If by season four we are not bowling we need to start looking for another coach.Do you really think Schiano is going to last more than five years? I will be shocked if he does.
If and when it ever comes to that whatever year that is I hope the separation terms are manageable...just posted in the Morris thread about ADs not being smart about that and it's something I always rail about here...you have to plan for the possibility of things going south and not being stuck longer than you have to be.If by season four we are not bowling we need to start looking for another coach.
Why can't he follow Baylor's rise, give or take a year??
We would be just as bad and probably be blown out by even bigger scores if we were in the Big 12 currently.because we play OSU, PSU, UM, and other fine big ten teams.
We don't want too many to transfer out. Remember, we can only bring in a maximum of 25, and we don't want to leave our roster short. Hopefully the "right ones " leave.Lets clear a few things up, the kids on this team DO NOT SUCK. They are good enough to beat teams like Umass and Liberty and would make a killer FCS team.
However, we are not in the Patriot League, we are in the Big Ten and they have no chance against Power 5 teams.
This is not their fault, it is 100% on Ash. There is no way I can fault them for excepting a D1 FBS scholarship to a Power 5 school in the Big Ten. Who will say no to that with the only other offers are all FCS schools?
We do have some actual Big Ten level players but they make up the minority of this team, like a dozen out of 85, which is again on Ash. Ash was just not moving us forward from Flood, his was moonwalking the entire time he was here.
Schiano really has his work cut out for him, hopefully a lot of these FCS level players can transfer out, he can work overtime with the Transfer Portal and get some Big Ten talent to come here as freshmen. Coach up the ones that recommit themselves to get better. Schiano has turn 3 stars into NFL starters before.
It is one hell of a uphill battle, but Schiano has done it before, right here at Rutgers without the Transfer Portal. No reason to think he can't do it again, maybe faster this time due to the transfer portal.
I am not excepting a miracle. it is all about improvements and moving forward and not taking any steps back.
I don’t know if the ethics at Baylor under Matt Rhule have improved, but under no circumstances do I want us to use Baylor Athletics as a role model. Their motto has been “Win at all costs, the law don’t mean nothin’” The only worse place I know of is State Penn.Why can't he follow Baylor's rise, give or take a year??
Greg's high water mark, imo, is 7 wins...possibly an occasional 8 and an occasional WTF season. If Rutgers wants more, the 'hunt'...I kid, I kid...will be a multiple-coach effort.
You start out okay but then get unrealistic as you show no consideration for dips in the progress. Even Big Ten elite teams have periodic off-seasons, and with mid-pack Big Ten teams, those off-seasons occur even more frequently.Year 1 - 3 Wins
Year 2 - 4 Wins
Year 3 - 5 Wins
Year 4 - 5 Wins
Year 5 - 7 Wins
Year 6 - 8 Wins
Year 7 - 8 Wins
Year 8 - 8 Wins
Year 9 - 10 Wins, Conference Championship
Year 10 - Conference Championship, National Championship
That seems more realistic. Anything can happen in any given season to help or hurt our record (key injuries for us or opponents, for example). But as expectations go, I think that's pretty reasonable and accounts for the lack of depth we have to overcome.Year 1: 2 wins. Monmouth and Syracuse. Recruiting class has two or three 4 stars.
Year 2: 3 wins.
Year 3: 3 wins but competitive.
Year 4: 2 wins. There is always a dip in win totals from the 1st year.
Year 5: 5 wins. A break out year. We almost beat Penn State.
Year 6: 6 wins and the first bowl birth.
Year 7: 6 wins and another bowl. We don't look back, we always get 5 to 8 wins going forward.
Yes my expectations are on the low side being in this tough league and seeing the blow outs and loss record we have had over the years.
You start out okay but then get unrealistic as you show no consideration for dips in the progress. Even Big Ten elite teams have periodic off-seasons, and with mid-pack Big Ten teams, those off-seasons occur even more frequently.
Then why not aspire to having 15 wins?the projection is aspirational. You’re not going to aspire to having dips in your journey, even though it is likely.
Two wins by his fourth year. The roster would be almost all of his recruits. If we are not bowling by year 4 then it was huge expensive mistake to bring him back.Year 1: 2 wins. Monmouth and Syracuse. Recruiting class has two or three 4 stars.
Year 2: 3 wins.
Year 3: 3 wins but competitive.
Year 4: 2 wins. There is always a dip in win totals from the 1st year.
Year 5: 5 wins. A break out year. We almost beat Penn State.
Year 6: 6 wins and the first bowl birth.
Year 7: 6 wins and another bowl. We don't look back, we always get 5 to 8 wins going forward.
Yes my expectations are on the low side being in this tough league and seeing the blow outs and loss record we have had over the years.
No they don't. That is just a management myth.
Rich Brooks was given a longer leash when he was at Oregon. He won 90 games in something like 18 seasons.:flush:
Would any other coach have been given THIS long of a leash? NOPE.
So Go Bowling by Year 3, 4 at the most or theres some issues here.
I think we might surprise a few people next season, at least based on our record. I am confident that Guarantano will be our QB next season, with a real HC and staff running the show. Then there's our schedule, with Monmouth, Syracuse, and Temple OOC, with our crossover games being Illinois, Purdue and Nebraska.maybe 4 wins which would create a ton of optimism going into year 2.+1
We are going to suck for at least 3 seasons, even if UM became our coach. The talent is awful and the entire roster needs to be rebuilt. That takes a long time.
I think we might surprise a few people next season, at least based on our record. I am confident that Guarantano will be our QB next season, with a real HC and staff running the show. Then there's our schedule, with Monmouth, Syracuse, and Temple OOC, with our crossover games being Illinois, Purdue and Nebraska.maybe 4 wins which would create a ton of optimism going into year 2.
Nobody cares about Rich Brooks.Rich Brooks was given a longer leash when he was at Oregon. He won 90 games in something like 18 seasons.
Ash got run out of town for a better start than this.Year 1: 2 wins. Monmouth and Syracuse. Recruiting class has two or three 4 stars.
Year 2: 3 wins.
Year 3: 3 wins but competitive.
Year 4: 2 wins. There is always a dip in win totals from the 1st year.
Year 5: 5 wins. A break out year. We almost beat Penn State.
Year 6: 6 wins and the first bowl birth.
Year 7: 6 wins and another bowl. We don't look back, we always get 5 to 8 wins going forward.
Yes my expectations are on the low side being in this tough league and seeing the blow outs and loss record we have had over the years.
. I am confident that Guarantano will be our QB next season
I think we might surprise a few people next season, at least based on our record. I am confident that Guarantano will be our QB next season, with a real HC and staff running the show. Then there's our schedule, with Monmouth, Syracuse, and Temple OOC, with our crossover games being Illinois, Purdue and Nebraska.maybe 4 wins which would create a ton of optimism going into year 2.
We would be just as bad and probably be blown out by even bigger scores if we were in the Big 12 currently.
If Rutgers can beat Monmouth, Syracuse and Temple next year, and add a win against Illinois, Purdue or Nebraska, Schiano will have success. Even with the current talent level, each of those games is winnable.
An optimistic prediction : a 3 to 6 win season.
It is a process. There is no time limit.Ash got run out of town for a better start than this.
between the more aggressive scheme on defense, kids actually knowing their assignments, better tackling, better coaching, better technique, and better fundamentals, combined with kids who are redshirting who should be able to contribute, we should see a huge bump in performance. Get some help on both lines, and we’ll be in good shape.
Hoping Art remains. Kid has turned the corner.
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