Wednesday games
- Thread starter fatsam98
- Start date
RU fans can root for whoever they want now. We are no longer beholden to what is best for our NCAA chances.
I want highest seed possible with first weekend in Albany. But yes it's nice to not be stressed about being on the bubble
Our odds of being in Albany increases as our seed increases, correct? If we are a 5 seed are we pretty assured of staying in the time zone?
@bac2therac
Tier 1 travel. Albany Greensboro orlando
Tier 2 Columbus Birmingham
Tier 3 Dea Moines Denver Sacramento
Can I put in a request for Orlando?
Tier 2 Columbus Birmingham
Tier 3 Dea Moines Denver Sacramento
Can I put in a request for Orlando?
5 seed isn't a lock for Albany. I would say 1-3 seeds are a lock for favorable geography, most 4 seeds as well. After that you're at the mercy of how the bracket shapes up in terms of avoiding regular season matchups etc.
never set in stone but yeah....of course being a 5 seed means drawing the 12
To wit,
Obviously from 2018 so omits a few years but 1st round win by seed
10 39.5%
11 37.5%
12 35.4%
13 21.5%
14 15.3%
15 6.3%
16 0.7%
Shows the relationship you would expect (no outsize winning percentage by 12 seed). It is advantageous to get into the 13+ though as those are the auto bids who wouldn’t be good enough to get an at large bid
Hildreth just missed 2 FTs (and has missed 3 straight) that would've tied it. Pitt up 2.
21 to 35% is signifcant to me
the issue is there isnt much difference between a 10, 11, or a 12
Big difference between being a 5 or a 7 when it comes to the likely second game, though.
UMass Lowell about to lose at Maine.
Temple tied, 22 seconds left.
UMass Lowell about to lose at Maine.
Temple tied, 22 seconds left.
Wake loses....they are 0-2 in their gauntlet where I think they almost had to go 2-2. The NET hates them and that Duke win really isnt some outstanding win as it usually would be....plus the win at fading Wisconsin is losing some luster. Their losses to Loyola Marymount and LSU are not necessarily bad BUT they are the kind of wins the committee is looking for against decent but not great competition. I just think they are up against it. I see trips later to NC St and Miami and a home game with UNC. Also the ACC tourney was a mess last year so they could always pull a Va Tech.
yeah they may end up slipping to Q4 by seasons end. Solid team but nothing to write home about and Maine is about as hideous a loss you can get.
UConn loses again. Could they drop out of tourney? Could leave Albany for us?
Oh that’s definitely significant I agree. But some people seem to think the 5/12 is somehow special (i.e. they’d rather be a 6 for example). Once you get into the top 4 seeds each line starts to make a big difference
Temple survives and beats a bad South Florida team at home in OT. The Owls have to be the most inconsistent team in college basketball.
UConn still has a top 25 resume looking at the season as a whole. When you get to #1 you have a lot of room to fall.
They’ve been pretty Q4 lately. They had one nice game against Ohio state. They scored 58 points against Chicago St, 60 against Wisconsin, 60 against Illinois, 56 against Michigan, 39 against Purdue. They’ll score 55 points against us at the RAC in a good showing, 45 in a bad one. Any game is losable but there’s also a good chance we make them look like Coppin St imo.
They also don’t shoot a lot of threes and don’t shoot them well, so they’re not a prime candidate to get hot against us either.
In terms of AP ratings, it's current best teams not rating the season. UConn not in top 50 over the last month.
Minnesota we should beat, but they are not feckless. They are a competent team with some talent who can beat good teams occasionally.