Undefeated season?

catfreek

Redshirt
Nov 2, 2008
435
5
0
Jesus Christ

I'll take a bet from those of you who are crucifying the OP. If you're so sure it's never gonna happen, let's make it interesting.

Should be a lot higher but I'll take the bet for 12-1 odds.

Any takers?
 

AF Cat

Sophomore
Dec 30, 2002
1,366
104
0
Not sure if it would be 40-0 or not, but we just beat a pretty damn good team handily. We have some challenges ahead of us, but I think Cal may have been a year off on the undefeated train last year.

Watch out for Vandy at Vandy...our best chance to lose a game...they're gonna be pretty good.
 

NCukcat62

All-Conference
Jul 22, 2007
8,893
3,671
0
I think we lose 3 like some posters have said. At Vanderbilt, lsu and Kansas. Kansas can have that one too HA
 

FiveStarCat

All-American
Oct 3, 2009
10,758
5,580
0
While it's ridiculous to talk about an undefeated season this early, I do find it funny that rivals still like to throw 40-0 in our faces, as if we weren't just on the brink of doing it. Anyone who says it's impossible hasn't been paying attention.
 

John Henry

Hall of Famer
Aug 18, 2007
35,574
172,795
113
Last year we blew out some great teams in the early season. Where is our NCAA Championship trophy? Let's get real. It is a long season our eyes should be winning the final game not 40-0
 

kybassfan

Heisman
Jul 1, 2005
20,032
16,368
113
I posted this on that abomination of a thread that Maverick started. To summarize, Undefeated? Not bloody likely even for an extremely dominant team.

Actually, there is a way to put this to bed computationally. As you point out, games are independent events for the most part. There's a little theorem that says P(A^B) = P(A)P(B). Simply put, chance of heads is 50%. Chance of heads on both of two flips is .5 * .5 = 25%. These are elementary concepts for probability and statistics.

If the probability of KY winning any given game is 90% (way high, I know), then the chance of winning 37 in a row is .9^37 assuming 37 games is around 1.4% Now assume that you have a 90% chance in 35 of those games and a 50% chance in 2. Then you have .9^35*.5^2 which gives us about .6% chance.

Now there is a little hocus pocus going on under the table, but those are decent estimates given the assumptions.

Mav is telling us we can flip a coin this year and get it to land on its edge. Predicting 40 - 0 even for an exceedingly dominate team is laughable. Its a Forest Gump move. Maverick, I'd stick to shrimpin if I were you.

Run Forest, Run!