Haven't waded through what I'm sure is the abundant stupidity in this thread, but if you're going to evaluate a player's NBA future in a way that isn't just being a selfish jackass, what you need to look at is one thing, and one thing only:
Is the player going to get a 2nd contract?
Rookie money is nice by any normal human standards, but it's that 2nd contract that sets a player up for life.
Cal has coached 16 guys at UK drafted in the lottery range. 7 have hit the jackpot already, 9 are still under rookie contract, and of those, Randle, Murray, KAT, Booker, and Lyles are locks to get good to huge 2nd contracts. Noel turned down a 100 million dollar offer (bad, bad choice), but someone is going to take him. That leaves WCS, Fox, and Monk. WCS is going to be in the league a while, and it's too early to tell on Fox and Monk.
Players outside the lottery range are hit and miss, mostly miss (which is true of all players drafted outside the lottery).