What it Takes to Win the BIG- Statistically

[davecisar]

Over the last 10 seasons the winner of the Big Ten has had a passing yards to running yards ratio of 1.1 on average. There really hasnt been much of a huge outlier- there was a 1.54 and 1.49- so fairly consistent.

Scott Frost at UCF and as OC at Oregon has been at:
1.65, 1.48, .92, 1.33 and 1.06 for an average of 1.28- well within what has worked in the BIG

While Frost says the BIG will have to adjust to him- I dont think he's very far off from what we all know works in the BIG on grass in real life. He may be able to move the needle a bit, but I dont see it going beyond 1.5. Looks doable- without trying to out Wisconisn, Wisconsin or Michigan etc

Mike Riley on the other hand was at 2.38 for his college career at OSU- which was never ever going to work, no matter how many times he lied to us about wanting to run the ball.

So this isn't RUN THE BALL guy saying we need a FB and run the ball 75% of the time. But the BIG says to win you need to be able to consistently run the ball and not be a pass first type team. HCSF's history shows he wont have to change his approach much to win here.

 

[Cornicator]

The real key to winning the Big Ten exists on the defensive side of the football. Nebraska will never be Nebraska again until the stop being a dumpster fire on that side of the football.

Under Scott Frost, I believe Nebraska will once again be potent enough offensively to roll out of bed and win at least 9 games per season.

 

[Suhrreal]

The real key to winning the Big Ten exists on the defensive side of the football. Nebraska will never be Nebraska again until the stop being a dumpster fire on that side of the football.

Under Scott Frost, I believe Nebraska will once again be potent enough offensively to roll out of bed and win at least 9 games per season.

Stop the run, score points. Would be very happy to see us do that this fall.

 

[FeelingFrosty]

What explains a lot of the difference is Frost' s team was getting 10 yards a carry and Riley was only getting 3 or 4 yards a carry. I think someone posted a video awhile ago explaining Oregon's inside and outside zone offense and how it forces teams to overpursue which leads to opening big holes and big run plays will result. I think that's the key difference between them. For Frost a run play wasn't successful unless it went 20+ yards while in Riley's offense a 7 yard run play was considered successful.

 

[RedMyMind]

Anyone up for a 2017 game marathon and subsequent laughter? I know I am. Bust out the drinks

 

[TruHusker]

What explains a lot of the difference is Frost' s team was getting 10 yards a carry and Riley was only getting 3 or 4 yards a carry. I think someone posted a video awhile ago explaining Oregon's inside and outside zone offense and how it forces teams to overpursue which leads to opening big holes and big run plays will result. I think that's the key difference between them. For Frost a run play wasn't successful unless it went 20+ yards while in Riley's offense a 7 yard run play was considered successful.

The video I watched was about Oregon's spread O and it was interesting. I think the "10 yard" average is a bit overstated. The Oregon O was noted for having more plays for losses and then a bigger average for successful plays. So, the idea was it was a lot of feast or famine but they kept sticking with it. The "run the dam ball" people should be happy when it works but not so happy when it doesn't.

 

[SkerInCo]

Over the last 10 seasons the winner of the Big Ten has had a passing yards to running yards ratio of 1.1 on average. There really hasnt been much of a huge outlier- there was a 1.54 and 1.49- so fairly consistent.

Scott Frost at UCF and as OC at Oregon has been at:
1.65, 1.48, .92, 1.33 and 1.06 for an average of 1.28- well within what has worked in the BIG

While Frost says the BIG will have to adjust to him- I dont think he's very far off from what we all know works in the BIG on grass in real life. He may be able to move the needle a bit, but I dont see it going beyond 1.5. Looks doable- without trying to out Wisconisn, Wisconsin or Michigan etc

Mike Riley on the other hand was at 2.38 for his college career at OSU- which was never ever going to work, no matter how many times he lied to us about wanting to run the ball.

So this isn't RUN THE BALL guy saying we need a FB and run the ball 75% of the time. But the BIG says to win you need to be able to consistently run the ball and not be a pass first type team. HCSF's history shows he wont have to change his approach much to win here.

Win the BIG what?

 

[inWV]

The real key to winning the Big Ten exists on the defensive side of the football. Nebraska will never be Nebraska again until the stop being a dumpster fire on that side of the football.

NU has to be able to get the opposing offense off of the field. Whatever the approach was last year, the result was to minimize whatever talent existed on our defensive roster. Give the kids a chance to make a damned play.

 

[Larry Hagman's Liver]

Anyone up for a 2017 game marathon and subsequent laughter? I know I am. Bust out the drinks

We're going to need something harder than alcohol.