Michigan State has only beaten 2 NCAA tournament teams all season, with wins against UNC (neutral court) & Purdue (home). There 4 losses come against Duke (neutral court), Ohio State (away), & Michigan (home & neutral) twice. I’m not sure why the talking heads are so enamored with them.
I couldn’t agree more. Could they beat us? Absolutely, but there isn’t really any reason to suggest they would or should. I’ve been trying to figure out why they seem like such a popular pick and other than the ‘Izzo always gets hot in March’ argument I think we match up pretty favorably against them.
People have argued that they “aren’t the team we played in November” but we beat them WITHOUT BAGLEY. That plus our much improved defense and we are very much not the same team they played in November.
We also beat them in a game where Bridges, Jackson and Ward all scored 19 points! Obviously we probably won’t see a 37 point outburst from Grayson again but I don’t really think we would need one with Bagley back and I think the chances of them scoring 81 against us again are slim. Also who do they have at the 5 that can match up with us?
I have also heard a lot about how they match up well with our zone because they have good shooting and a good stretch 4. I think we have proven that good shooting isn’t really the most important ingredient for beating our zone: it’s having great passing and playmaking, especially in the middle of he zone. Michigan State is not a really great passing team and I don’t see them having the Theo Pinson type player to tear us apart in there. Let’s also not forget that UNC, with those players and a chance to see us a week earlier still only scored 74 against us.