I agree. Pointing out their nine wins come against average to crappy teams is not dismissive of the fact that they find a way to win versus finding a way to lose.
Nebraska -4 vs Iowa*
- Thread starter Kings of Leon Lett
- Start date
Sagarin has Nebraska as the 24th best team in his predictor. Home field is worth more at Nebraska than the average. Zero turnovers and keeping penalty yards down to 30 or so and the Huskers can easily win. Iowa is no better than Minny.
Based on ESPN's Football Power Index ratings, here's how Iowa would have fared this year against Nebraska's schedule (the Hawks' FPI is 9.1, good for 25th in the country, while Nebraska is at 8.9 and tied for 27th), with a four-point home field advantage factored in. The Purdue and Wisconsin results are actual results because they were played in the same venue by both Nebraska and Iowa:
Here's how Nebraska would have fared against Iowa's schedule:
Imagine how the narrative around each program changes if the schedules had been flipped.
- at Illinois (change of venue tightens the score from actual result) Win by 6
- vs. Fordham Win
- vs. Buffalo Win by 21
- @ Oklahoma Lose by 12
- @ Michigan State Lose by 5
- vs. Northwestern (change of venue) Win by 19
- vs. Michigan Lose by 6
- @ Minnesota (change of venue) Lose by 1
- vs. Purdue (actual result) Lose by 17
- vs. Ohio State Lose by 12
- @Wisconsin (actual result) Lose by 20
Here's how Nebraska would have fared against Iowa's schedule:
- vs. Indiana Win by 17
- @ Iowa State Lose by 9
- vs. Kent State Win by 21
- vs. Colorado State Win by 19
- @ Maryland Win by 9
- vs. Penn State Toss-up but assume Nebraska chokes and Loses in OT
- vs. Purdue (actual result) Lose by 5
- @ Wisconsin (actual result) Lose by 7
- @ Northwestern (change of venue) Win by 11
- Minnesota (change of venue) Win by 5
- vs. Illinois (change of venue) Win by 14
Imagine how the narrative around each program changes if the schedules had been flipped.
Interesting, thanks for posting. Nevertheless, I know without a doubt this Nebraska team would not be 7-4 if we played Doane's schedule.
Way too much emphasis on change of venue, IMO. It’s an interesting look though. Timing of when teams play are also big time factors.
KSU "should" win that game easily. Both Texas QBs are hurt, the o-line blows, the defense has checked out for about 4 weeks in a row now, and KSU plays a style of football (physical) that Texas can't beat right now. Load up on KSU.
Still, even at 5-6 against Iowa's schedule, that's better than 3-8 against ours, and the narrative is slightly changed.
Our schedule hasn't been as bad as yours but calling it weak isn't backed up by fact it's ranked right around the top 25.
The teams iowa have beat have a combined 43-56 record. That’s a crap schedule. iowa has been living off the pre season AP ranking of Indiana and ISU. Pound sand.
He came back in after that play. I'm sure he's banged up, but it must have just been a stinger.
Iowa has played on a shorter field than our opponent all season. There are a lot of hidden yards that don't show up on the stat sheet. The strategy has been to play field position and let the special teams and defense win the game.
Iowa emphasizes special teams. KF talked about how Illinois had only had a few kickoffs returned against them all season. It's been all touchbacks. He said they brought the first one back to get a look at how they would cover. They covered as expected and Lamar the special teams coach thought they could exploit it and maybe get one. That return TD was a huge play. When the NCAA expanded the number of coaches allowed, we made LeVar Woods the full-time special teams coach. That unit went from good too great and it has made a big difference. If you guys changed nothing else, but just had Iowa's special teams this season, you'd be a ranked team.
Iowa put 9 of those losses on there. Really screws the numbers.
No polls should count before mid-November.
The combined record of the teams Nebraska beat?
Hypothetical, of course, but what's Iowa's record against Nebraska's schedule? I'm guessing better than 3-8, but not by much.
Is that guy trolling with that handle?? Don’t we already have our allotment of swihawks??
Wow, do they hand out a trophy for delusional hypotheticals? Haha ^ this is what has come of "blue blood" lil debby.
Iowa wins close games. Debby loses them, and the trend will probably continue Friday. Dont worry though guys, you will always have your self awarded "best 3-9 team" title to hang your hat on!
Wow, do they hand out a trophy for delusional hypotheticals? Haha ^ this is what has come of "blue blood" lil debby.
And Iowa has won……
That right. Nothing ever. I guess that’s why you are here being a giant douche bag.
We havent, but you guys are over here touting a 3-8 team that is 0-6 against Iowa in last six tries. Wow, what a blue blood program
. Even in Iowa's history, I cant remember any one ever touting a losing record like you guys do.
We havent, but you guys are over here touting a 3-8 team that is 0-6 against Iowa in last six tries. Wow, what a blue blood program
Touting? You think people here are happy? Try actually reading a post or two.
But thanks for stopping by and being a giant douche bag. A Hawkeye tradition like no other.
What's even funnier is you over here getting all worked up over it.We havent, but you guys are over here touting a 3-8 team that is 0-6 against Iowa in last six tries. Wow, what a blue blood program
Who’s the guy screaming Moneyline against Wiscy when I argued taking the points was the smart play? I’m sure he will chime in to give us more wisdom on betting the ML on a team with our record.
Yet, here you are.We havent, but you guys are over here touting a 3-8 team that is 0-6 against Iowa in last six tries. Wow, what a blue blood program
These iowa tools are pissed that unbiased commentators and pundits are calling Nebraska the best 3-8 team they've seen and then attributing those comments to nebraska fans, what a bunch of intellectually dishonest dbags.....
Iowa's weekly press conference on Tuesday. May find something out but doubt KF says anything.
Iowa fan here. I had this as an L for the Hawks before the season started so I guess I will stick with it. Probably is a 50/50 type game as I could see about every scenario happening. Both teams are a little beat up but Nebraska is probably due against Iowa to finally win one of these.
And now this board has become a place for Iowa and Wisconsin trolls to come and talk sh## at each other..... Geez. I thought it was a psychological mystery on why they came on here to troll us. What a bunch of nutjobs.
Good post, 100% true. If Nebraska doesn’t go get a very good special teams coach this off season, it will be very disappointing.
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Can’t believe SF hasn’t had one from the very get go.. At worst he should have took full responsibility on special teams by coaching them..
@9and4 can you confirm, rumor has it there’s a thread on the Iowa homeboard openly mocking the players that have the civil suit against the racist iowa coaches. Pictures and memes openly mocking dreadlocks. No wonder some iowa fans come over here, I’d find somewhere else to be as well if that was on my homeboard.
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