We are now a national seed.

[Bulldog from Birth]

We can lose out and we will be no worse than the #8 national Seed.

 

[blacklistedbully]

I wouldn't want to test that theory. 3 losses at home to SCar would be really bad. If we did that, then followed it up with a couple losses in the SECT, we might just miss it, depending on what others do.

Let's just take care of business with SCar and be on our merry way.

 

[tatedog]

I agree that it will be damn near impossible to fall out of national seeding regardless of outcome going forward. The resumes outside of the current top 8 are not impressive. To give an idea, UT is currently #10 in RPI.

 

[Bulldog from Birth]

We won’t test the theory. But I’m just telling you the facts. 43-15 with our resume is a lock for a national seed. There aren’t 8 teams that can pass us with that worst case resume.

 

[Go Budaw]

I agree that it will be damn near impossible to fall out of national seeding regardless of outcome going forward. The resumes outside of the current top 8 are not impressive. To give an idea, UT is currently #10 in RPI.

Tennessee is a good team. If they sweep OM at home and take a few in Hoover, they could be hosting. Their nonconference record is almost as good as ours...24-2 overall. Definitely no threat for a national seed though.

 

[DAWGS1.sixpack]

We ARE a Natl Top 8 seed no mater what else happens before selection Monday.
Not sure even going 7-0 the last two weeks gets us any more than a 2.
I think we end up as the #3 regardless.

 

[Todd4State]

We can lose out and we will be no worse than the #8 national Seed.

A win over South Carolina should make us a slam dunk. Anything else after that is Michael Jordan slam dunk worthy.

 

[jdbulldog]

I agree that it will be damn near impossible to fall out of national seeding regardless of outcome going forward. The resumes outside of the current top 8 are not impressive. To give an idea, UT is currently #10 in RPI.

Regarding failing to do something, over the years we’ve been fairly successful achieving the damn near impossible.

 

[engie]

Our resume is the best in the country right now.

 

[Leeshouldveflanked]

We can lose out and we will be no worse than the #8 national Seed.

I sure hope our Team and Coaching Staff doesn’t have this mentality.

 

[Bulldog from Birth]

Why not? They know they’re a national seed now. I would hope and am sure that they remain motivated about being a Top 3 seed and creating the easiest path to Omaha. That’s certainly no stone cold lock right now.

 

[bulldogcountry1]

I'm curious to see how regionals and host sites play out for SEC teams. The committee has shown a tendency to look at conference record and reward teams with a winning conference record.

-UT has an RPI of 10 but a 12-15 conference record.

-A&M, MIZ, and AUB are sitting at 13, 15, and 20 with records close to .500. They could all put themselves in a position to host in the next 10 days.

-LSU is sitting at 21, but has 15 conference wins already. It's going to be tough to still give them their typical wet paper sack regional, but they could still end up with 17-18 conference wins.


By the time you get to LSU, there are 9 SEC teams in the mix for 16 regional hosts.

 

[bruiser.sixpack]

There will be 6 SEC host, and as usual, LSU can grab 1 with a series win against Auburn.

Vandy- National Lock
Arkansas- National Lock
MSU- pretty darn near guaranteed a National Lock
Georgia-50/50 chance at National Lock

LSU- host with a series win this weekend
A&M- host with a series win this weekend

Auburn, UT, and Ole Miss all have hosting chances but need to sweep their opponent. If 2 of the 3 sweep and Arkansas dispenses with A&M, take LSU and A&M off the host line.

 

[MSUDC11]

I'm curious to see how regionals and host sites play out for SEC teams. The committee has shown a tendency to look at conference record and reward teams with a winning conference record.

-UT has an RPI of 10 but a 12-15 conference record.

-A&M, MIZ, and AUB are sitting at 13, 15, and 20 with records close to .500. They could all put themselves in a position to host in the next 10 days.

-LSU is sitting at 21, but has 15 conference wins already. It's going to be tough to still give them their typical wet paper sack regional, but they could still end up with 17-18 conference wins.


By the time you get to LSU, there are 9 SEC teams in the mix for 16 regional hosts.

Don’t see any way Tennessee hosts with a .500 or worse conference record. Auburn is also a long shot unless they sweep LSU. I think series wins by A&M or LSU this weekend put both of them in really good shape to host. Ole Miss and Mizzou need series wins this weekend plus a strong showing in Hoover.

 

[Spidey.sixpack]

i just don't understand how these projections are determined. right now BA has Oklahoma State (30-17, 12-9) RPI 11 as a host and the Number 11 seed. Tennessee (36-17, 12-15) is a 3 seed with an RPI of 10. conference record shouldn't be that big of a factor.

Tennessee
SOS 4
24-2 NC record
16-15 Q1 record

Oklahoma State
SOS 6
18-8 NC record
9-8 Q1 record

how can you tell me with a straight face that one of those is the number 11 overall seed and the other is a 3 seed on the bubble?

 

[CadaverDawg]

i just don't understand how these projections are determined. right now BA has Oklahoma State (30-17, 12-9) RPI 11 as a host and the Number 11 seed. Tennessee (36-17, 12-15) is a 3 seed with an RPI of 10. conference record shouldn't be that big of a factor.

Tennessee
SOS 4
24-2 NC record
16-15 Q1 record

Oklahoma State
SOS 6
18-8 NC record
9-8 Q1 record

how can you tell me with a straight face that one of those is the number 11 overall seed and the other is a 3 seed on the bubble?

I would hate to have Tennessee as the 3 seed in my Regional. Sucks for Tennessee, but sucks way worse for whoever has to face that pitching staff as a 3 seed in their Regional

 

[bruiser.sixpack]

Well the only justice would be to send Tennessee to Stillwater as the 3 seed. Then UT would probably move on to a Super Regional. Haha on Okie State

 

[Bulldog from Birth]

I bet Kentucky basketball fans don’t get upset when Bracketologists declare them “A LOCK” for an NCAA tournament bid with 5 games to play. Facts are facts.

 

[8dog]

Because thats the message the committee has been sending and BA and D1 know that. Conf record
is important

 

[patdog]

Because RPI is a very flawed formula. Tennessee is good, but they're nowhere near top-10 good. They're #26 in the coaches poll and not in D1 Baseball's top 25 (Okie St. is #18 and #13). Their Q1 record is a bit inflated with a lot of wins against marginal Q1 teams. That said, I highly doubt they'll be a #3 seed unless they lose the series to Mississippi and then go out realy early in the SECT.

 

[Go Budaw]

Don’t see any way Tennessee hosts with a .500 or worse conference record. Auburn is also a long shot unless they sweep LSU. I think series wins by A&M or LSU this weekend put both of them in really good shape to host. Ole Miss and Mizzou need series wins this weekend plus a strong showing in Hoover.

.500 in SEC play alone won’t do it, but if UT wins 3 or 4 in Hoover in addition to that they could move into the mix. We hosted in 2013 with a 16-14 record and similar RPI to what they have now. Not a whole lot of difference.

 

[Choctaw Dawg]

D1 just released regional projections themselves: Us as a four national seed matched up With 13 seed Miami. Teams in our regional being 2. Dallas Baptist 3. Southern Miss. 4. Jacksonville State.

 

[Go Budaw]

RPI has its issues, but doesn’t have nearly as many flaws as the polls. You talk about Tennesse not being ranked. Well, they were ranked 24th last week, went on the road and took 2 of 3 from an NCAA bubble team that had a Top 35 RPI, and now they are 26th. Tell me how much sense that makes.

 

[blacklistedbully]

I bet Kentucky basketball fans don’t get upset when Bracketologists declare them “A LOCK” for an NCAA tournament bid with 5 games to play. Facts are facts.

Who's getting upset?

 

[Hump4Hoops]

The one that confuses me is the fact that D1's own poll

doesn't match up with their bracket prediction. For example, if you don't think Stanford is worthy of a national seed, why are you ranking them #3 in the country in your poll?