OT: Potential Winter Storm on 3/7-8

CodyRU

Heisman
Nov 28, 2007
112,801
13,175
100
Swedesboro- finally starting to accumulate. very large flakes
 

RUScrew85

Heisman
Nov 7, 2003
30,054
16,939
0

Yeah I'm smelling 2 inches of slush in CNJ as a final result.

Back and forth between rain and snow here.


Is Meteorology the other Astrology of the sciences?

Meteoroastrology?
 
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Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
90,995
89,142
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Yep the 10:51 am map change (was 4:14 am) essentially moved the precip/snow from NW to SE taking a bit away from NW areas and adding it to SE areas, since short range models are showing this. Could be wrong, could also be more at the coast. Two very good forecasters on 33andrain are calling for 12" in west-central Monmouth (Freehold to Holmdel).
Holmdel? That's a much higher elevation than the coast!!!
 

T2Kplus10

Heisman
Feb 24, 2010
28,180
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@bac2therac
For our area. WeatherWorks holding at 5-10 inches:
Midday Update...Varying intensity of snow and rain this morning is rapidly giving way to a band of heavy snow that is in the process of moving into CNJ (it will reach everyone 1130a-1245p). This is the beginning ofwhat should be persistent periods of very heavy snow through the afternoon and a good amount of the time will feature 1-2" per hour rates. This intensity enables pavements to cover and accumulate during the aft'n. The heavy banding of snow should end by 6-8p and snow completely stops not long after. Once any lingering snow ends this evening, we begin to clear out and remain breezy overnight. Due to the heavy, wet snow expected combined with gusty winds (up to 25 - 35 mph), downed limbs, a few trees and power lines can result. In addition, watch for some freezing of slush/wet surfaces as temps cool to or below freezing.
 
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bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,349
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@bac2therac
For our area. WeatherWorks holding at 5-10 inches:
Midday Update...Varying intensity of snow and rain this morning is rapidly giving way to a band of heavy snow that is in the process of moving into CNJ (it will reach everyone 1130a-1245p). This is the beginning ofwhat should be persistent periods of very heavy snow through the afternoon and a good amount of the time will feature 1-2" per hour rates. This intensity enables pavements to cover and accumulate during the aft'n. The heavy banding of snow should end by 6-8p and snow completely stops not long after. Once any lingering snow ends this evening, we begin to clear out and remain breezy overnight. Due to the heavy, wet snow expected combined with gusty winds (up to 25 - 35 mph), downed limbs, a few trees and power lines can result. In addition, watch for some freezing of slush/wet surfaces as temps cool to or below freezing.


its a reasonable call
 
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DJ Spanky

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
50,714
62,708
113
So it's 28° here and we've got about 4 inches down on the ground so far. It's been snowing steadily and it's starting to get heavier.
I've stated this before here--we lived at our last address for 7 years, and we were friendly with one neighbor to our right. I used to clear the sidewalk in front of my neighbor's house on the left when it snowed. We never got a thank you or anything (not that I was looking for anything, but a thank you or an invite to swing would have been nice).
Sounds a heck of a lot like Wayne.
in the old days in the 70s and 80s...everyone would go to school and they would give us a half day if it started snowing later in the morning....do not recall ever them anticipating snow to cancel..there were times were we were going to school with an inch or two down,.
Yep, that's my recollection too - rarely did they call off a day if there was light snow in the morning.
Did companies let people off today?
Kind of meaningless now as companies expect you to VPN in to your office and work.
 

RUChoppin

Heisman
Dec 1, 2006
19,270
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The rate has picked up here in Hillsborough (Neshanic) - untreated driveway quickly being coated, but the treated streets are still holding in there for now.
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,349
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Just something to throw out there....The HRRR model at 10-1 already had 3.3 at Trenton and 2.7 in New Brunswick at noon so you could see what we have lost to melting and or taint and how the models may have overdone things and even on Kuchera

Make no mistake its coming and we are on the doorstep but some of the large amounts thrown about can already shave off 2-3 inches just on what was lost alone
 

Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
90,995
89,142
113
Just something to throw out there....The HRRR model at 10-1 already had 3.3 at Trenton and 2.7 in New Brunswick at noon so you could see what we have lost to melting and or taint and how the models may have overdone things and even on Kuchera

Make no mistake its coming and we are on the doorstep but some of the large amounts thrown about can already shave off 2-3 inches just on what was lost alone
The "official" measurements are when the storm is over, right? I think we covered this in another thread. It's not the sum of snowfall per hour. You have to take into account melting?
 

OTBOTOR

All-Conference
Aug 28, 2014
2,339
2,158
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Temp is falling in JC. Was up to 39 degrees an hour ago. Now 34. Rain/snow ratio from 90/10 to about 30/70 now.
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,349
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The "official" measurements are when the storm is over, right? I think we covered this in another thread. It's not the sum of snowfall per hour. You have to take into account melting?


you will have to ask Numbers on that for sure
 

RU848789

Heisman
Jul 27, 2001
65,438
44,455
113
Holy crap, the wall of snow has finally arrived! Strap in folks, going to be a crazy 8 hours. Hope nobody is stuck on the road in this as it's going to get really bad really fast. Already accumulating on everything quickly here. At 11:45 I said to the wife, I'm going to take a shower and if it's not snowing heavily in 15 minutes, I'll eat your hat (she has one of those huge Kentucky Derby hats). Stepped out of the shower at noon and the flakes just started pouring. Perfect timing.

Edit: just came back in from a walk - extremely heavy snow, with 1" on the ground on all surfaces (as I keep harping on, with great enough rates, surface temps and surface albedo and daylight simply don't matter - now things will accumulate easily on top of 32F snow) in 25 minutes, which is a little over 2" per hour (did that math in my head, lol).
 
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CodyRU

Heisman
Nov 28, 2007
112,801
13,175
100
Totally off topic, but Stevie may be one of the funniest characters on tv. Some of his one liners had me crying they were so hilarious. (George Washington line during Power's Giving Back Charity is one of my favorite)

You guys lost me...
 

MikeR0102

All-American
Oct 3, 2003
16,468
5,743
113
Coming down hard in Franklin Township (Somerset County), but doesn't look like its really sticking yet.
 

AreYouNUTS

Heisman
Aug 1, 2001
125,325
59,908
113
Just walked home from my office. Not too cold, not windy at all, snow not sticking to pavement..staring to accumulate on grass), but that is some of the wettest damn snow I’ve ever dealt with in my life. My jacket was soaked a couple blocks in!
 
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D0ughB0y

Redshirt
Nov 6, 2006
16
3
0
Pretty intense hail going on in northern ocean county at the beach. In the last 30 minutes it went from raining and windy with some gusting to the hail. Not really big, maybe twice the size of kosher salt, but enough of it that my grass is turning white in places. Hard surfaces are just wet.
 

newell138

Heisman
Aug 1, 2001
38,273
50,451
112
Its raining like a MO FO here in Ocean City. Just took a ride and the bay is coming into the street
 

MadRU

Heisman
Jul 26, 2001
38,832
19,792
98
Snowing hard in Linden now, big flakes starting to stick on cars grass and parking lot
 

jerzey devil

Heisman
Aug 16, 2004
7,414
10,391
113
in New Providence the intensity has just ratcheted up big time... Just now starting to stick on the roads
 

RUJMM78

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
26,291
12,573
113
Change from rain to snow now happening in East Brunswick.Big flakes covering lawns ,driveways and roads.
 

koleszar

Heisman
Jan 1, 2010
37,961
59,980
113
Here in Howell we now have ice or hail or whatever the hell you want to call it. I'm with @scarlet89 I have no idea what you classify this as. But it's accumulating on my deck.
 
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