Not surprising that you'd be a fan of ole Weighted Ball Wes
As people move out from population centers, the republican/conservative majority will weaken. Currently, you have "hotspots" of democratic majority around the areas with the highest population density. As that density declines, it'd probably be safe to bet that the republican/conservative majority in the areas around those centers will become diluted. Current democratic led jurisdictions will retain their leadership and ideologies while historically conservative towns/cities will begin to experience a shift in voting tendency.
A potential way to combat this on the state level would be for an ingest of conservativism into the vacuum left by democratic voters around the population centers, which would even out the swing of the pendulum.
I don't think it is quite decades down the road, but I'd agree on it being a few years out.
GA black population is actually growing significantly faster than MS. GA went from 30.5% black in 2010 to 32.6% in 2019. MS only increased from 37.0% to 37.8%. Interestingly, MS was majority black from 1840 to 1940.
| Racial composition | 1990[SUP][78][/SUP] | 2000[SUP][79][/SUP] | 2010[SUP][80][/SUP] |
|---|---|---|---|
| White | 63.5% | 61.4% | 59.1% |
| Black | 35.6% | 36.3% | 37.0% |
| Asian | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% |
| Native | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Other race | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| Two or more races | – | 0.7% | 1.2% |
Democrats have had "significant influence" on statewide elections in Ms. in the past and would be today if they had not adopted their current far left agenda. I'm not trying to be argumentative, just my humble opinion.
But you'll probably see a lot of those people decamping become more conservative also, just like you see a lot of people become more in favor of big government after living in cities for a while. That won't offset the effects, but it will attenuate them.
Mississippi will be the first majority African American state, but that is still decades down the road. Considering that 5-10 percent of white Mississippians (possibly more) will vote democrat, how long before democrats have significant influence on statewide elections?
This happens anyway. The longer people live, gain life experience, have families, and accumulate assets, the more likely they are to become more conservative in their ideologies. It's been that way since the days of Eisenhower.
Cool story. Too bad it is not true.
https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/706889
Until the Gen X, millennials and Gen Z, your politics were those of your parents. Those 3 generations are far more liberal, and are moving left as they age.
There were more African Americans in Mississippi than Whites from at least 1830-1930. Per census data.
I suggest getting used to the idea that going forward there are just going to be varying degrees of left. Things are never going back right, you just have to hope that some moderate liberals with sense get elected. Getting bitter doesn't change the truth. I honestly think it's meant to be anyway.....Trump was the last stand and then the universe sent COVID to take him out......don't bet against nature. Just rejoice in the fact that you're probably smarter than 80% of the population simply because you have common sense.As people move out from population centers, the republican/conservative majority will weaken. Currently, you have "hotspots" of democratic majority around the areas with the highest population density. As that density declines, it'd probably be safe to bet that the republican/conservative majority in the areas around those centers will become diluted. Current democratic led jurisdictions will retain their leadership and ideologies while historically conservative towns/cities will begin to experience a shift in voting tendency.
A potential way to combat this on the state level would be for an ingest of conservativism into the vacuum left by democratic voters around the population centers, which would even out the swing of the pendulum.
I don't think it is quite decades down the road, but I'd agree on it being a few years out.
Cool story. Too bad it is not true.
https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/706889
Until the Gen X, millennials and Gen Z, your politics were those of your parents. Those 3 generations are far more liberal, and are moving left as they age.
Wonder why it stopped....Except the only time they actually voted in significant number was between 1868 and 1879.
I have no clue of what the data said, but I have no problem believing they voted at more than 90% turnout. They voted like their way of life and possibly their life depended on it, which it presumably did.Why it stopped is a good question. But was it really 90%? Even in Presidential elections now, the turnout is typically only about 60% among all races. Presumably black turnout is about the same as the general populace.
What do you think the reason for that is? Cheaper land? That explains the movement to Water Valley and Taylor from Oxford. I assume there is a Statkville equivalent too.
As far as jobs go, Starkville and Oxford have some unique advantages and disadvantages. Tourism industry is very good in both. Oxford has Winchester, some tech companies, a couple smaller but significant providers, the hospital, and the university. Everything else is retail and service industry. I assume Starkville is the same story. However, two or three more big job producers could really change the landscape.
Tupelo has a couple banks with 1B AUM, a **** ton of building material companies and contractors (Starkville and Oxford have these too), Cooper Tires, and what else am I missing? Tupelo's growth seems more organic but Oxford, Starkville, and the Memphis/Mississippi towns have more potential for big time growth in the short term, Starkville and Oxford for the tourism/university factors alone. If Covid didnt pop the CFB bubble then I dont know what will. Universities also bring basketball, baseball, graduation, conferences, orientation, etc. to town. Solid base for service industry in both. If the school systems are good I can see both towns attracting young families — IF the jobs are there. That's it really, if we can get the jobs both towns could grow exponentially.
There is the 'how much growth is too much?' question but I dont really know what to do with it. Mississippi needs cities and towns that are growing. We need attractive locations to stop the brain drain. I will give up my small town if it takes it growing into a city of 100k to help Mississippi. I assume most in Starkville would make that trade. Hattiesburg too.
Why it stopped is a good question. But was it really 90%? Even in Presidential elections now, the turnout is typically only about 60% among all races. Presumably black turnout is about the same as the general populace.
Oxford and Starkville are both basically driven by the retiree and student population and university employees. Oxford is a little more advanced at this point both because it does have some other industry and it seems to have grown more of a professional class living off the growth driven by the university employee and student/retiree population. I think Oxford also benefits by being a little stronger in the Delta communities, so they are capturing more people leaving the Delta than Starkville is, although that's probably a pretty minor effect.
The biggest differences to me between Oxford and Starkville are region. Oxford's appeal is the town....always has been. We as state fans give them **** sometimes, but Oxford is a nice town. Starkville is charming in its own way, but Starkville is really one spoke of GTR, with Columbus and West Point. The GTR area has a lot more potential for industrial growth and development.
Seriously, how clueless are you?Why it stopped is a good question. But was it really 90%? Even in Presidential elections now, the turnout is typically only about 60% among all races. Presumably black turnout is about the same as the general populace.
It's about a third as nice as they think it is, but that's still pretty nice. But I don't think Starkville is hurt by being a spoke of GTR. Oxford benefits from having a clear town center that is adjacent to the University. You don't have to see the ****** parts of Oxford, and most of the ****** parts are gentrifying anyway. If Starkville had a town center, it'd be just as nice. The problem for Starkville is it's downtown is basically a straight line, and then the cotton district competes with downtown, and even hwy 12 does to a lesser extent. If Starkville had a clear center of gravity, you'd have seen people putting ridiculous money into redoing houses and doing small multifamily near it rather than building out nice neighborhoods on South Montgomery. You're starting to see that now, we're just a decade or two behind where we should be.
GTR is better suited to stand on its own, therefore will eventually out-do Oxford with organic growth. Oxford, on the other hand, will benefit from the Memphis Metro.I agree with everything you said, and my comments were not meant to suggest that being part of GTR hurts Starkville. On the contrary, I think the region is better suited for growth and development than the area around Oxford.
Why it stopped is a good question.
Is that a good question? Or should it be incredibly well known by all adults who grew up in this country?
Mississippi adopted a new constitution in 1890 and voter registration required poll taxes plus a literacy test, which was both subjectively applied and graded.
Voter suppression was happening before 1890 and obviously continued after 1890 since it was literally in the constitution. It continued for the next 70 years.
...and it continues even today(to a lesser degree) with all the thinly veiled justifications from conservative state legislatures who are defending their actions as 'preserving legitimate voting'.
This was a decent post until your last sentence. Then you **** the bed. aGAIN.
Requiring proof that you are a person and a citizen is hardly voter discouragement. So stop saying the truth hurts, when it's really that your opinion just sucks.Yeah, I figured that wouldnt be loved by some on here. Truth hurts, cant escape reality, yada yada.
- 2020 has record turnout.
- 2020 vote is regarded as incredibly secure and legitimate by actual vote watch groups and government agencies.
- One side claims fraud and offers up no proof.
- That same side continues to argue easily debunked conspiracies.
- That same side proposes bills in state legislatures across the country which reduce access to voting and make it less convenient to vote.
It is not difficult to see the cause and effect here. Record turnout and our guy lost = tweak voting laws where we can to reduce convenience and access for the side the won.
That certainly isnt voter encouragement, so then its...
Requiring proof that you are a person and a citizen is hardly voter discouragement. So stop saying the truth hurts, when it's really that your opinion just sucks.