Wednesday Prediction Thread sponsored by Ely's Restaurant - State vs CSU

dawgstudent

Heisman
Apr 15, 2003
40,730
22,949
113
One with the closest score and wins the tiebreaker (if needed) will receive a $40 gift card to Elys.

Tiebreakers:
1. Nick Fitzgerald Passing Yards
2. Nick Fitzgerald Rushing Yards
3. Circumference of Donald Gray's Navel





Richard Shapley
[email protected]
Phone: 601.605.6359
Fax: 601.605.6687
http://elysrestaurant.com
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
61,309
33,019
113
Bulldogs - 45, I don't even know what their mascot is - 10
186
142
1.5"
 
Last edited:

FQDawg

Senior
May 1, 2006
3,076
618
113
State 28, Charleston Southern 24

1. Nick Fitzgerald Passing Yards - 310
2. Nick Fitzgerald Rushing Yards - 78
3. Circumference of Donald Gray's Navel - I'm not sure what this is about and I'm fairly certain I don't want to know.
 
Aug 15, 2011
785
403
63
MSU 41 CSU 23

Tiebreakers:
1. Nick Fitzgerald Passing Yards - 249
2. Nick Fitzgerald Rushing Yards - 123
3. Circumference of Donald Gray's Navel - 19.83
 

HD6

Sophomore
Apr 8, 2003
10,019
108
63
Dude. Mullen's teams have never scored less than 45 points on an FCS team. The average score of MSU vs FCS under Mullen is 52-16, and that 16 is skewed 4 points by giving up 41 last year.

I get being pessimistic, but for 17s sake.
 

FQDawg

Senior
May 1, 2006
3,076
618
113
Exactly. We gave up 41 points to an FCS team last year. Grantham may be the best DC hire in the history of State DC hires but I doubt he's going to turn things around in one game, especially against a team that runs a gimmicky, option-oriented offense the types of which we usually don't play well against.

Also, I'm not sold on our offensive line. I think it's possible that we struggle to move the ball early in the season again.

But, it's not like I picked us to lose. I just think it'll be closer than a lot of people think. You only have to go back to the first game of last year to find a game where everyone assumed we'd blow the doors off an opponent and we didn't. And the last time we played an FCS school, it was still a one-score game early in the fourth quarter.
 
Last edited:

ronpolk

All-American
May 6, 2009
9,454
5,480
113
State 28, Charleston Southern 24

1. Nick Fitzgerald Passing Yards - 310
2. Nick Fitzgerald Rushing Yards - 78
3. Circumference of Donald Gray's Navel - I'm not sure what this is about and I'm fairly certain I don't want to know.

I'm sure you forgot to add "I hope I'm wrong"
 

HD6

Sophomore
Apr 8, 2003
10,019
108
63
If we win by that score, that would mean this is one of the worst teams in MSU history. It would likely be the only game they win.
 

FQDawg

Senior
May 1, 2006
3,076
618
113
Or it could just mean that we're rusty in our first game out of the gate and we'll get better as the season progresses.

Jeeze, I thought this was supposed to be the call-it-like-it-is, doom and gloom board.
 

columbiadawg2

All-Conference
Feb 2, 2010
1,598
1,397
113
55-20 State

Tiebreakers:
1. Nick Fitzgerald Passing Yards 250
2. Nick Fitzgerald Rushing Yards 150
3. Circumference of Donald Gray's Navel .39"
 

HD6

Sophomore
Apr 8, 2003
10,019
108
63
No. Rusty out of the gate isn't scoring 28 points on an FCS team and winning by 4. That's a catastrophic result. You are saying MSU will score fewer points on an FCS team that they scored on 4 SEC teams last season. Think about that.

There's telling it like it is, but what you are saying isn't like it is.
 

HD6

Sophomore
Apr 8, 2003
10,019
108
63
Not any better. That's still less than those 4 SEC teams I mentioned.

Bottom line, if this game is close, MSU is not going to a bowl game. They'll be 1-4 headed into the bye week.
 

FQDawg

Senior
May 1, 2006
3,076
618
113
All four of those SEC games were at the end of the year when we had improved as a team. Our first six games of last year, we averaged 24 points per game.

It's not unreasonable to think we won't be firing on all cylinders in our first game of the year. And I don't think it's unreasonable to think that a team that runs a gimmicky, option-oriented offense will keep the ball out of our hands enough to limit how many points we might score while scoring a few times themselves.
 

HD6

Sophomore
Apr 8, 2003
10,019
108
63
Those 4 games were also when we made Aeris Williams the feature back, which he will be on Saturday. But you go on believing we'll score 24 points less in this game than any Mullen team has ever scored on an FCS team.
 

BertleTheTurtle

Freshman
Nov 4, 2013
317
56
28
If there is one thing this team is built to do, it's stop the run. Will CSU pick up first downs from time to time, absolutely. But stopping the run, regardless of scheme, is all about gap soundness and lane discipline primarily from the linebackers (arguably the strength of our entire team). Our defensive line averages around 20 pounds more, per player, than the CSU OL (good luck moving that weight). If we give up 24 points at home to CSU, after what happened against South Alabama last year, this would be a massive disappointment. Grantham is going to have these boys coming out of the gates ready to hit somebody. Will we have some break-downs during the game? Sure. But we'll make mistakes going 110%, unlike last year. I think the defensive guys feel disrespected and want to make a statement. Offensively, you think our OL is going to be worse than last year or 2015? If so, I'm not sure that there's anything any of us can tell you that would sink in. Once this defense sees 40+ carries split between all of our 220+ lb RBs, it won't be fair. This isn't a 150 lb RB anymore. This is 220 lbs of lean, chiseled muscle barreling into you over and over again. Mullen sets a tone in this game.
 

FQDawg

Senior
May 1, 2006
3,076
618
113
You may be right. It may be closer to 56-41 like the last time we played an FCS team than anything in the 20s.

Good news is my prediction means jack squat in the grand scheme of things.
 
Last edited:
Maroon and White

Latest

  1. 01 Maroon and White Football Mississippi State Week 11 Preview: Run vs. Run
  2. 02 Maroon and White Basketball Mississippi State 79-57 Troy: Bulldogs build big early lead in home win over Trojans
  3. 03 Maroon and White Football Kamario Taylor speaks on return to Mississippi State for 2027
  4. 04 On3 NIL Kamario Taylor's $7.5M deal sets new bar in college football
  5. 05 Softball America 2027 Mississippi State Preview