UF-UK spread is out

sefus12

Heisman
Dec 22, 2007
7,177
19,032
103
I honestly have no idea what the spread should be with this UK team right now. I like that they are at home but they have to do a better job getting going in the first half. I could see a ten point win or a ten point loss with this crew right now.
 

Kats23

All-American
Nov 21, 2007
8,683
5,913
63
-2.5 was about where I thought it would be. The ones who were saying Florida would be favored are the same ones who had us going to the NIT after Ohio State. Florida is certainly capable of beating us but no way were they going to favored on the road against us.
 

jerrysmith

Sophomore
Dec 3, 2020
62
143
33
if we are hitting shots we can beat anyone, maybe it's just me, but it almost seems like we have gotten a little tentative , we got good shooters, start shooting,,,
 
May 31, 2018
15,280
30,690
98
Who are the refs?
Three Blind Mice Hockey Ref GIF by Fayetteville Marksmen

These 2 guys and Pat Adams....
sport referee GIF
 
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ukcatz12

Heisman
Mar 27, 2009
5,199
12,325
0
Florida can obviously beat us. But I think our A game is better than theirs when it comes together for us. 2nd half vs Duke and Gonzaga, that’s what we need.
Our A game is probably better than almost anyone's this year, but it requires almost everyone to be on from 3 or everyone needs to be on the same page running the offensive sets and that as proven to be hard to come by.

I think it's probably not unfair to say our true A game is elite, but will happen at a lesser frequency than other top teams. Either that, or we need our A game to beat top teams because we do lack guys who can just take over and talent their way to keeping us in the game.
 

ukcatz12

Heisman
Mar 27, 2009
5,199
12,325
0
Home court is usually worth about what in college, 3 or 4 points? Line makes sense if you take that into account and think Florida is the slightly better team at this point.
 

billoliver40

All-American
Dec 16, 2015
6,736
9,444
0
Got no clue. Nobody goes undefeated unless they are good. On the other hand the Cats have proved they can play good as well.

I expect a knuckle nibbles of a game.
 

TheDude73

Heisman
Jan 7, 2006
24,292
24,056
113
To all of you who said Florida would be a 3 or 4 point favorite.

Kentucky -2.5 (fanduel)
I just guessed, like most of us. To be honest the way we've played and the way UF looks, regardless of it being at Rupp, I'm surprised we are a favorite at all.

Also, I'm not a gambler so I'm likely one of the most horrible spread "guessers" on this forum.

@Tampa_cat54 since you had some commentary in another thread.
 
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Panthur

Heisman
Aug 5, 2008
9,225
12,782
0
Our A game is probably better than almost anyone's this year, but it requires almost everyone to be on from 3 or everyone needs to be on the same page running the offensive sets and that as proven to be hard to come by.

I think it's probably not unfair to say our true A game is elite, but will happen at a lesser frequency than other top teams. Either that, or we need our A game to beat top teams because we do lack guys who can just take over and talent their way to keeping us in the game.
Good analysis
 
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Gator Fever

Senior
Feb 13, 2008
105,976
409
0
Florida can obviously beat us. But I think our A game is better than theirs when it comes together for us. 2nd half vs Duke and Gonzaga, that’s what we need.

It should come down to the final few minutes if we can keep KYs 3 point shooting in check some. We have actually played decent at KY the last 7 seasons and are 3-4 in those 7 games.
 

know1

Heisman
Dec 8, 2002
12,855
14,925
0
Gambling is dumb, but I think UK being favored by about that much is about right.
 

Wunky

Heisman
Jan 16, 2021
4,425
18,440
78
Took advantage of some bonus bets and got Florida moneyline +140 at Caesars. As usual, hoping for the reverse jinx.
 

Broker

All-Conference
Aug 29, 2012
1,696
1,686
113
To all of you who said Florida would be a 3 or 4 point favorite.

Kentucky -2.5 (fanduel)
The spread does not mean a dang thing if we don't come ready to play defense and win. The spread is set to entice people to bet. If too much money is bet on one side the spread will change. The spread does NOT guarantee who wins, only to get the most dollars bet.
 
Jan 30, 2018
16,155
24,636
0
13-0 is impressive nomatter what when you're blowing teams out, but they don't have a win close to our 2 best.

One thing that really sticks out to me is 11 of their 13 games where somehow in the state of Florida.
 
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UKWildcats1987

Heisman
Sep 9, 2021
20,147
35,557
113
FL hasn't played a great schedule so no super quality wins.

The line also suggests Vegas respects FL despite that and also isn't high on UK as the line is essential for home court.
 

JwUKFan11

Heisman
Nov 11, 2011
7,595
15,726
113
Florida can obviously beat us. But I think our A game is better than theirs when it comes together for us. 2nd half vs Duke and Gonzaga, that’s what we need.
I think this is opposite. I think if everything goes right for Florida they are the better team, but I think our floor is higher than theirs.
 
Nov 3, 2007
30,776
6,855
0
The spread does not mean a dang thing if we don't come ready to play defense and win. The spread is set to entice people to bet. If too much money is bet on one side the spread will change. The spread does NOT guarantee who wins, only to get the most dollars bet.
Yea it does, if you take Florida and the points and the Cats come out flat.
 

JwUKFan11

Heisman
Nov 11, 2011
7,595
15,726
113
I think you could say that about any team, in any game, at any time.
Wouldn't make it correct just because someone says it about any game. UF has some underclassmen who are talented and still learning and getting better. Like 95% of UK's production is reliant on guys that most would agree have peeked talent wise but are very steady producers (Floor).