guard, Cliff (14PPG) and Hyatt or Caleb can get you a combined 45 PPG.

For RU to be a NCAA team for a 4th consecutive year, you just need the natural progression from Mulcahy getting to 10 to 12PPG. Then fill in the rest to get to something at or above 70PPG.

Hammond or guard TBD (12 PPG)
Cliff (14PPG)
Mulcahy (11PPG)
Caleb (8PPG)
Hyatt or starting SF (11PPG)

You need to find 14 to 20PPG from the combination of Simpson, Miller, Mag, Reiber and TBD 4/5 . I am not sure Woolfork plays as a true frosh if we get a 4,/5 via the portal.

My guess on the bench points would look like this, but is obviously dependent on who actually plays defense and earns minutes.

Mag 7 PPG
Simpson 5 to 6 PPG (unless he is the 3rd guard, meaning no return by Caleb, if so, he jumps up to 9 to 10PPG)
Reiber 4 to 5PPG
TBD 4/5 ....5PPG.

Wild card is Miller and can he make strides this summer to compliment Simpson. I can see why Pike would want 2 guards via the portal, but that is Caleb or RHJ dependent. If both RHJ and Caleb return, you only need 1 guard via the portal, 2 if you plan on playing Mulcahy more at the wing.
 
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RUsojo

Heisman
Dec 17, 2010
29,430
28,577
113
Problem next year will be same as last year which was way too many turnovers and lack of an efficient offense outside of high ball screen pnr with Cliff. This team turned it over an f ton. It’s not a big deal if you can score efficiently though which is why the next bullet point is very important

-Cliff will dominate again, and as such he will make sure Paul is very efficient as a half court scorer.

Hyatt will continue to get into the paint, but hopefully he can finish this season.

I am nervous about seeing natural progression from the rest of the team outside of Cliff. There’s probably a chance to see regression actually.

Paul turns the ball over an awful lot and without cliff those assist numbers would be way way down and now there’s little other outside option - so to no fault of Pauls he probably will not have a supporting cast to help him. We’ve probably seen Pauls best basketball the last 10 games of last season.

We won’t be able to replace Ron’s production but there’s no reason but everything else seems solvable.
 
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Jtg=04131996

All-Conference
Aug 2, 2010
8,165
4,878
81
Listen I’m hoping for the best, but Hyatt was inefficient offensively every way you slice it - FG%, 3P%, FT%. He also turned it over a lot. That was also his 4th year in college. Expecting him to be a good offensive player next year is a recipe for disappointment.
 

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,304
12,626
78
Problem next year will be same as last year which was way too many turnovers and lack of an efficient offense outside of high ball screen pnr with Cliff. This team turned it over an f ton. It’s not a big deal if you can score efficiently though which is why the next bullet point is very important

-Cliff will dominate again, and as such he will make sure Paul is very efficient as a half court scorer.

Hyatt will continue to get into the paint, but hopefully he can finish this season.

I am nervous about seeing natural progression from the rest of the team outside of Cliff. There’s probably a chance to see regression actually.

Paul turns the ball over an awful lot and without cliff those assist numbers would be way way down and now there’s little other outside option - so to no fault of Pauls he probably will not have a supporting cast to help him. We’ve probably seen Pauls best basketball the last 10 games of last season.

We won’t be able to replace Ron’s production but there’s no reason but everything else seems solvable.
Replacing RHJ’s production doesn’t seem to be a focus. Pike is probably expecting Caleb back and thinks that between him and some combination of Hyatt, Mag and Dean to choose from playing alongside Cliff, we’re going to be able to hold our own up front. Paul plays big for a guard too.

it’s the backcourt he’s looking to enhance. He wants at least one shooter who can also defend.
 

RUsojo

Heisman
Dec 17, 2010
29,430
28,577
113
Replacing RHJ’s production doesn’t seem to be a focus. Pike is probably expecting Caleb back and thinks that between him and some combination of Hyatt, Mag and Dean to choose from playing alongside Cliff, we’re going to be able to hold our own up front. Paul plays big for a guard too.

it’s the backcourt he’s looking to enhance. He wants at least one shooter who can also defend.
Whatever position you want to go after to replace Ron’s offense is fine just not sure they’ll be able to. Everyone else they can replace most likely
 
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RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
13,695
0
Returning scoring and minutes:

11.9 pts / 28.7 min - Omoruyi
9.0 pts / 32.3 min - Mulcahy
7.1 pts / 29.1 min - McConnell
4.3 pts / 12.8 min - Hyatt
2.9 pts / 11.7 min - Mag
2.9 pts / 7.5 min - Reiber
1.5 pts / 6.0 min - Palmquist
0.6 pts / 7.7 min - Miller

We're not going to see a big uptick in points for Omoruyi/Mulcahy/McConnell, imo - maybe an extra 2-3 pts/game. They're already playing starter minutes - they'd need to become more efficient, or take a larger share of shots to get more points.

Hyatt has the biggest potential to uptick, imo - if he can get his turnovers under control, his scoring would go up to 10+ per game with starter minutes. Mag/Reiber would also see increased scoring with increased minutes - and no idea what we'll get out of Palmquist/Miller.

Most of the additional scoring we'll see next year will likely come from guys who haven't yet played in Scarlet Knights uniforms.
 
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RUsojo

Heisman
Dec 17, 2010
29,430
28,577
113
Returning scoring and minutes:

11.9 pts / 28.7 min - Omoruyi
9.0 pts / 32.3 min - Mulcahy
7.1 pts / 29.1 min - McConnell
4.3 pts / 12.8 min - Hyatt
2.9 pts / 11.7 min - Mag
2.9 pts / 7.5 min - Reiber
1.5 pts / 6.0 min - Palmquist
0.6 pts / 7.7 min - Miller

We're not going to see a big uptick in points for Omoruyi/Mulcahy/McConnell, imo - maybe an extra 2-3 pts/game. They're already playing starter minutes - they'd need to become more efficient, or take a larger share of shots to get more points.

Hyatt has the biggest potential to uptick, imo - if he can get his turnovers under control, his scoring would go up to 10+ per game with starter minutes. Mag/Reiber would also see increased scoring with increased minutes - and no idea what we'll get out of Palmquist/Miller.

Most of the additional scoring we'll see next year will likely come from guys who haven't yet played in Scarlet Knights uniforms.
Hyatt get his turnovers under control? What are you talking about? He didn’t stand out on this team with turnover problem.
 
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Briccnerff

All-Conference
May 19, 2002
1,085
1,078
58
Listen I’m hoping for the best, but Hyatt was inefficient offensively every way you slice it - FG%, 3P%, FT%. He also turned it over a lot. That was also his 4th year in college. Expecting him to be a good offensive player next year is a recipe for disappointment.
Disagree
 

Briccnerff

All-Conference
May 19, 2002
1,085
1,078
58
Returning scoring and minutes:

11.9 pts / 28.7 min - Omoruyi
9.0 pts / 32.3 min - Mulcahy
7.1 pts / 29.1 min - McConnell
4.3 pts / 12.8 min - Hyatt
2.9 pts / 11.7 min - Mag
2.9 pts / 7.5 min - Reiber
1.5 pts / 6.0 min - Palmquist
0.6 pts / 7.7 min - Miller

We're not going to see a big uptick in points for Omoruyi/Mulcahy/McConnell, imo - maybe an extra 2-3 pts/game. They're already playing starter minutes - they'd need to become more efficient, or take a larger share of shots to get more points.

Hyatt has the biggest potential to uptick, imo - if he can get his turnovers under control, his scoring would go up to 10+ per game with starter minutes. Mag/Reiber would also see increased scoring with increased minutes - and no idea what we'll get out of Palmquist/Miller.

Most of the additional scoring we'll see next year will likely come from guys who haven't yet played in Scarlet Knights uniforms.
Agreed. If we get 10 points a game from transfers plus returning players improvement, we will be fine.
 

chrebet80

Junior
Jan 22, 2022
226
328
0
I think folks are understating what Hyatt can do - he is able to be effective from the arc as well as the paint.

He may just need minutes to get on a rythm
.
Banking that he finally puts it all together is wishful thinking. He was the age of a true senior last year and looked lost offensively.
 

chrebet80

Junior
Jan 22, 2022
226
328
0
Listen I’m hoping for the best, but Hyatt was inefficient offensively every way you slice it - FG%, 3P%, FT%. He also turned it over a lot. That was also his 4th year in college. Expecting him to be a good offensive player next year is a recipe for disappointment.
100%. People just can’t put their bias aside and evaluate him properly. It’s crazy.
 
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RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
13,695
0
100%. People just can’t put their bias aside and evaluate him properly. It’s crazy.

He definitely had a down year this year compared to his last year at LSU, specifically looking at his 2P%, FT%, and turnovers. Hopefully that was just getting acclimated to a new program. He's never been a very good three point shooter, and I don't expect that to suddenly change. With 25 minutes a game, I'd expect him to be scoring around 10 points or so.
 
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RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
13,695
0
My very very rough expectations:

18-22 pts - New players
11-13 pts - Omoruyi
9-11 pts - Mulcahy
9-11 pts - Hyatt
6-8 pts - Mag
4-6 pts - Reiber
2-6 pts - Palmquist/Miller
 

RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
13,695
0
11-13 would be disappointing for cliff. Hoping for 15-17.

A lot will depend on who is around him, and whether he can develop offense away from the rim. He's already very efficient with the basketball and is averaging close to 30 min/g. To increase from 11.9 pts/g to 17 would mean he'd need about an extra 5 or so shots per game in roughly the same minutes.... or his minutes would need to jump up into the mid-30s/g.

Usually when you see big jumps in pts/g, it comes along with a big increase in minutes. Going from 12 to 17 points per game is a 40% increase in production in roughly the same number of minutes.
 
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Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
I'd be surprised is Cliff averaged under 15 a game. Have to figure the development continues and he scores more easily outside of dunks. His usage should go up as well
 

NickRU714

Heisman
Aug 18, 2009
14,069
12,876
113
A lot will depend on who is around him, and whether he can develop offense away from the rim. He's already very efficient with the basketball and is averaging close to 30 min/g. To increase from 11.9 pts/g to 17 would mean he'd need about an extra 5 or so shots per game in roughly the same minutes.... or his minutes would need to jump up into the mid-30s/g.

Usually when you see big jumps in pts/g, it comes along with a big increase in minutes. Going from 12 to 17 points per game is a 40% increase in production in roughly the same number of minutes.

Great points.
It’s not just a matter of scoring an additional 2-3 baskets a game. Have to also consider to additional “misses” in the usage of a player.

I just compare to RHJ.
Hard to see Clif scoring more than RHJ did with how varied RHJ could score.
 

RU_DIO

Heisman
Sep 1, 2002
16,899
17,130
113
I think folks are understating what Hyatt can do - he is able to be effective from the arc as well as the paint.

He may just need minutes to get on a rythm
.
Hyatt's offense was terrible last season but his D got much better as the year went on. I hope he can be good offensively but he hasn't shown it as he is going into his 5th college season.(Reclassed and Redshirted first year).
 
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RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
13,695
0
Hyatt's offense was terrible last season but his D got much better as the year went on. I hope he can be good offensively but he hasn't shown it as he is going into his 5th college season.(Reclassed and Redshirted first year).
It was - but the prior season with LSU it was much better (.532 TS%, .506 eFG%... and 3.1 tov/100 possessions, double what he'd seen at LSU). I'm hoping the dip this year was based on getting acclimated to a new system, and that he'll be more effective next year.
 
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trotter

All-Conference
Jul 30, 2001
3,535
1,796
93
Hyatt can score 10ppg and get a good amount of rebounds. What worries me is his defense and handle. He appears to turn the ball over a lot for the amount of touches he gets. I’m going off what I watch, not his stats. Maybe I’m completely wrong.
 

rob kight

All-American
Oct 22, 2020
4,918
6,249
113
If Caleb returns, I have him at 12-14 points. The Notre Dame game was a glimpse of what he is capable of when out of the shadow of Ron and Geo.
 

RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
13,695
0
Hyatt can score 10ppg and get a good amount of rebounds. What worries me is his defense and handle. He appears to turn the ball over a lot for the amount of touches he gets. I’m going off what I watch, not his stats. Maybe I’m completely wrong.

He averaged just 1.5 turnovers per 100 possessions at LSU, and 3.1 per 100 here. I'm really hoping it was just not being fully comfortable within a new system yet.
 

RU_DIO

Heisman
Sep 1, 2002
16,899
17,130
113
It was - but the prior season with LSU it was much better (.532 TS%, .506 eFG%... and 3.1 tov/100 possessions, double what he'd seen at LSU). I'm hoping the dip this year was based on getting acclimated to a new system, and that he'll be more effective next year.
I'm rooting hard for him just not counting on him to produce anything but below average or average play. Hope he can take a big jump up in play and be a difference maker for us.
 

chrebet80

Junior
Jan 22, 2022
226
328
0
A lot will depend on who is around him, and whether he can develop offense away from the rim. He's already very efficient with the basketball and is averaging close to 30 min/g. To increase from 11.9 pts/g to 17 would mean he'd need about an extra 5 or so shots per game in roughly the same minutes.... or his minutes would need to jump up into the mid-30s/g.

Usually when you see big jumps in pts/g, it comes along with a big increase in minutes. Going from 12 to 17 points per game is a 40% increase in production in roughly the same number of minutes.
Player progression and more shots for him next year with the departure of geo and Ron. An extra 3-5 points isn’t an insane ask.
 

RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
13,695
0
Player progression and more shots for him next year with the departure of geo and Ron. An extra 3-5 points isn’t an insane ask.
The big question is whether he can develop his game when getting the ball 8-10 feet from the basket, rather than in deep position - and whether we have perimeter shooters that can limit double teams. If we don't replace Baker/Harper with threats from the arc, defenses will just collapse on him in the post.
 
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chrebet80

Junior
Jan 22, 2022
226
328
0
The big question is whether he can develop his game when getting the ball 8-10 feet from the basket, rather than in deep position - and whether we have perimeter shooters that can limit double teams. If we don't replace Baker/Harper with threats from the arc, defenses will just collapse on him in the post.
He absolutely needs to develop more of an offensive game to create his own points. Based on his jump from year 1 to year 2 and his background as a player (top recruit with crazy athleticism) I expect to see progress in that area.
 

RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
13,695
0
Update:

18.9 pts / 36.9 min - Spencer (at Loyola-Marymount)
11.9 pts / 28.7 min - Omoruyi
9.0 pts / 32.3 min - Mulcahy
7.1 pts / 29.1 min - McConnell
4.3 pts / 12.8 min - Hyatt
2.9 pts / 11.7 min - Mag
2.9 pts / 7.5 min - Reiber
1.5 pts / 6.0 min - Palmquist
0.6 pts / 7.7 min - Miller
TBD - Simpson
TBD - Woolfolk
TBD - TBD
TBD TBD
 

[email protected]

All-American
Jun 24, 2001
28,586
6,762
113
Hammond (12 to 13 PPG) or another guard, Cliff (14PPG) and Hyatt or Caleb can get you a combined 45 PPG.

For RU to be a NCAA team for a 4th consecutive year, you just need the natural progression from Mulcahy getting to 10 to 12PPG. Then fill in the rest to get to something at or above 70PPG.

Hammond or guard TBD (12 PPG)
Cliff (14PPG)
Mulcahy (11PPG)
Caleb (8PPG)
Hyatt or starting SF (11PPG)

You need to find 14 to 20PPG from the combination of Simpson, Miller, Mag, Reiber and TBD 4/5 . I am not sure Woolfork plays as a true frosh if we get a 4,/5 via the portal.

My guess on the bench points would look like this, but is obviously dependent on who actually plays defense and earns minutes.

Mag 7 PPG
Simpson 5 to 6 PPG (unless he is the 3rd guard, meaning no return by Caleb, if so, he jumps up to 9 to 10PPG)
Reiber 4 to 5PPG
TBD 4/5 ....5PPG.

Wild card is Miller and can he make strides this summer to compliment Simpson. I can see why Pike would want 2 guards via the portal, but that is Caleb or RHJ dependent. If both RHJ and Caleb return, you only need 1 guard via the portal, 2 if you plan on playing Mulcahy more at the wing.
Have we written off Jones completely? Any chance he comes back?

MO
 

Scangg

Heisman
Mar 19, 2016
25,448
49,369
113
This reminds me of a friend's response when I asked if he could come out and play.

I'm not going out...and you're not coming in!

Do we know WHY Jones isn't coming back or is this just a best guess?

MO
Why? Probably bc he had DNP coach's decision game after game after game after game

Every report from every source says he's not coming back. Time to move on