What’s the spread this weekend?

NewJerseyHawk

Heisman
Jan 11, 2007
24,914
40,033
113
2.5 to 3....that's where it probably should be...MSU was 11.5 a month ago here and they are with Michigan, the 2 top teams in the league.
 

BillyC80

Heisman
Oct 23, 2006
17,329
15,885
72
I agree that 7 is too high. MD lost by 4 at home to our common opponent Seton Hall, who we lost to by 6 on the road.

On a neutral court this is probably a 7 or 8 point spread, but with us at home it should be more like 4, or 5 at the most.
 

Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
KenPom has it -4 and that's usually at most a point off from Vegas spreads when it's that low.

Let's keep in mind that opponents FT% shooting is worst in all of college basketball and has subtracted on average 2.5 points from opponents Interesting that bart has it 1.5 and ken has it at 4. Maybe ken actually factors in the luck of bad opp FT %
 

Greene Rice FIG

Heisman
Dec 30, 2005
40,437
23,613
0
Bart has RU
100.6 adj oe
92.6 adj de

Ken has 100.5-94.4.

Makes me think kenpom makes the poor FT adjustment
 
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