We are going to the Orange Bowl assuming Bama wins out and we don't fall behind Michigan State in the rankings. See Chuck Dunlap's last tweet. He works in sports information for the SEC but grew up in Louisville and graduated from State.
The highest ranked Big 10 or SEC team that isn't a conference champ automatically goes to Miami. Unless Notre Dame is ranked higher than both, which they are not.
Unless we fall behind Michigan State, which I don't think we will, I can just about guarantee we will play Georgia Tech in the Orange Bowl.